• Lamar Jackson

  • QB
  • , Baltimore Ravens
  • 23
  • 216 lbs
  • 6' 2"
PtsPaYdsPaTDIntRuYds
41631273661213
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Jackson was fantastic in his second season, throwing 36 touchdowns and only six interceptions while racking up an eye-popping 1,206 yards and seven touchdowns as a runner. He was one of four quarterbacks since 2000 to post a touchdown percentage of 9.0% or more. Those three players averaged 6.1% TD% in the following season. For a bigger sample, the 24 quarterbacks who posted a season with a touchdown percentage of 7.0% or higher saw their percentage decrease by an average of 34.9% the following season. This would put Jackson’s 2020 TD% at 5.9%. There are reasons to believe that Jackson won’t regress that much, however. He’s still developing as a passer, and the threat of the Baltimore running game should continue to give opposing defenses major headaches, especially in the red zone. He deserves to be one of the first two quarterbacks off the board in 2020 fantasy drafts.

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Scouting report

by Brandon Niles

BAL QB Lamar Jackson - 2020 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Lamar Jackson is coming off an incredible fantasy season. He led the league with 36 touchdown passes, while adding another seven on the ground. He only threw for 3,127 yards, but also set the record for rushing yards in a season by a quarterback with 1,206. Only five RUNNING BACKS ran for more yards than Jackson did in 2019. Jackson’s upside is tied to things staying largely the same as last year. He returns in the same offense, has a very good offensive line and has even more weapons to work with after the Ravens drafted running back J.K. Dobbins and wide receiver Devin Duvernay in the second and third round, respectively.

Fantasy Downside

There are only two potential downsides to Jackson. The first is durability. While he’s been healthy thus far, he’s had 323 rushing attempts in his first two years in the league. That’s a lot of hits for a quarterback to sustain, although Jackson seems to make smart decisions on which hits to take and which ones to avoid. The other downside is any kind of reasonable regression. That kind of rushing production, as well as the 36/6 TD/Interception rate from last season, will be hard to replicate.

2020 Bottom Line

Jackson is one of the most dynamic players in football and was a straight-up fantasy monster in 2019. There are smatterings of NFL analysts who have called Jackson’s rushing production unsustainable for the past two years, but at some point, we have to believe offensive coordinator Greg Roman is just going to let him run. The team has been constructed around what he does best and until they do something different or his body shows concrete signs of wearing down, fantasy owners shouldn’t hesitate to make him at least one of the top two quarterbacks on draft boards.

2020 Strength of Schedule - BAL

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
23
CLE
24
@HOU
15
KC
26
@WAS
28
CIN
13
@PHI
2
PIT
BYE14
@IND
1
@NE
19
TEN
2
@PIT
20
DAL
23
@CLE
22
JAX
31
NYG
28
@CIN

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats

WkOppCompAttPaYdsPaTDIntYPAYPRRuAttYdsTDFumYPCPtsSnaps%
1@MIA17203245016.2019.0636002.0033.654/7770.1%
2ARI2437272207.3511.3316120007.5030.979/79100.0%
3@KC2243267006.2112.14846105.7521.383/83100.0%
4CLE2434247327.2610.29966007.3324.569/69100.0%
5@PIT1928161135.758.471470005.0011.481/81100.0%
6CIN2133236007.1511.2419152108.0030.681/81100.0%
7@SEA920143007.1515.8914116108.2923.359/59100.0%
8BYE---------------
9NE1723163107.099.591661203.8128.670/70100.0%
10@CIN15172233013.1214.87765109.2933.436/4776.6%
11HOU1724222409.2513.06986009.5633.561/7284.7%
12@LAR1520169508.4511.278950011.8836.362/7879.5%
13SF1423105104.577.5016101116.3122.365/65100.0%
14@BUF1625145315.809.061140003.6419.860/60100.0%
15NYJ1523212509.2214.138860010.7537.154/6385.7%
16@CLE2031238307.6811.9017103016.0629.873/73100.0%
17PIT---------------
Per game17.6726.73208.472.400.407.8011.8011.6780.870.470.136.9327.7665.80/70.4793.11%
Totals26540131273667.8011.801751213726.93416.38987/105793.11%
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