• Josh Jacobs

  • RB
  • , Las Vegas Raiders
  • 23
  • 220 lbs
  • 5' 10"
PtsRuYdsRuTDRecRecYds
19810641233238
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Jacobs finished No. 8 last year (half-PPR) after a No. 18 finish the year before. He had the No. 13 per game average in 2019. Normally, if a 23-year-old back had this resume, he’d be ranked near or inside the top 10, but Jacobs has a couple of things working against him this year. First, the Raiders gave $11 million guaranteed to Kenyan Drake on a two-year deal, making it clear that they envision him as more than a pure backup. Drake’s arrival is likely to affect Jacobs’ touches, certainly his catches, which increased from 1.5 per game as a rookie to 2.2 per game last year. The other problem is that the Raiders overhauled their (already good) offensive line, and are a net $25.3 million worse, per my offensive line free agency study. Las Vegas now projects to have a bottom 10 unit. For Jacobs, this means he’s looking at fewer touches and less room to run, which is why he’s more of a low-end RB2 this summer.

Latest news

Scouting report

by Brandon Niles

LV RB Josh Jacobs - 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Josh Jacobs is off to a nice start to his career. He has back-to-back 1,000-plus-yard seasons to go with 12 touchdowns last year. Jacobs has been a workhorse, averaging 20.3 touches per game through his first two years in the league. Jacobs should continue to be a heavy part of the offense, and he gets touches in the red zone, so his double-digit touchdowns from last year seem sustainable.

Fantasy Downside

Jacobs’ biggest drawback is a mere 72 targets through two years – a number that seems destined to go down with the addition of Kenyan Drake to the offense. Expect Jacobs’ touches to decrease overall with Drake on the team, which could turn him into more of an RB2 than an RB1 option in most leagues, particularly in PPR and half-PPR formats. Jacobs has also dealt with nagging injuries already, and while he mostly plays through them, he’s missed four games so far and we’ll see how he does if they keep adding up.

2021 Bottom Line

Jacobs is slipping to the late-4th right now in redraft leagues, which makes him interesting to me. He should still get two-down work and has a nice shot at repeating his touchdown numbers, so he isn’t without value. We have him ranked as a low-end RB2 right now, which seems fair enough, but the difference between him and similarly drafted backs is that low-end RB2 seems like a floor for Jacobs. His range of outcomes looks smaller than other options, but if you need someone to get 10-15 guaranteed touches and a better than 50-50 chance at a touchdown, you could do worse than Jacobs in the running back dead zone.

2021 Strength of Schedule - LV

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
13
BAL
6
@PIT
11
MIA
17
@LAC
4
CHI
22
@DEN
9
PHI
BYE18
@NYG
24
KC
27
CIN
26
@DAL
7
WAS
24
@KC
12
@CLE
22
DEN
10
@IND

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

Game Stats

WeekOppRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRSTDPPRSnaps%
1@CAR2593303.724460611.5031.935.949/6377.8%
2NO2788003.26317035.6710.513.553/8066.3%
3@NE1671014.44312044.006.39.335/5959.3%
4BUF1548003.20325048.337.310.350/7467.6%
5@KC2377203.3528034.0020.522.545/7064.3%
6BYE--------------
7TB1017001.70314044.673.16.132/6549.2%
8@CLE31128004.1300010.0012.812.848/7266.7%
9@LAC1465104.6413013.0012.813.828/5056.0%
10DEN21112205.33424046.0025.629.643/7259.7%
11KC1755103.2419019.0012.413.444/5974.6%
12@ATL727013.86317035.672.45.438/6360.3%
13@NYJ--------------
14IND1349003.77325058.337.410.429/6842.6%
15LAC2676102.923380312.6717.420.452/7668.4%
16MIA1369005.3100020.006.96.932/6450.0%
17@DEN1589205.9300010.0020.920.938/6955.1%
Per game18.2070.930.800.133.902.2015.8703.007.2113.2115.4141.07/66.9361.19%
Totals27310641223.90332380457.21198.2231.2616/100461.19%
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