Hoopes There It Is: Week 4 Game Preview

Sep 24, 2025

Kyle Terada-Imagn Images

Week 3 was weird. The Falcons didn’t make it past the Panthers’ 30-yard line. The Bengals had the second-worst passing efficiency in any game over the last four seasons. Someone told the Eagles at halftime that the forward pass was legal. But before digging into all of that, let’s check in on team pass rates over expectation (PROE). I also care about how much that number fluctuates weekly. That’s very telling for future matchups because it lets us know whether a team will adjust their attack based on their opponent or will stick to what they want to do.

The graph below shows just that through three weeks. The x-axis shows average PROE, while the y-axis shows how much that changes weekly. The Ravens’ logo is hidden under the Giants’, but they’re really interesting. They went massively run-heavy in Week 1 before switching to a pass-heavy attack in Week 2 to avoid the Browns’ elite run defense. And then they went slightly pass-heavy again against the Lions last week in order to keep pace. To me, this shows the Ravens are willing to drop back more than expected against tougher opponents.

The Chargers are the surprise of the season, in my opinion, leading the league in PROE through three weeks. But what on earth are the Raiders doing? After going pretty pass-heavy in Weeks 1 and 2, they had the lowest PROE in the league last week. In a game they lost soundly to the Marcus-Mariota-led Commanders. And they only hit 13th-percentile rushing efficiency because I guess you have to give both Zamir White and Dylan Laube carries?

On the opposite end, we have teams like the Chiefs that are always going to be pass-heavy with Patrick Mahomes and no run game. And then teams we expected to be run-heavy, like the Jets, Eagles, Lions, and our first Thursday night team, the Seattle Seahawks.

Seahawks at Cardinals (Over/Under 43.5, SEA favored by 1.5 points)

Seahawks (22.5 Implied Points)

• The Seahawks were up 38-6 at halftime in Week 3.
• That’s the context for why they ended the game with 33 carries but only 18 targets.
• We can throw out a lot of what we saw, including the garbage time carries for George Holani and Jacardia Wright (?).
• Kenneth Walker had 30 of the 39 snaps before garbage time and got there in fantasy with two touchdowns.
• While the Seahawks are dead-set on establishing the run, they’ve been successful on limited dropbacks to start the year.
• And the Cardinals’ defense has been more susceptible through the air so far, as they’re 13th in defensive pass EPA but 5th in rush EPA.
• They’re even worse in passing success rate, ranking 28th through three weeks.
• But the Seahawks haven’t had a game with a positive PROE yet this season, and I doubt that changes here.
• I’d expect another efficient but low-volume passing day for Sam Darnold.

Cardinals (21.0 Implied Points)

• My thanks to everyone for joining in on the Trey McBride TD prayer circle last week as we finally got one!
• McBride and Marvin Harrison Jr. combined for 13 targets, with no other player exceeding four.
• It was another of a growing list of frustrating games for Harrison.
• Especially when the Cardinals finally attempted a deep pass despite their 31st-ranked air yards per attempt only to see Harrison have a brutal drop.
• The Seahawks’ defense is just below average in passing efficiency but 4th-best against the run.
• So, it’s a tough first matchup for Trey Benson, the new starter for the Cardinals following the unfortunate James Conner injury.
• I’m really curious to see Benson’s involvement in the pass game, as before the Conner injury, he had taken over all of the work that Emari Demercado used to do.
• But after the Conner injury last week, Demercado once again stepped in as the 3rd-down back.

Vikings at Steelers (O/U 41.5, MIN -2.5)

Vikings (22.0 Implied Points)

• Another game where we have to provide a lot of context to the numbers because this went to garbage time quickly.
• The Vikings were up 34-3 on the Bengals at halftime.
• Justin Jefferson ended the day with 7 targets, but he only played on 48 of 60 snaps.
• Jordan Mason only had 16 of the 27 RB routes and 16 of the 29 carries, but he played 75% of the snaps before garbage time.
• It was a solid day for Carson Wentz with limited dropbacks and the context that it couldn’t be worse than what we’ve seen from J.J. McCarthy this season.
• The Steelers’ defense is 25th in passing EPA, so I’m excited to see a full game of Justin Jefferson with relatively competent QB play.
• And Wentz will also get the benefit of Jordan Addison returning from suspension.

