• David Montgomery

  • RB
  • , Chicago Bears
  • 24
  • 222 lbs
  • 5' 10"
PtsRuYdsRuTDRecRecYds
2111070854438
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Montgomery finished as the No. 4 running back last season (half-PPR) after a No. 25 finish the year before. He was more efficient (3.7 YPC in 2019 versus 4.3 YPC last year) and saw a big spike in catches (25 to 54), thanks in no small part to the absence of Tarik Cohen, who missed the final 13 games of the season. Cohen’s return is some cause for concern. Over the past two seasons, Montgomery has averaged 21.0 touches and 16.9 fantasy points in the 12 games that Cohen has missed. When Cohen has been active, Montgomery has averaged 16.6 touches and 10.1 fantasy points. Nothing had changed as recently as early last season. In Cohen’s three active games, Montgomery averaged 52% of the snaps. His playing time spiked to 80% for the remainder of the season. In positive news, Adam Jahns of The Athletic predicted that Montgomery would be the team’s MVP, adding, “The Bears expect him to surpass all those [2020] numbers in his third season.” Montgomery’s career receiving numbers–7.9 yards per catch, 76.7% catch rate–are now better than Cohen’s (7.5, 76.0%).

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Scouting report

by Jordan Heck

CHI RB David Montgomery - 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
David Montgomery had an impressive sophomore season, finishing just over 1,500 scrimmage yards with 10 total touchdowns, making him the No. 4 back in fantasy (half-PPR). He especially played well down the stretch in the Bears’ final six games, averaging 137.4 scrimmage yards while scoring 8 of his 10 touchdowns in that span. After an impressive finish, the Bears are aiming to get Montgomery more involved as coach Matt Nagy said “the goal” this season is to get Montgomery to 20 rushes a game. Montgomery also improved as a receiver last season, doubling his output in receptions as a rookie from 25 to 54.

Fantasy Downside
Montgomery’s increase as a receiver out of the backfield can be directly tied to Tarik Cohen’s absence. With Cohen returning this year, there’s certainly some doubt as to whether Montgomery can keep up the pace he had a season ago. It’s a small sample size, but in the three games with Cohen active, Montgomery averaged 51% of the offensive snaps. In the games after, he averaged over 80%. And not only is Cohen returning, but the Bears also added Damien Williams, who played well for the Chiefs before opting out of the 2020 season. And if Justin Fields plays in his rookie season, we can expect him to take some carries of his own.

2021 Bottom Line
Even with an extra game on the schedule, we don’t have Montgomery projected to reach the 1,500-yard mark like he did last season. Cohen’s return combined with Fields’ and Williams’ arrival will make it hard for him to have the same volume as a year ago. But the Bears still clearly like him if their “goal” is to get him 20+ carries a game. He should finish around the RB15 mark (half-PPR), making him a strong RB2 in 2021.

2021 Strength of Schedule - CHI

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
5
@LAR
27
CIN
12
@CLE
32
DET
30
@LV
25
GB
1
@TB
8
SF
6
@PIT
BYE13
BAL
32
@DET
19
ARI
25
@GB
23
MIN
16
@SEA
18
NYG

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

Game Stats

WeekOppRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRSTDPPRSnaps%
1@DET1364004.921100310.007.48.429/6544.6%
2NYG1682005.123451315.0018.721.735/6553.8%
3@ATL1445003.2129034.505.47.446/8256.1%
4IND1027002.703300610.007.710.753/6285.5%
5TB1029102.90730084.2911.918.951/6381.0%
6@CAR1958003.05439059.759.713.756/6684.8%
7@LAR1448003.43521054.206.911.952/6382.5%
8NO2189004.24216058.0010.512.559/7084.3%
9@TEN1430012.14312034.002.25.250/7764.9%
10MIN--------------
11BYE--------------
12@GB11103009.36540168.0020.325.358/6885.3%
13DET1772204.24439049.7523.127.152/6975.4%
14HOU111131010.273420414.0021.524.540/6066.7%
15@MIN32146204.561160216.0028.229.256/6487.5%
16@JAX2395104.132260213.0018.120.160/7283.3%
17GB2269103.14963097.0019.228.262/7582.7%
Per game16.4771.330.530.074.333.6029.200.134.538.1114.0517.6550.60/68.0774.56%
Totals2471070814.33544382688.11210.8264.8759/102174.56%
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