
Draft Note by John Paulsen
Samuel is entering his age-29 season, which isn’t ancient by receiver standards, but there’s reason to wonder if he’s already on the downslope. Last year, he set career lows in receptions per game (3.4) and receiving yards per game (44.7), and posted his fewest rushing yards (136) since 2020. Despite playing 15 games, he finished as the fantasy WR47, a far cry from his WR9 campaign the year before. Now in Washington, Samuel is hoping to bounce back in what could be an ascending Commanders offense led by rookie Jayden Daniels. The fit is intriguing—Samuel could thrive on manufactured touches and short-area work if the offense clicks under Kliff Kingsbury—but his declining production and age-related concerns make him tough to trust as more than middle-round pick. He’ll need a significant role and efficiency bump to return to weekly fantasy relevance.
Deebo Samuel
- WR
- , Washington Commanders
- 29
- 215 lbs
- 6' 0"
- 85
- 2
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Draft note
Samuel is entering his age-29 season, which isn’t ancient by receiver standards, but there’s reason to wonder if he’s already on the downslope. Last year, he set career lows in receptions per game (3.4) and receiving yards per game (44.7), and posted his fewest rushing yards (136) since 2020. Despite playing 15 games, he finished as the fantasy WR47, a far cry from his WR9 campaign the year before. Now in Washington, Samuel is hoping to bounce back in what could be an ascending Commanders offense led by rookie Jayden Daniels. The fit is intriguing—Samuel could thrive on manufactured touches and short-area work if the offense clicks under Kliff Kingsbury—but his declining production and age-related concerns make him tough to trust as more than middle-round pick. He’ll need a significant role and efficiency bump to return to weekly fantasy relevance.
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Scouting report
2025 Strength of Schedule - WAS
W1 | W2 | W3 | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | W8 | W9 | W10 | W11 | W12 | W13 | W14 | W15 | W16 | W17 | W18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 NYG | 6 @GB | 7 LV | 29 @ATL | 22 @LAC | 3 CHI | 26 @DAL | 10 @KC | 17 SEA | 25 DET | 8 @MIA | BYE | 13 DEN | 32 @MIN | 9 @NYG | 5 PHI | 26 DAL | 5 @PHI |
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
Game Stats
Week | Opp | Rec | RecYds | RecTD | Tgts | YPR | RuAtt | RuYds | RuTD | Fum | YPC | STD | 0.5 PPR | PPR | Snaps | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYJ | 5 | 54 | 0 | 9 | 10.80 | 8 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 2.88 | 13.7 | 16.20 | 18.7 | 53/72 | 73.6% |
2 | @MIN | 8 | 110 | 0 | 10 | 13.75 | 2 | -10 | 0 | 0 | -5.00 | 10.0 | 14.00 | 18.0 | 60/70 | 85.7% |
O
Injury Details (w3)
Status: Out Injury: Calf | @LAR | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
4 | NE | 3 | 58 | 0 | 5 | 19.33 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7.00 | 7.2 | 8.70 | 10.2 | 48/63 | 76.2% |
5 | ARI | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 11.00 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 2.0 | 2.50 | 3.0 | 52/64 | 81.3% |
6 | @SEA | 3 | 102 | 1 | 5 | 34.00 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3.75 | 17.7 | 19.20 | 20.7 | 53/65 | 81.5% |
7 | KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 4/63 | 6.3% |
P
Injury Details (w8)
Status: Probable Injury: Illness/wrist | DAL | 4 | 71 | 0 | 7 | 17.75 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3.75 | 8.6 | 10.60 | 12.6 | 42/68 | 61.8% |
Q
Injury Details (w9)
Status: Questionable Injury: Ribs | BYE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
10 | @TB | 5 | 62 | 0 | 6 | 12.40 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4.67 | 7.6 | 10.10 | 12.6 | 50/64 | 78.1% |
11 | SEA | 4 | 22 | 0 | 7 | 5.50 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -1.00 | 2.1 | 4.10 | 6.1 | 55/63 | 87.3% |
12 | @GB | 1 | 21 | 0 | 4 | 21.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.1 | 2.60 | 3.1 | 33/49 | 67.3% |
13 | @BUF | 4 | 20 | 0 | 5 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 36/48 | 75.0% |
14 | CHI | 2 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 11.00 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2.60 | 3.5 | 4.50 | 5.5 | 48/61 | 78.7% |
15 | LAR | 3 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 5.33 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.50 | 1.9 | 3.40 | 4.9 | 42/54 | 77.8% |
16 | @MIA | 7 | 96 | 1 | 9 | 13.71 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 5.00 | 18.1 | 21.60 | 25.1 | 53/64 | 82.8% |
17 | DET | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5.00 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 5.33 | 8.1 | 8.60 | 9.1 | 53/64 | 82.8% |
18 | @ARI | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Per game | 3.40 | 44.67 | 0.20 | 5.40 | 13.14 | 2.80 | 9.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 3.24 | 6.84 | 8.54 | 10.24 | 45.47/62.13 | 73.09% | |
Totals | 51 | 670 | 3 | 81 | 13.14 | 42 | 136 | 1 | 1 | 3.24 | 102.6 | 128.1 | 153.6 | 682/932 | 73.09% |