
Draft Note by John Paulsen
Darnold's fantasy career has been a wild ride. He finished QB8 in 2024 with Minnesota—one of the bigger surprises of the fantasy season—and promptly followed it with a QB14 overall finish in Seattle that translates to just QB25 on a per-game basis. The regression was steep: he averaged 17.2 points per game in the first half of 2025 before cratering to 11.2 after the midpoint, finishing with six games below 10 points. The interceptions were a real problem—14 on the season—which undercut what was otherwise genuinely accurate play (93rd percentile in CPOE) and solid efficiency (80th percentile in EPA per dropback). He also brings almost nothing on the ground, averaging 6.4 rushing yards per start with zero rushing touchdowns. The roster in Seattle has turned over at running back—Kenneth Walker is gone, replaced by rookie Jadarian Price—but the passing game has some upside. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a legitimate number-one, and Rashid Shaheed should make more of an impact in his second year in the offense. Cooper Kupp adds a reliable veteran presence. Whether this group is enough to keep Darnold out of double-digit-interception territory again is the real question. Darnold is going as a low-end QB2, and that's about right. He's a frustrating player to roster—flashes of genuine quality surrounded by stretches of turnover-prone football that will lose you weeks.
Sam Darnold
- QB
- , Seattle Seahawks
- 29
- 225 lbs
- 6' 3"
- USC
- 146
- 1
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2026 Draft note
Darnold's fantasy career has been a wild ride. He finished QB8 in 2024 with Minnesota—one of the bigger surprises of the fantasy season—and promptly followed it with a QB14 overall finish in Seattle that translates to just QB25 on a per-game basis. The regression was steep: he averaged 17.2 points per game in the first half of 2025 before cratering to 11.2 after the midpoint, finishing with six games below 10 points. The interceptions were a real problem—14 on the season—which undercut what was otherwise genuinely accurate play (93rd percentile in CPOE) and solid efficiency (80th percentile in EPA per dropback). He also brings almost nothing on the ground, averaging 6.4 rushing yards per start with zero rushing touchdowns. The roster in Seattle has turned over at running back—Kenneth Walker is gone, replaced by rookie Jadarian Price—but the passing game has some upside. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a legitimate number-one, and Rashid Shaheed should make more of an impact in his second year in the offense. Cooper Kupp adds a reliable veteran presence. Whether this group is enough to keep Darnold out of double-digit-interception territory again is the real question. Darnold is going as a low-end QB2, and that's about right. He's a frustrating player to roster—flashes of genuine quality surrounded by stretches of turnover-prone football that will lose you weeks.
2026 Strength of Schedule - SEA
| W1 | W2 | W3 | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | W8 | W9 | W10 | W11 | W12 | W13 | W14 | W15 | W16 | W17 | W18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 NE | 15 @ARI | 30 @WAS | 2 LAC | 24 SF | 13 @DEN | 19 KC | 23 CHI | 15 ARI | 12 @LV | BYE | 24 @SF | 32 DAL | 20 NYG | 3 @PHI | 18 LAR | 4 @CAR | 18 @LAR |
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
Game Stats
| Wk | Opp | Comp | Att | PaYds | PaTD | Int | YPA | YPR | RuAtt | Yds | TD | Fum | YPC | Pts | Snaps | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 16 | 23 | 150 | 0 | 0 | 6.52 | 9.38 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 7.00 | 5.4 | 52/52 | 100.0% |
| 2 | @PIT | 22 | 33 | 295 | 2 | 2 | 8.94 | 13.41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 15.8 | 65/65 | 100.0% |
| 3 | NO | 14 | 18 | 218 | 2 | 0 | 12.11 | 15.57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 16.7 | 39/57 | 68.4% |
| 4 | @ARI | 18 | 26 | 242 | 1 | 0 | 9.31 | 13.44 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 24.00 | 16.1 | 66/66 | 100.0% |
| 5 | TB | 28 | 34 | 341 | 4 | 1 | 10.03 | 12.18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 27.6 | 61/61 | 100.0% |
| 6 | @JAX | 16 | 27 | 295 | 2 | 0 | 10.93 | 18.44 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.50 | 20.0 | 55/55 | 100.0% |
| 7 | HOU | 17 | 31 | 213 | 1 | 1 | 6.87 | 12.53 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 8.6 | 72/72 | 100.0% |
| 8 | BYE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | @WAS | 21 | 24 | 330 | 4 | 1 | 13.75 | 15.71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 27.2 | 48/51 | 94.1% |
| 10 | ARI | 10 | 12 | 178 | 1 | 1 | 14.83 | 17.80 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 2 | -0.67 | 4.9 | 56/62 | 90.3% |
| 11 | @LAR | 29 | 44 | 279 | 0 | 4 | 6.34 | 9.62 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5.50 | 4.3 | 84/84 | 100.0% |
| 12 | @TEN | 16 | 26 | 244 | 2 | 0 | 9.38 | 15.25 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -1.00 | 17.7 | 48/48 | 100.0% |
| 13 | MIN | 14 | 26 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 4.92 | 9.14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3.1 | 64/67 | 95.5% |
| 14 | @ATL | 20 | 30 | 249 | 3 | 1 | 8.30 | 12.45 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 7.67 | 22.3 | 53/61 | 86.9% |
| 15 | IND | 22 | 36 | 271 | 0 | 0 | 7.53 | 12.32 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.25 | 11.3 | 60/60 | 100.0% |
| 16 | LAR | 22 | 34 | 270 | 2 | 2 | 7.94 | 12.27 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2.33 | 19.5 | 68/68 | 100.0% |
| 17 | @CAR | 18 | 27 | 147 | 1 | 1 | 5.44 | 8.17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.67 | 6.1 | 66/66 | 100.0% |
| 18 | @SF | 20 | 26 | 198 | 0 | 0 | 7.62 | 9.90 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1.50 | 8.8 | 69/69 | 100.0% |
| Per game | 19.00 | 28.06 | 238.12 | 1.47 | 0.82 | 8.49 | 12.53 | 2.06 | 5.59 | 0 | 0.35 | 2.71 | 13.85 | 60.35/62.59 | 96.19% | |
| Totals | 323 | 477 | 4048 | 25 | 14 | 8.49 | 12.53 | 35 | 95 | 0 | 6 | 2.71 | 235.42 | 1026/1064 | 96.19% | |






