
Draft Note by John Paulsen
Addison's 2024 was a legitimate breakout. He finished WR17 overall, 12.9 points per game over 14 games, finishing inside the top 20 for the second time in his career. Then 2025 happened. He regressed to WR43 and 8.7 points per game in 13 games with J.J. McCarthy at quarterback, and the underlying metrics explain why: a 14.3% drop rate (10th percentile), an 8th-percentile ESPN CATCH score, and a 30th-percentile route grade paint the picture of a receiver who struggled to hold onto the football and win against coverage. Kyler Murray represents a genuine upgrade at quarterback since his improvisation and mobility should create more opportunities underneath and on broken plays that a receiver with Addison's field-stretching tendencies (14.5 aDOT) can exploit. The 50 vacated WR targets in Minnesota (17.4% of WR volume) add some incremental opportunity, though the wrinkle is Jauan Jennings' arrival. He’s a reliable underneath option who could absorb some of the intermediate volume that Addison might otherwise see. The question heading into 2026 is which version shows up: the WR17 from 2024 or the drop-prone WR43 from 2025. He’s being drafted as a high-end WR4, so the market seems to be betting more on the latter.
Jordan Addison
- WR
- , Minnesota Vikings
- 24
- 175 lbs
- 5' 11"
- USC
- 102
- 2
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2026 Draft note
Addison's 2024 was a legitimate breakout. He finished WR17 overall, 12.9 points per game over 14 games, finishing inside the top 20 for the second time in his career. Then 2025 happened. He regressed to WR43 and 8.7 points per game in 13 games with J.J. McCarthy at quarterback, and the underlying metrics explain why: a 14.3% drop rate (10th percentile), an 8th-percentile ESPN CATCH score, and a 30th-percentile route grade paint the picture of a receiver who struggled to hold onto the football and win against coverage. Kyler Murray represents a genuine upgrade at quarterback since his improvisation and mobility should create more opportunities underneath and on broken plays that a receiver with Addison's field-stretching tendencies (14.5 aDOT) can exploit. The 50 vacated WR targets in Minnesota (17.4% of WR volume) add some incremental opportunity, though the wrinkle is Jauan Jennings' arrival. He’s a reliable underneath option who could absorb some of the intermediate volume that Addison might otherwise see. The question heading into 2026 is which version shows up: the WR17 from 2024 or the drop-prone WR43 from 2025. He’s being drafted as a high-end WR4, so the market seems to be betting more on the latter.
2026 Strength of Schedule - MIN
| W1 | W2 | W3 | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | W8 | W9 | W10 | W11 | W12 | W13 | W14 | W15 | W16 | W17 | W18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 GB | 31 @CHI | 16 @TB | 27 MIA | 7 @NO | BYE | 24 IND | 29 @DET | 6 BUF | 20 @GB | 26 @SF | 30 ATL | 11 CAR | 22 @NE | 29 DET | 23 WAS | 19 @NYJ | 31 CHI |
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
Game Stats
| Week | Opp | Rec | RecYds | RecTD | Tgts | YPR | RuAtt | RuYds | RuTD | Fum | YPC | STD | 0.5 PPR | PPR | Snaps | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
O
Injury Details (w1)
Status: Out Injury: Suspension | @CHI | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
O
Injury Details (w2)
Status: Out Injury: Suspension | ATL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | CIN | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | @PIT | 4 | 114 | 0 | 8 | 28.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 11.4 | 13.40 | 15.4 | 73/76 | 96.1% |
| 5 | @CLE | 5 | 41 | 1 | 6 | 8.20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 10.1 | 12.60 | 15.1 | 49/65 | 75.4% |
| 6 | BYE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | PHI | 9 | 128 | 0 | 12 | 14.22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 12.8 | 17.30 | 21.8 | 64/69 | 92.8% |
| 8 | @LAC | 3 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 10.10 | 11.6 | 42/49 | 85.7% |
| 9 | @DET | 2 | 48 | 0 | 4 | 24.00 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 16.00 | 6.4 | 7.40 | 8.4 | 57/62 | 91.9% |
| 10 | BAL | 3 | 35 | 0 | 11 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.5 | 5.00 | 6.5 | 62/65 | 95.4% |
| 11 | CHI | 2 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 8.0 | 9.00 | 10.0 | 53/55 | 96.4% |
| 12 | @GB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 43/44 | 97.7% |
| 13 | @SEA | 5 | 36 | 0 | 10 | 7.20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.6 | 6.10 | 8.6 | 48/52 | 92.3% |
| 14 | WAS | 4 | 62 | 0 | 7 | 15.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6.2 | 8.20 | 10.2 | 43/64 | 67.2% |
| 15 | @DAL | 2 | 66 | 0 | 2 | 33.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6.6 | 7.60 | 8.6 | 35/55 | 63.6% |
| 16 | @NYG | 2 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.6 | 3.60 | 4.6 | 41/61 | 67.2% |
| 17 | DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 65.00 | 12.5 | 12.50 | 12.5 | 42/54 | 77.8% |
| 18 | GB | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.8 | 1.30 | 1.8 | 62/67 | 92.5% |
| Per game | 3.00 | 43.57 | 0.21 | 5.64 | 14.52 | 0.14 | 5.79 | 0.07 | 0 | 40.50 | 6.65 | 8.15 | 9.65 | 51.00/59.86 | 85.14% | |
| Totals | 42 | 610 | 3 | 79 | 14.52 | 2 | 81 | 1 | 0 | 40.50 | 93.1 | 114.1 | 135.1 | 714/838 | 85.14% | |






