
Draft Note by John Paulsen
Collins presents one of the most counterintuitive statistical profiles at the position. His ESPN OPEN score is 9th percentile yet his PFF route grade is 94th percentile and his YPRR is 93rd percentile. He's a 6'4" boundary receiver who wins through size, physicality, and positioning rather than through obvious separation, and his 80th-percentile contested catch rate confirms that conclusion. Defenders don't leave him open; he catches the ball anyway, and hi 86th-percentile drop rate shows he makes the most of it when the ball arrives. He's put up 14.9 and 12.7 points per game over the last two seasons and finished WR7 and WR10 per game, respectively. At the WR11, he's priced fairly for a player who has delivered back-to-back top-ten per-game seasons.
Nico Collins
- WR
- , Houston Texans
- 27
- 222 lbs
- 6' 4"
- Michigan
- 23
- 1
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Pro Football Talk
·Nov 18, 2025 · 6:16 PM EST
2026 Draft note
Collins presents one of the most counterintuitive statistical profiles at the position. His ESPN OPEN score is 9th percentile yet his PFF route grade is 94th percentile and his YPRR is 93rd percentile. He's a 6'4" boundary receiver who wins through size, physicality, and positioning rather than through obvious separation, and his 80th-percentile contested catch rate confirms that conclusion. Defenders don't leave him open; he catches the ball anyway, and hi 86th-percentile drop rate shows he makes the most of it when the ball arrives. He's put up 14.9 and 12.7 points per game over the last two seasons and finished WR7 and WR10 per game, respectively. At the WR11, he's priced fairly for a player who has delivered back-to-back top-ten per-game seasons.
2026 Strength of Schedule - HOU
| W1 | W2 | W3 | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | W8 | W9 | W10 | W11 | W12 | W13 | W14 | W15 | W16 | W17 | W18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 BUF | 13 CIN | 24 @IND | 32 DAL | 28 @TEN | 12 @JAX | 17 NYG | BYE | 14 @LAC | 9 @CLE | 24 IND | 25 BAL | 21 @PIT | 23 @WAS | 12 JAX | 2 @PHI | 20 @GB | 28 TEN |
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
Game Stats
| Week | Opp | Rec | RecYds | RecTD | Tgts | YPR | RuAtt | RuYds | RuTD | Fum | YPC | STD | 0.5 PPR | PPR | Snaps | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @LAR | 3 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.5 | 4.00 | 5.5 | 53/63 | 84.1% |
| 2 | TB | 3 | 52 | 1 | 9 | 17.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 11.2 | 12.70 | 14.2 | 44/49 | 89.8% |
| 3 | @JAX | 8 | 104 | 1 | 11 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 14.4 | 18.40 | 22.4 | 54/63 | 85.7% |
| 4 | TEN | 4 | 79 | 0 | 6 | 19.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 7.9 | 9.90 | 11.9 | 61/71 | 85.9% |
| 5 | @BAL | 4 | 52 | 1 | 5 | 13.00 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 14.00 | 16.0 | 40/70 | 57.1% |
| 6 | BYE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | @SEA | 4 | 27 | 0 | 10 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.7 | 4.70 | 6.7 | 39/76 | 51.3% |
O
Injury Details (w8)
Status: Out Injury: Concussion | SF | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | DEN | 7 | 75 | 0 | 11 | 10.71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 7.5 | 11.00 | 14.5 | 58/73 | 79.5% |
| 10 | JAX | 7 | 136 | 0 | 15 | 19.43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 15.6 | 19.10 | 22.6 | 67/75 | 89.3% |
| 11 | @TEN | 9 | 92 | 1 | 10 | 10.22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 15.2 | 19.70 | 24.2 | 59/70 | 84.3% |
| 12 | BUF | 3 | 55 | 0 | 3 | 18.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5.5 | 7.00 | 8.5 | 44/59 | 74.6% |
| 13 | @IND | 5 | 98 | 0 | 10 | 19.60 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7.00 | 16.5 | 19.00 | 21.5 | 57/76 | 75.0% |
| 14 | @KC | 4 | 121 | 0 | 8 | 30.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 12.1 | 14.10 | 16.1 | 57/70 | 81.4% |
| 15 | ARI | 3 | 85 | 2 | 4 | 28.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 20.5 | 22.00 | 23.5 | 49/67 | 73.1% |
| 16 | LV | 4 | 59 | 0 | 9 | 14.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5.9 | 7.90 | 9.9 | 52/65 | 80.0% |
| 17 | @LAC | 3 | 57 | 0 | 4 | 19.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5.7 | 7.20 | 8.7 | 44/65 | 67.7% |
O
Injury Details (w18)
Status: Out Injury: Rest (non-injury Related) | IND | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Per game | 4.73 | 74.47 | 0.40 | 8.00 | 15.73 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 7.50 | 10.35 | 12.71 | 15.08 | 51.87/67.47 | 77.26% | |
| Totals | 71 | 1117 | 6 | 120 | 15.73 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 7.50 | 155.2 | 190.7 | 226.2 | 778/1012 | 77.26% | |






