Garrett Wilson
  • Garrett Wilson

  • WR
  • , New York Jets
  • 24
  • 192 lbs
  • 6' 0"
PtsRecYdsRecTDRecRuYds
11810423950
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
After Aaron Rodgers tore his Achilles on his first pass attempt of the season, it was clear that Garrett Wilson would be in for a tough season. He finished as the fantasy WR30 after a WR22 finish as a rookie in 2022. Since 2010, among receivers in their first two seasons, Wilson ranked seventh in receptions and 14th in receiving yards. In his last two seasons in Green Bay, Rodgers’ receivers averaged 1.41 (half-PPR) fantasy points per target, which is 45% higher than the 0.97 fantasy points per target offered by the Jets’ quarterbacks last season. Simply applying 1.41 fantasy points per target to Wilson’s 168 targets last season would yield roughly 237 fantasy points, or about what A.J. Brown scored as last year’s fantasy WR5. Matt Harmon’s charting of WIlson’s second season at Reception Perception supports the prospect of a breakout third year. Harmon called Wilson “the CeeDee Lamb of last summer” and says the “hype is real.” I don’t think Wilson’s WR8 ADP is much of a reach at all.

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Scouting report

by Matt Jones

NYJ WR Garrett Wilson - 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Garrett Wilson checks in as our WR7 heading into the season. We have him projected for over 1,100 yards on just under 90 receptions. Wilson has been saddled with brutal quarterback play across the first two years of his career. If he can gain Aaron Rodgers' trust in the red zone it's not hard to see how his projection of six touchdowns could be low. Wilson only has seven touchdowns in his career thus far but if he can get closer to double-digit scores in his third year we could be looking at a Top 5 finish.

Fantasy Downside

Outside of injury, his downside case is tied to a Breece Hall explosion in 2024. From a team philosophy perspective, it's easy to envision the Jets leaning heavily on the run game. The emphasis on the running backs could dry up scoring opportunities for Wilson. He could fall out of the Top 10 at the position if he sees a dip of just 8-10 receptions.

2024 Bottom Line

All signs point to Wilson paying off his ADP given a healthy Rodgers. He has shown that he can make plays all over the field. Wilson looks well on his way to another 1,000-yard season and a top fantasy finish.

2024 Strength of Schedule - NYJ

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W18
16
@SF
22
@TEN
24
NE
5
DEN
14
@MIN
6
BUF
10
@PIT
24
@NE
30
HOU
8
@ARI
12
IND
BYE4
SEA
17
@MIA
20
@JAX
25
LAR
6
@BUF
17
MIA

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

Game Stats

WeekOppRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCSTD0.5 PPRPPRSnaps%
1BUF534156.8000000.009.411.9014.450/5492.6%
2@DAL2831841.5000000.0014.315.3016.343/4791.5%
3NE548099.6000000.004.87.309.861/6396.8%
4KC9600146.6700000.006.010.5015.055/5993.2%
5@DEN3540718.0000000.005.46.908.454/6583.1%
6PHI89001211.2500000.009.013.0017.057/6587.7%
7BYE---------------
8@NYG710001314.2916006.0010.614.1017.657/6489.1%
9LAC78001311.4300010.006.09.5013.079/8197.5%
10@LV99301410.3300000.009.313.8018.362/6693.9%
11@BUF29084.5000010.00-1.1-0.100.954/5794.7%
12MIA7441106.2900000.0010.413.9017.455/5894.8%
13ATL3500716.6700000.005.06.508.068/68100.0%
14HOU910801412.0013003.0011.115.6020.162/6891.2%
15@MIA329049.6700000.002.94.405.955/5894.8%
16WAS9760158.441-800-8.006.811.3015.886/9095.6%
17@CLE55001010.001-100-1.004.97.409.972/7398.6%
18@NE2340517.0000000.003.44.405.438/6558.5%
Per game5.5961.290.189.8810.970.24000.120.006.959.7512.5459.29/64.7691.39%
Totals951042316810.9740020.00118.2165.7213.21008/110191.39%