Steelers (19.5 Implied Points)

• Jaylen Warren led the team in targets last week, which is pretty gross.
• Warren dominated the playing time with 18 of 22 RB carries and 16 of 22 RB routes.
• It was a career-high snap rate for Warren, but his box score was dinged by ceding the goal-line snap to Kenny Gainwell.
• I’d expect a very difficult day for the Steelers’ pass game against the Vikings.
• The ceiling for their pass attack is limited by both play volume (29th) and air yards per attempt (32nd).
• And now they face the most efficient passing defense in the league this week.

Eagles at Buccaneers (O/U 43.5, PHI -3)

Eagles (23.25 Implied Points)

• The Eagles were down 26-7 early in the 3rd quarter versus the Rams last week.
• Then Big Dom whispered into Nick Sirianni’s ear that the league office called and said the forward pass was legal.
• Jalen Hurts then completed more 12+ air-yard throws in the 2nd half of Week 3 than he did in the first 2.5 games combined.
• When the Eagles are pushed, they can still deliver games like this.
• And the work is extremely concentrated, with 10 targets to AJ Brown, nine to DeVonta Smith, five to Saquon Barkley, and no one else exceeding three.
• If the Buccaneers, without Mike Evan,s can keep pace and the Buccaneers’ league-best run defense can limit Barkley, perhaps we see more forward passes in Week 4.

Buccaneers (20.25 Implied Points)

• I was worried about Emeka Egbuka’s long-term outlook, given his performance through two weeks was buoyed by TDs despite weaker fundamental stats like target share.
• But missing Mike Evans for two-to-four weeks definitely alleviates those concerns, even with Chris Godwin expected back soon.
• The Jets’ run defense was 29th in the league prior to Week 3.
• But they held the Buccaneers to 8th-percentile rushing efficiency in a game where the Buccaneers opted to uncharacteristically go very run-heavy.
• My guess is their PROE rebounds sharply this week in an effort to keep up with the Eagles.
• But the worst element of the Eagles’ defense so far this year has been their rushing success rate.

Chargers at Giants (O/U 43.5, LAC -6.5)

Chargers (25.0 Implied Points)

• While the Chargers were only +1.8% PROE in Week 3, that was on a massive 59 dropbacks.
• There were 42 total targets, with 10 going to Keenan Allen, nine to Quentin Johnston, seven to Ladd McConkey, and then six each to Omarion Hampton and Oronde Gadsden.
• Those last two guys are really interesting, with Hampton dominating the RB routes once Najee Harris left with his season-ending injury.
• We also saw signs of life from the run game, hitting 60th-percentile efficiency and improving their season rank from dead-last to 30th.
• And we now get the Giants on tap with their 30th-ranked run defense.
• At TE, with Will Dissly inactive, we got a gross three-way split for snaps.
• But the routes were split between Tyler Conklin and rookie Gadsden, with Gadsden earning an insane six targets on only 14 routes.
• We’ll obviously need his route rate to increase sharply for sustained relevance, but he’s worth an add to see if that happens.

Giants (18.5 Implied Points)

• Russell Wilson looked like the worst QB in the league in Week 1, threw for 450 yards against the Cowboys in Week 2, and then looked like the worst QB in the league in Week 3.
• We’ll get to that Cowboys defense later, but the Giants are getting off the Russcoaster and going with Jaxson Dart against the Chargers.
• They’ll also be leaning on Cam Skattebo at RB.
• Tyrone Tracy opened Week 3 with 11 of the first 15 snaps but left on the second drive of the game and is expected to miss two-to-four games.
• It’s a very difficult first matchup for Dart, as the Chargers’ defense is third in efficiency, first in success rate, and first in completion percentage over expectation (CPOE) allowed.
• I’d expect some growing pains in this one.

Saints at Bills (O/U 48.5, BUF -16.5)

Saints (16.0 Implied Points)

• Chris Olave had a remarkable 13 targets last week as the Saints were routed by the Seahawks.
• Unfortunately, those only turned into 57 yards as the Saints are last in the league in explosive pass rate.
• With only 16 implied points, almost every Saints’ skill player is a floor rather than a ceiling bet.
• But in full PPR leagues, Olave is at least talented, getting the targets, and in an offense that, if nothing else, plays with pace.
• Alvin Kamara disappointed again with only two targets, but he dominated the RB carries and routes and could bounce back like he did in Week 2.
• In the moments where the game is not out of hand, the Saints could find some success running the ball against this 28th-ranked Bills run defense, who give up an insane 22.1% explosive run rate.

