Daniel Jones had an uneven, but very promising rookie year. He took over as the starter early in the season and went on to make 12 starts, throw 24 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. The Giants struggled to win with the league’s third-worst defense, but Jones averaged 16.4 fantasy points per game, good for 16th in the league. The Giants don’t look to be significantly better defensively heading into this season, which should allow Jones to continue slinging it and he should benefit from a full season with Golden Tate and – hopefully – Sterling Shepard, who both missed time last year due to suspension and injury, respectively. Jones also should benefit from an offensive line that has been steadily improving over the past few seasons from one of the worst in the league, to one of the upper-third.
Jones’ numbers were a bit inflated by his production in three key games last season, with 13 of his 22 touchdowns against the Lions, Jets and Washington. All three of those games were shoot-outs as well, with negative game script helping him to at least 40 passing attempts. Jones had some nasty games throughout the season, including blowout losses to the Packers and Patriots, where he threw a combined six interceptions. The bet against Jones is basically the opposite of the bet for him. Do you believe in the good parts of his rookie season, or the bad?
2020 Bottom Line
Jones is likely somewhere in between the good and the bad, but if he can continue to show improvement after a promising rookie season, he should sniff QB1 numbers as a sophomore. We have him ranked higher than his 11th-round ADP in 12-team leagues as a fringe starter in 1QB leagues, making him a value-pick for fantasy owners looking to wait at the position. Because it’s likely the Giants will continue to throw the ball – ninth in passing attempts last year – Jones should have a fairly high floor to go with significant upside. He’s a great option at his current ADP.