Dalton Kincaid Fantasy Football Profile, News and Stats

Dalton Kincaid
TE
, Buffalo Bills

Age: 25
Weight: 240 lbs
Height: 6' 4"

ADP: 50
Depth Chart Ranking: 1

Pts	RecYds	RecTD	Rec	RuYds
1.1	11	0	1	0

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MIA

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Draft note

by John Paulsen

Dalton Kincaid was the fantasy TE15 as a rookie, though he flashed TE1-type production when Dawson Knox was out of the lineup. In five games without Knox, Kincaid averaged 6.2 catches for 56 yards and 0.40 touchdowns on 7.4 targets per game. (He averaged 3.8-36-0.0 on 4.9 targets in 11 games with Knox, which is a bit worrisome since Knox is returning.) Yes, Stefon Diggs (160 targets) and Gabe Davis (81) are gone, so there are a ton of targets up for grabs. Kincaid should easily see 7-8 targets per game, but there’s no guarantee that will happen with Knox soaking up tight end snaps. Kincaid was 14th in yards per route run, though he was 10th from Week 8 to Week 13, while Knox was out. It would be coaching malpractice for the Bills to take Kincaid off the field consistently given the loss of Diggs and Davis, so I'm betting on a consistent uptick in usage. Also, while Kincaid has already broken out, tight ends tend to make their biggest leap from year one to year two.

Latest news

Dawson Knox "still a factor" to Dalton Kincaid's potential full-time role

Joe Buscaglia

Jul 25 · 8:54 AM EDT

The potential is definitely there for Dalton Kincaid to be one of their top targets in 2024. However, from the looks of things on the first day of camp, those expecting Kincaid to usurp the full-time role from Dawson Knox this year and push the veteran tight end into a backup may have their hopes dashed.

Fantasy Impact:

Buscaglia continued, "So while it’s fine to believe Kincaid can better his very strong rookie season output in 2024, it’s important to note his role went back to early season levels after Knox’s return from injured reserve last year."

This definitely isn't *good* news, but we have to remember what the state of the wide receiver room is in Buffalo at the moment. Kincaid can still shine while rotating with Knox, but does he have the top-3 upside we thought he had going into Year 2? Maybe not.

Scouting report

by Justin Edwards

· Sep 06 · 11:50 PM EDT

BUF TE Dalton Kincaid - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. Arizona Cardinals
The splits with Knox on and off the field seem pretty damning for Kincaid's outlook in 2024, but the overall target competition is far weaker. He is in line for a good amount of touchdown regression after scoring only two of his expected 6.8 scores, and the wide receiver room is littered with names who would only be a third or fourth option on a lot of teams. There's a very real possibility that Kincaid ascends into the top pass-catcher on the Bills, and has top-5 (or better) upside this week.

2024 Strength of Schedule - BUF

W1	W2	W3	W4	W5	W6	W7	W8	W9	W10	W11	W12	W13	W14	W15	W16	W17	W18
26 ARI	6 @MIA	24 JAX	11 @BAL	25 @HOU	15 @NYJ	4 TEN	19 @SEA	6 MIA	22 @IND	12 KC	BYE	13 SF	14 @LAR	17 @DET	8 NE	15 NYJ	8 @NE

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

Game Stats


Week	Opp	Rec	RecYds	RecTD	Tgts	YPR	RuAtt	YPC	STD	0.5 PPR	PPR	Snaps	%
1	ARI	1	11	0	2	11.00	0	0.00	1.1	1.60	2.1	52/62	83.9%
Per game			1.00	11.00	0	2.00	11.00	0	0.00	1.10	1.60	2.10	52.00/62.00	83.87%
Totals			1	11	0	2	11.00	0	0.00	1.1	1.6	2.1	52/62	83.87%

Previous Games vs. MIA


Season	Week	Opp	Rec	RecYds	RecTD	Tgts	YPR	RuAtt	RuYds	RuTD	Fum	STD	0.5 PPR	PPR	Snaps	%
2023	18	@MIA	7	84	0	8	12.00	0	0	0	0	8.4	11.90	15.4	43/78	55.13%
2023	4	MIA	4	27	0	5	6.75	0	0	0	0	2.7	4.70	6.7	30/58	51.72%
Average					5.50	55.50	0.00	6.50	9.38	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	5.55	8.30	11.05	36.50/68.00	53.43%

Dalton Kincaid