Bills (32.5 Implied Points)

• Josh Allen’s insanely low target depth continued in Week 3, and he relied exclusively on yards after the catch to get to his efficient day.
• Allen tied for his fewest number of 11+ air-yard attempts in his career last week.
• The last time he did that was in Week 9 of last year, when he averaged 3.7 air yards per attempt.
• Dalton Kincaid again led the way in targets with six, but it’s still difficult to trust him given his low route rate.
• This is an incredibly frustrating offense where even with 32.5 implied points, you can’t be certain which non-James Cook skill players will benefit.
• Even the backup RB was in flux a bit last week, with Ty Johnson stealing some early-down work from Ray Davis.

Browns at Lions (O/U 44.5, DET -8.5)

Browns (18.0 Implied Points)

• The targets were really spread around last week, with David Njoku ultimately leading the way with six.
• But Harold Fannin cut into Njoku’s playing time a little bit more in 1-TE sets and on 3rd downs.
• Similarly, Isaiah Bond cut into Jerry Jeudy and Cedric Tillman’s playing time in 2-TE sets.
• With all of that rotation at pass catcher, Quinshon Judkins dominated the RB carries with 18 of the 19 and split the routes with Jerome Ford.
• With only five snaps, a personal favorite of mine, Dylan Sampson, can be cut unless we get any news on suspension risk for Judkins.
• It’s a brutal matchup for Judkins this week, though, against the 2nd-ranked Lions’ run defense.

Lions (26.5 Implied Points)

• The Lions had 37 carries compared to 26 targets for a -9.5% PROE last week against a very good Ravens team.
• Now, the Browns have an elite run defense that the Ravens opted to pass around in Week 2.
• But the Lions are 30th in PROE and I think unwilling to change their gameplan in a game they’re favored by 8.5 points.
• I’d again expect a lot of volume for Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery with limited but efficient pass attempts.

Commanders at Falcons (O/U 44.5, WAS -1.5)

Commanders (23.0 Implied Points)

• The main things that matter that I don’t know at the time of writing are whether both Jayden Daniels and Terry McLaurin will play.
• McLaurin led the team with four targets but left in the 3rd quarter with a quad injury.
• The Commanders were up 34-10 at the start of the 4th quarter, so Deebo Samuel rested at that point.
• It was a gross three-way split at RB, with Chris Rodriguez leading the team with 11 carries, but a nasty route split between the three of them.
• Jeremy McNichols had the best run of the day, but on only four attempts.
• I don’t really know what to make of this Falcons’ defense, as they went into the game versus the Panthers first in efficiency and then lost 30-0.

Falcons (21.5 Implied Points)

• The Falcons didn’t make it to the 30-yard line of the Panthers last week.
• That is tied for the 11th-worst performance in the last decade.
• The most recent game worse than that was the 2023 Week 15 Jets led by Trevor Siemian, where they lost 30-0 to the Dolphins.
• Their 3rd-percentile passing efficiency just didn’t give them a chance to win, but Michael Penix continues to avoid sacks at a high rate as a small glimmer of hope.
• It’s a pretty good matchup for the passing attack against the 21st-ranked pass defense of the Commanders.
• And Kyle Pitts’ snap rate has remained way higher this season versus last year.

Titans at Texans (O/U 39.5, HOU -7)

Titans (16.25 Implied Points)

• The targets were really spread around last week, with seven players earning three or more targets.
• But Tony Pollard continues to dominate the RB work, taking 16 of the 18 RB attempts and running 35 of the 38 routes.
• It’s a very tough matchup for Cam Ward, going against the 11th-best passing defense and an elite tandem of pass rushers in Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter.
• His 12.5% sack rate does not bode well in this one.
• I would ideally bench every Titans player, but I get it if you need to start Pollard.

