Jackson was fantastic in his second season, throwing 36 touchdowns and only six interceptions while racking up an eye-popping 1,206 yards and seven touchdowns as a runner. He was one of four quarterbacks since 2000 to post a touchdown percentage of 9.0% or more. Those three players averaged 6.1% TD% in the following season. For a bigger sample, the 24 quarterbacks who posted a season with a touchdown percentage of 7.0% or higher saw their percentage decrease by an average of 34.9% the following season. This would put Jackson’s 2020 TD% at 5.9%. There are reasons to believe that Jackson won’t regress that much, however. He’s still developing as a passer, and the threat of the Baltimore running game should continue to give opposing defenses major headaches, especially in the red zone. He deserves to be one of the first two quarterbacks off the board in 2020 fantasy drafts.
Oct 09 · 7:14 PM EDT