
Draft Note by John Paulsen
In each of the past two seasons, Mahomes has finished QB10 in total points, but he was the QB4 on a per-game basis last year after missing the end of the season with a torn ACL and LCL. His CPOE (47th percentile) suggests the pinpoint accuracy isn't always there, but his EPA per dropback (84th percentile) and overall play-making ability keep him firmly in the QB1 conversation. The separator last year was his rushing. He has always been a threat to run–he has six straight seasons with 307+ yards as a runner–but as a 30-year-old, Mahomes set career-highs in rushing yards (422), and touchdowns (5). Given his knee injury, it’s fair to wonder if he will be as mobile in 2026. Rashee Rice is an alpha, Travis Kelce is back, and the Chiefs signed Kenneth Walker to replace Isiah Pacheco in the backfield. Mahomes is going off the board as a low-end QB1 and while his days of being a consensus top-three pick appear to be over, getting a quarterback with midrange QB1 upside outside the top 10 at the position is good value.
Patrick Mahomes
- QB
- , Kansas City Chiefs
- 31
- 225 lbs
- 6' 2"
- Texas Tech
- 107
- 1
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2026 Draft note
In each of the past two seasons, Mahomes has finished QB10 in total points, but he was the QB4 on a per-game basis last year after missing the end of the season with a torn ACL and LCL. His CPOE (47th percentile) suggests the pinpoint accuracy isn't always there, but his EPA per dropback (84th percentile) and overall play-making ability keep him firmly in the QB1 conversation. The separator last year was his rushing. He has always been a threat to run–he has six straight seasons with 307+ yards as a runner–but as a 30-year-old, Mahomes set career-highs in rushing yards (422), and touchdowns (5). Given his knee injury, it’s fair to wonder if he will be as mobile in 2026. Rashee Rice is an alpha, Travis Kelce is back, and the Chiefs signed Kenneth Walker to replace Isiah Pacheco in the backfield. Mahomes is going off the board as a low-end QB1 and while his days of being a consensus top-three pick appear to be over, getting a quarterback with midrange QB1 upside outside the top 10 at the position is good value.
2026 Strength of Schedule - KC
| W1 | W2 | W3 | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | W8 | W9 | W10 | W11 | W12 | W13 | W14 | W15 | W16 | W17 | W18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 DEN | 16 IND | 22 @MIA | 12 @LV | BYE | 2 LAC | 9 @SEA | 13 @DEN | 28 NYJ | 25 @ATL | 15 ARI | 7 @BUF | 18 @LAR | 27 @CIN | 17 NE | 24 SF | 2 @LAC | 12 LV |
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
Game Stats
| Wk | Opp | Comp | Att | PaYds | PaTD | Int | YPA | YPR | RuAtt | Yds | TD | Fum | YPC | Pts | Snaps | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @LAC | 24 | 39 | 258 | 1 | 0 | 6.62 | 10.75 | 6 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 9.50 | 26.0 | 61/61 | 100.0% |
| 2 | PHI | 16 | 29 | 187 | 1 | 1 | 6.45 | 11.69 | 7 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 9.43 | 22.1 | 60/60 | 100.0% |
| 3 | @NYG | 22 | 37 | 224 | 1 | 0 | 6.05 | 10.18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.40 | 13.2 | 72/72 | 100.0% |
| 4 | BAL | 25 | 37 | 270 | 4 | 0 | 7.30 | 10.80 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.25 | 27.3 | 67/73 | 91.8% |
| 5 | @JAX | 29 | 41 | 318 | 1 | 1 | 7.76 | 10.97 | 6 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 10.00 | 26.7 | 64/64 | 100.0% |
| 6 | DET | 22 | 30 | 257 | 3 | 0 | 8.57 | 11.68 | 10 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 3.20 | 31.5 | 64/64 | 100.0% |
| 7 | LV | 26 | 35 | 286 | 3 | 0 | 8.17 | 11.00 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 7.00 | 26.2 | 65/81 | 80.2% |
| 8 | WAS | 25 | 34 | 299 | 3 | 2 | 8.79 | 11.96 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 7.50 | 23.0 | 69/69 | 100.0% |
| 9 | @BUF | 15 | 34 | 250 | 0 | 1 | 7.35 | 16.67 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5.00 | 10.5 | 60/60 | 100.0% |
| 10 | BYE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | @DEN | 29 | 45 | 276 | 1 | 1 | 6.13 | 9.52 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 13.3 | 70/70 | 100.0% |
| 12 | IND | 29 | 46 | 352 | 0 | 1 | 7.65 | 12.14 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 7.50 | 17.1 | 96/96 | 100.0% |
| 13 | @DAL | 23 | 34 | 261 | 4 | 0 | 7.68 | 11.35 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 | 29.4 | 66/66 | 100.0% |
| 14 | HOU | 14 | 33 | 160 | 0 | 3 | 4.85 | 11.43 | 7 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 8.43 | 5.3 | 64/64 | 100.0% |
| 15 | LAC | 16 | 28 | 189 | 0 | 1 | 6.75 | 11.81 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 7.50 | 13.1 | 56/61 | 91.8% |
O
Injury Details (w16)
Status: Out Injury: Knee | @TEN | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
O
Injury Details (w17)
Status: Out Injury: Knee | DEN | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
O
Injury Details (w18)
Status: Out Injury: Knee | @LV | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Per game | 22.50 | 35.86 | 256.21 | 1.57 | 0.79 | 7.15 | 11.39 | 4.57 | 30.14 | 0.36 | 0 | 6.59 | 20.33 | 66.71/68.64 | 97.42% | |
| Totals | 315 | 502 | 3587 | 22 | 11 | 7.15 | 11.39 | 64 | 422 | 5 | 0 | 6.59 | 284.68 | 934/961 | 97.42% | |