Texans (23.25 Implied Points)

• This Texans offense has been a tough watch so far this year, with a very troubling offensive line.
• CJ Stroud needed a deep shot to Nico Collins with completely blown coverage to get to pretty bad passing efficiency.
• Collins earned 11 targets, with eight going to Christian Kirk and 6 to Dalton Schultz, with no other player seeing more than three.
• Woody Marks continues to eat into Nick Chubb’s workload, with Chubb only getting three more rushing attempts and a nearly even split in routes.
• Dare Ogunbowale did not see a snap, which is honestly great news for both Chubb and Marks.
• It wasn’t a box score day for Marks, but he should still be on benches everywhere in case his workload continues to increase.
• The Titans are second-worst in sack rate, so maybe we see some relief for Stroud, but I guessed that last week and we still had a pretty terrible performance from this passing attack.

Panthers at Patriots (O/U 43.5, NE -5.5)

Panthers (19.0 Implied Points)

• Tetairoa McMillan dominated the targets last week, earning eight with no one else exceeding four.
• David Moore ran 26 mostly-targetless routes, replacing Xavier Legett,e who was injured.
• Ja’Tavion Sanders got hurt in the 4th quarter last week and is expected to miss multiple weeks with his ankle injury.
• It’s pretty dark in this receiving room besides McMillan, with Jalen Coker hopefully returning soon to bring some kind of spark.
• A lot has been made about Rico Dowdle’s involvement, but his rotation wasn’t that different than the first two weeks if you look at them combined.
• It’s a good matchup at least for this passing attack, with the Patriots’ defense 28th in passing efficiency but 6th against the run.
• Though the Patriots may get CB Christian Gonzalez back in time for this matchup.

Patriots (24.5 Implied Points)

• It’s hard to trust any specific Patriots pass catcher.
• That’s especially true at WR, given the rotations they’re using, with Kayshon Boutte the only WR that ran a route on more than 26 of the 47 total routes.
• Hunter Henry was the big surprise last week, earning 10 targets with no one else exceeding five.
• The passing matchup looks bad on paper, but this 4th-efficiency rank for the Panthers pass defense feels fraudulent.
• I think this is more telling of just how bad the Falcons were last week.
• We got a TreVeyon Henderson dead-cat bounce last week, as he had exactly half of the RB carries and routes.
• But he only got those because Rhamondre Stevenson lost two fumbles and Antonio Gibson lost another one.
• The Pats didn’t read the article last week where I told them to avoid running to the right like the Steelers’ previous opponents, as they lost all three of their fumbles running toward T.J. Watt.
• Here’s hoping Henderson’s snaps continue to rise, but this could be a one-week blip due to the fumbles.

Colts at Rams (O/U 49.5, LAR -3.5)

Colts (23.0 Implied Points)

• The train rolls on for the Colts, hitting 96th percentile passing efficiency and 97th percentile rushing efficiency last week.
• They’ve punted once all season, and Daniel Jones is a top-three QB in EPA efficiency.
• The targets were spread around last week, with Michael Pittman leading the way with six.
• Josh Downs only earned three, partially because he only ran 16 of 27 routes; we’ll need his work in 2-WR sets to expand.
• Alec Pierce left the game with a concussion, so Adonai Mitchell might take his role this week if Pierce can’t go.
• The Rams have the 5th-most-efficient passing defense but are 20th against the run.
• And the Colts run the ball at the 7th-highest rate versus expectation.
• It should be another efficient game for Jonathan Taylor, who is having a Saquon Barkley-esque season.

Rams (26.5 Implied Points)

• Davante Adams was stuck dealing with Quinyon Mitchell last week.
• That let Puka Nacau go absolutely nuts, earning 15 targets on 31 routes.
• Besides Adams’ eight targets, no one else earned more than three targets.
• Kyren Williams still dominated the carries and routes, but there was a clear intent to get Blake Corum the ball when he was on the field, as he had an attempt on half of his snaps.
• With Colby Parkinson back from injury, we again have a gross TE snap split between Tyler Higbee, Davis Allen, and Parkinson.
• Higbee is at least the clear receiver as he ran 21 of the team’s 34 routes.
• The Rams should be able to run on this Colts defense.
• But the most interesting matchup will be explosive passes, with the Rams offense 1st in the league there, but the Colts’ defense 2nd-best at stopping explosives.

Jaguars at 49ers (O/U 47.5, SF -3)

Jaguars (22.25 Implied Points)

• If you bought low on Brian Thomas Jr last week on my advice, the early returns have not been good.
• BTJ was out-targeted by both Parker Washington and Brenton Strange last week.
• Trevor Lawrence’s completion rate was a massive 17% below expected last week as well.
• This pass game has been rotten so far, and they face a top-10 pass defense in the 49ers this week.
• We still only got 12 snaps for Bhayshul Tuten, but he had seven opportunities on those snaps, with one target and six carries, including a rushing TD.
• We’ll need to see this passing attack look operational before getting excited about any Jaguars skill player.

