Josh Allen

Fantasy Upside
Josh Allen improved from his rookie season to his second season in many ways. His completion percentage went from 52.8% to 58.8%. His passing yardage went from 2,074 to 3,089. His passing touchdowns doubled from 10 to 20 and his interception total dropped from 12 to 9. We can expect him to raise those numbers more, especially with the addition of WR Stefon Diggs. But the key to Allen's fantasy value is his rushing numbers. Allen ran for 510 yards and nine touchdowns in 2019. That rushing total was third in the NFL for quarterbacks behind Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray.

Fantasy Downside
Allen's passing numbers are far from elite. He ranked 30th in passing yards per game and his passer rating ranked 24th. And since his rushing stats are what elevates him in the fantasy quarterback rankings, the fact he averaged 6.8 carries per game plus he was sacked 38 times (10th in NFL) puts him at a higher risk for injury. The Buffalo offense also still lacks in high-impact skill players, even with the acquisition of Diggs.

2020 Bottom Line
Allen has solidified himself as the second-best fantasy quarterback option (behind Jackson) from the 2018 NFL Draft. We expect more improvement in his third season and his passing numbers to rise above 3,700 yards. The touchdown and interception rate and rushing totals should stay the same and if that's the case, it pushes Allen into a QB1 ranking for the 2020 season. Allen's ADP suggests he is being taken as the seventh quarterback on average which coincides with his value as the seventh-ranked quarterback ahead of veterans like Matt Ryan, Tom Brady and Drew Brees.