• Deebo Samuel

  • WR
  • , San Francisco 49ers
  • 25
  • 214 lbs
  • 5' 11"
PtsRecYdsRecTDRecRuYds
4839113326
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Samuel was limited Week 4 and played one snap in Week 14. When those games are excluded, he averaged 6.0 receptions for 71 yards and 0.20 touchdowns. The resulting 11.5 PPG (half-PPR), which includes some rushing production, would equate to midrange WR2-type numbers. It’s a five game sample, and Brandon Aiyuk was active for four of them, while George Kittle was active for only three. In the four games where all four players were active, Samuel saw a higher target share (16.9%) and reception share (18.2%) than Aiyuk, though Aiyuk had a higher share of receiving yards (21.9% to 18.2%). Since 2019, Samuel has averaged 9.5 PPG in 17 games with Kittle and 12.6 PPG in the five games without him, and the target difference (8.6 vs. 4.8) is stark. Kittle might impact Samuel’s usage more than Aiyuk.

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Scouting report

by Bob Harris

SF WR Deebo Samuel - 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
As ESPN's Mike Clay noted, like an absurdly large percentage of the 49ers' roster, Deebo Samuel suffered through an injury-plagued 2020 campaign. But when healthy, Samuel is a dynamic weapon for Kyle Shanahan's offense. He had the second-most receiving yards by a rookie in franchise history in 2019 with 802. In 2020, Samuel only played seven games, starting in five, but averaged a hefty 25 percent target share (8.2 per game) while also handling 4 percent of the team's carries. His 212 fantasy points were the 23rd-most among all wide receivers. And much like there is for teammate Brandon Aiyuk, there's ample reason to believe we haven't seen the ceiling here. Aside from the obvious, the fact that starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo missed most of the season forcing Samuel to work alongside two different backups in C.J. Beathard and Nick Mullens,

Fantasy Downside Clay notes there was at least another issue worth pointing out: Samuel, Aiyuk and George Kittle played three full games together (Weeks 5-7), and the targets those weeks were as follows: Kittle (25), Samuel (19) and Aiyuk (17). Also, Samuel has seven total touchdowns in his first two seasons (while missing 10 games due to injury).

2021 Bottom Line
As dynamic as Samuel can be, he's often a short-range target and is asked to make something out of nothing regularly. There's definitely more value in his role for PPR leagues as Kittle and Aiyuk figure to be the favored red-zone targets.

2021 Strength of Schedule - SF

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
30
@DET
29
@PHI
2
GB
27
SEA
13
@ARI
BYE16
IND
6
@CHI
13
ARI
1
LAR
21
@JAX
24
MIN
27
@SEA
19
@CIN
31
ATL
28
@TEN
26
HOU

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

Game Stats

WeekOppRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCSTDPPRSnaps%
1ARI--------------
2@NYJ--------------
3@NYG--------------
4PHI3350311.671100010.004.57.525/7334.2%
5MIA219089.5013003.002.24.257/6489.1%
6LAR6661611.001-600-6.0012.018.060/7382.2%
7@NE5650513.0037002.337.212.241/6662.1%
8@SEA--------------
9GB--------------
10@NO--------------
11BYE--------------
12@LAR1113301312.0900000.0013.324.363/7287.5%
13BUF6730912.1713003.007.613.658/6195.1%
14WAS00000.0019009.000.90.91/811.2%
15@DAL--------------
16@ARI--------------
17SEA--------------
Per game4.7155.860.146.2911.851.143.71003.256.8111.5343.57/70.0064.49%
Totals3339114411.85826003.2547.780.7305/49064.49%
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