49ers (25.25 Implied Points)

• With no other skill players healthy last week, Christian McCaffrey and Ricky Pearsall dominated the targets, earning 11 or more each.
• Unless Jauan Jennings is back from injury, we should see something similar again.
• But this Jaguars defense is surprisingly tough, ranking 2nd in total efficiency on the season.
• They’ve been particularly good against the pass.
• But they’ve also been excellent at limiting both successful and explosive runs.
• Even in a tough matchup, though, CMC and Pearsall are must-starts, especially if Jennings is still out for Pearsall.

Ravens at Chiefs (O/U 48.5, BAL -2.5)

Ravens (25.5 Implied Points)

• Week 3 was a weird game for the Ravens’ pass catchers, with both Rashod Bateman and Mark Andrews earning seven targets compared to only three for Zay Flowers.
• And the Ravens were only 9th-percentile in rushing efficiency, mostly due to a big 4th-and-goal failure and a Derrick Henry fourth-quarter fumble.
• The Ravens’ run game should get back on track in this one against the Chiefs’ 29th-ranked run defense.
• And the Ravens have shown a willingness to dictate their pass rate by opponent, making me think this could be a run-heavy affair for them, but they do try to keep pace with good opponents.
• The pass offense is still elite for the Ravens, but Lamar Jackson again took way too many sacks last week.
• The Chiefs’ defense is middle-of-the-road in sack rate, and we should start seeing that 12.8% sack rate (31st in the league) start dropping sharply.

Chiefs (23.0 Implied Points)

• Tyquan Thornton led the way with nine targets last week, as Patrick Mahomes tries to push the ball down the field with significantly worse receivers than he expected at the start of the year.
• We still have this even RB carry split between Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt.
• At least for Pacheco, he’s getting the majority of the routes even if he only earned one target last week.
• Brashard Smith is still buried behind Pacheco and Hunt, but he did get five opportunities on only eight snaps.
• The run game was significantly better last week than in the previous two, pulling up the Chiefs’ season-long rushing efficiency to average.
• And they could find some success against a Ravens’ run defense ranked 31st in efficiency and dead-last in explosive runs allowed.

Bears at Raiders (O/U 47.5, CHI -1.5)

Bears (24.5 Implied Points)

• It’s unfortunate that Colston Loveland was injured after only six snaps, because Week 3 seemed like a game where Ben Johnson was purposefully trying to get his rookies involved.
• Luther Burden had a massive game, but on only 17 snaps and nine routes.
• He’s a clear waiver wire target, but can’t be started until those routes increase a ton.
• This was perhaps Caleb Williams’ best game of his career, with the Bears hitting 94th percentile passing efficiency, averaging 10.6 yards per pass, and crucially taking zero sacks.
• Though I think it’s fair to question how much of that was the Cowboys’ horrendous pass defense that is constantly being lit up this season.
• But we do have another good matchup on tap this week with the Raiders’ 27th-ranked pass defense, but 3rd-ranked run defense.
• We’re starting to see some other Ben Johnson elements, like a heavy dose of play-action passes.
• The Bears were bottom-eight in play-action dropbacks and bottom-five in play-action efficiency last season.
• Well, the graph below shows them much closer to average on both fronts this year, even a bit better than average in efficiency.

Raiders (23.0 Implied Points)

• The fact that the Raiders only have the 2nd-worst rushing efficiency is surprising.
• Ashton Jeanty still has more yards after contact than he does yards.
• And he’s tied for 4th in missed tackles forced, according to PFF.
• The Raiders really leaned into the run game last week as well, massively changing tactics with a -15.6% PROE and getting rewarded with 13th percentile rushing efficiency.
• I’d put the Raiders’ offensive line coach on watch, but…his last name is Carroll.
• Without any run game, the Raiders then leaned into chaotic Geno Smith, which is incredibly fun from a fantasy football perspective, but less so if you’re a Raiders fan.
• Tre Tucker popped up with an incredible 8/145/3 line, running 33 of the 34 routes and hitting on deep digs and crossers over the middle of the field.
• This feels pretty fluky, given that Tre Tucker was 156th out of 159 qualifying receivers in ESPN Analytics’ open score last year.
• But he is fast and runs deep routes, aligning with what Geno Smith is trying to do.

