• Mike Evans

  • WR
  • , Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • 27
  • 231 lbs
  • 6' 5"
PtsRecYdsRecTDRecRuYds
16411578670
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Evans finished as the No. 13 fantasy receiver (half-PPR) but he had the third-highest per game average in 2019. In 2018, he was the No. 8 fantasy receiver and he was No. 18 the year before. He’s dealing with a quarterback change (to Tom Brady), so there may be some growing pains there. He had the third-highest average depth of target of all the receivers with at least 80 targets, and Jameis Winston was slightly more accurate than Brady on his deep passing attempts, defined as attempts of 20 yards or more. Winston also attempted 2.3 more deep balls per game--leading the league in that metric--though Brady may push the ball downfield at a higher rate this season given the talent that he now has at receiver and Bruce Arians’ mentality of throwing the ball deep early and often.

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Scouting report

by Jordan Heck

TB WR Mike Evans - 2020 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Mike Evans has played six years in the NFL and has produced six 1,000-yard seasons. He finished as the No. 3 wide receiver (half-PPR) in average fantasy points per game last year, trailing only Michael Thomas and his teammate Chris Godwin. Evans was also fairly consistent in 2019 finishing with 50+ yards in all but two games (and he was sick in one of those games). And despite logic having you believe Tom Brady’s arm can’t throw deep anymore, NFL.com’s Next-Gen stats had Brady as the fourth-best deep passer in 2019. Evans shines as a deep threat as his 17.3 ypc was fourth-highest among receivers with 50+ receptions.

Fantasy Downside
Evans has had some durability issues, only playing in two full seasons throughout his career. While he hasn’t ended up missing too many games, sometimes he plays hurt and struggles, which is almost worse than a straight inactive. Evans also has an issue with drops/catches. He ranked 169th out of eligible pass catchers (per Pro Football Reference) with a 56.8% catch percentage. If he maintains that catch percentage while seeing fewer targets, it’ll be an issue.

2020 Bottom Line
It’s hard to go wrong with Evans. He’s produced in six straight seasons, making him a fairly safe option moving forward. He turns 27 before the season starts, which is still when we see receivers in their peak. We project slightly fewer per-game averages from Evans in 2020, but nothing drastic. He’s still in WR1 territory, and we expect him to finish with his seventh 1,000-yard season.

2020 Strength of Schedule - TB

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
20
@NO
14
CAR
13
@DEN
4
LAC
3
@CHI
16
GB
27
@LV
30
@NYG
20
NO
14
@CAR
8
LAR
5
KC
BYE26
MIN
21
@ATL
32
@DET
21
ATL

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats

WeekOppRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCSTDPPRSnaps%
1SF2280514.0000000.002.84.860/7085.7%
2@CAR4610815.2500000.006.110.159/6590.8%
3NYG819031523.7500000.0037.045.068/7788.3%
4@LAR4891722.2500000.0014.918.967/7490.5%
5@NO00030.0000000.000.00.057/5996.6%
6CAR99601710.6700000.009.618.673/8091.3%
7BYE--------------
8@TEN1119821218.0000000.0031.842.876/8391.6%
9@SEA1218011615.0000000.0024.036.068/7986.1%
10ARI4820620.5000000.008.212.275/8588.2%
11NO4690817.2500000.006.910.965/6895.6%
12@ATL4500812.5000000.005.09.061/6692.4%
13@JAX45301113.2500000.005.39.363/7682.9%
14IND1611261.0000000.0012.113.118/7823.1%
15@DET--------------
16HOU--------------
17ATL--------------
Per game5.1589.000.629.0817.2700000.0012.5917.7562.31/73.8584.85%
Totals671157811817.2700000.00163.7230.7810/96084.85%
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