2026 Geno Smith could be one of fantasy's most reliable archetypes: the quarterback on a bad team who throws a lot because his team trails constantly. He's going back to New York with a cast that includes Garrett Wilson, Adonai Mitchell, and rookie additions Omar Cooper Jr. and Kenyon Sadiq–a receiver room that should generate weekly production when the targets are there. The Jets have 99 vacated WR targets (37.2% of WR volume), the defense figures to struggle, and the offense will spend large portions of games in catch-up mode. That's the “garbage-time hero” profile in its purest form. The concern is 2025, which was a disaster in Las Vegas–QB23 overall, QB36 per game, 11.6 points per game, eight games under 10 points, and 17 interceptions. The 13th-percentile EPA per dropback is alarming for a player being considered as a potential streaming option. His 2024 in Seattle (QB15, 15.0 PPG) is the counterpoint—he can still function in the right environment. The Jets are not Seattle, but they may be a better situation than Las Vegas was last season.