Packers at Cowboys (O/U 47.5, GB -7)

Packers (27.25 Implied Points)

• The Packers were probably the team I got most wrong last week.
• The previous Browns’ opponents had opted to pass at a high rate down the field to avoid the Browns’ run defense.
• Well, the Packers went run-heavy and only hit an insane 1.9-yard average target depth when they did pass.
• Josh Jacobs averaged under two yards per carry, and the Packers lost 13-10.
• Jacobs’ day was saved in PPR, though, because he earned nine targets, while no other skill player exceeded four.
• But the Packers now have the Cowboys’ pass defense on tap, and everyone is lighting this team up.
• I’m going back to the well and saying lean toward your Packers’ receivers in tiebreak starting lineup decisions.

Cowboys (20.25 Implied Points)

• The biggest news for the Cowboys was that they lost CeeDee Lamb to injury only seven snaps into the game, and he is expected to miss up to four games.
• In response, they peppered Jake Ferguson with 14 targets on 29 routes, with George Pickens also earning nine targets.
• Both of them are must-starts even against one of the best defenses in the league.
• One other callout is that it looked like Miles Sanders was getting more run, but I suspect that was only because the Cowboys were down multiple scores.

Jets at Dolphins (O/U 45.5, MIA -3)

Jets (21.25 Implied Points)

• With Tyrod Taylor at the helm, the Jets turned from massively run-heavy to a slightly positive PROE team.
• And that was excellent news for Garrett Wilson, who turned 12 targets into a 10/84/1 line.
• As of writing this, it wasn’t clear whether Justin Fields would be starting for the Jets in Week 4.
• You’re starting both Wilson and Breece Hall regardless, but I’d feel more confident that the target floors are there if Taylor is the starting QB.
• And Taylor might be in a better spot to take advantage of the league’s worst passing defense.
• Braelon Allen mixed in for six carries and two receptions last week, but the split with Hall wasn’t that different than the first two weeks.

Dolphins (24.25 Implied Points)

• The Dolphins’ defense once again gave up 86th-percentile passing efficiency, forcing the offense to at least try to keep pace.
• Both De’Von Achane and Tyreek Hill earned 10 targets, with Jaylen Waddle earning six and Malik Washington getting four with two carries.
• No one else was really involved in the pass game.
• The carry split was pretty close between Achane and Ollie Gordon, but Gordon is mostly playing in short-yardage and goal-line situations.
• Achane still dominated the routes, running 32 of the 38.
• It’s a great matchup for the Dolphins, as the Jets have the 3rd-least efficient pass defense in the league.
• And that’s especially true for what the Dolphins want to do, as teams have attacked the Jets with a very shallow average target depth.

Bengals at Broncos (O/U 44.5, DEN -7.5)

Bengals (18.5 Implied Points)

• I expected a rough first start for the Jake Browning Bengals, but boy, was this even worse than I expected.
• The Bengals had the second-worst passing efficiency of any team in the last four seasons, only beaten by the Clayton-Tune-led Arizona Cardinals in Week 9 of the 2023 season.
• I think we can throw out most of the stats from this game.
• One note is that Tahj Brooks played more snaps than usual.
• I would guess this was just because the game was out of hand, but he was certainly a lot more efficient than Chase Brown, and he’s a viable bench player on your team in case his role does increase with or without a Brown injury.
• This is not a good bounce-back spot for the Bengals, as the Broncos’ pass defense is 2nd in the league in pass success rate allowed.

Broncos (26.0 Implied Points)

• I guess the Troy Franklin nine-target game was a one-week blip, as he went back to four targets in this one, while Sutton dominated the team with eight.
• The best news from the Broncos was that Tyler Badie only played two snaps last week; a big thank you to Sean Payton for reading the article.
• J.K. Dobbins was the biggest beneficiary of that change, dominating both the RB carries (11 of 13) and routes (19 of 32).
• The Broncos have changed their RB rotation every week now, so it’s impossible to trust that this will be the workload split moving forward.
• But my best guess is we see a healthy number of Dobbins carries with the Broncos 8.5-point home favorites.