• Tyreek Hill

  • WR
  • , Miami Dolphins
  • 28
  • 185 lbs
  • 5' 10"
PtsRecYdsRecTDRecRuYds
1861239911196
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Hill was the WR6 last season and the WR2 the year before. As the WR9 off the board in early drafts, managers obviously believe most of his production is going to carry over to Miami. The good news is that the Dolphins’ HC Mike McDaniel has a great reputation and could potentially utilize Hill the way the 49ers used Deebo Samuel in the second half of the 2021 season. Hill is faster than Samuel but doesn’t break tackles at the nearly the same rate, so I don’t think he’ll see more than a handful of carries this season. Hill is seeing a quarterback downgrade from Patrick Mahomes to Tua Tagovailoa, but Tua’s deep ball accuracy (55.2%) was the best in the league in 2021, per PFF. He should be able to post WR1 numbers, but he’s not a shoo-in for that sort of production given the change in offense/quarterback.

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Scouting report

by Jordan Heck

MIA WR Tyreek Hill - 2022 Fantasy Football Outlook

2022 Fantasy Upside
Tyreek Hill has been one of the best at his position ever since taking a lead role in 2017. In fact, he has the 8th-most receptions, 4th-most receiving yards, and 2nd-most receiving touchdowns in that span. He’s been incredibly consistent, finishing as WR8, WR1, WR30 (injured), WR2, and WR6 in those years. He gets a change of scenery in Miami where he joins creative HC Mike McDaniel, who made Deebo Samuel WR3 last season. While we may not see the same running back usage out of Hill that we saw with Samuel, we’ve seen Hill on the ground plenty throughout his career as he has 93 career rush attempts.

2022 Fantasy Downside
Hill gets a downgrade at QB as he goes from Patrick Mahomes to Tua Tagovailoa. He also joins a different system. Kansas City threw the ball 675 times last season, good for second-most in the league. McDaniel’s 49ers team had 514 attempts, fourth-fewest in the league. Hill also goes from being the guy in Kansas City to just one of the guys in Miami. Yes, he’ll be WR1, but there’s more talent in the WR corps here with Jaylen Waddle and Cedrick Wilson. All of this leads to fewer targets on fewer pass attempts, which ultimately leads to less production.

2022 Bottom Line
Hill is one of the most talented wide receivers in the league, and should still be viewed as a WR1 in fantasy. The difference this year, however, is he won’t be the WR1 most likely. In the past four seasons, Hill has averaged 80.5 receiving yards per game, and it’s really difficult to see that continuing in 2022 in Miami. With a new system and a new QB, Hill goes from being a top-5 WR to more like a top-10 WR. He’s still good, but he’s not that elite option you consider spending a 1st-round pick on. He’s more of a mid 2nd-round pick.

2022 Strength of Schedule - MIA

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W18
5
NE
30
@BAL
1
BUF
19
@CIN
26
@NYJ
32
MIN
16
PIT
13
@DET
10
@CHI
11
CLE
BYE20
HOU
17
@SF
3
@LAC
1
@BUF
9
GB
5
@NE
26
NYJ

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

Game Stats

WeekOppRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCSTDPPRSnaps%
1CLE1119711517.9114004.0026.137.157/6587.7%
2@BAL314044.671150015.002.95.950/5198.0%
3LAC5560711.201110111.004.79.758/7973.4%
4@PHI1118631216.9100000.0036.647.654/6780.6%
5BUF7630139.001150015.007.814.873/8684.9%
6@WAS9761128.4400000.0013.622.647/8257.3%
7@TEN649098.171180018.006.712.752/7272.2%
8NYG12941187.8300000.0015.427.462/8176.5%
9GB4370119.251-400-4.003.37.354/6583.1%
10@LV78321011.8612002.0020.527.556/7673.7%
11DAL9770118.561330033.0011.020.055/6880.9%
12BYE--------------
13DEN2220511.0000000.002.24.250/5787.7%
14LV4760419.0000000.007.611.644/6666.7%
15@LAC1214811312.3300000.0020.832.860/7283.3%
16PIT219029.5000000.001.93.929/6942.0%
17@CIN6400106.6712002.004.210.252/6185.2%
18@DEN12032.0000000.000.21.214/7817.9%
Per game6.5372.880.539.3511.160.535.6500.0610.6710.9117.4451.00/70.2973.61%
Totals1111239915911.169960110.67185.5296.5867/119573.61%