
Draft Note by John Paulsen
Lawrence has quietly put together a strong case as one of the most undervalued quarterbacks at his price point. After back-to-back injury-shortened seasons, he returned healthy in 2025 and finished QB4 overall at 19.7 points per game—and the second-half surge was striking, improving from 16.6 points per game before the midpoint to 22.7 after it. The rushing is underrated: Lawrence averaged 21.6 yards per start with nine rushing touchdowns last season, a number that rivals some of the best dual-threat weeks at the position. His accuracy still lags—29th percentile in CPOE—but the EPA per dropback (69th percentile) and the touchdown production suggest he makes enough plays where it counts. The Jaguars lost Travis Etienne but added Chris Rodriguez to help carry the backfield load, and it's Year 2 with Liam Coen, who is making the case that he’s one of the best offensive minds in the league. The receiving corps features Brian Thomas Jr. as a possible WR1, Jakobi Meyers as a reliable slot option, the efficient Parker Washington, and Travis Hunter, who has the talent to produce, provided he gets enough run on offense. Lawrence is going as a midrange QB1, and given his QB4 finish last year and the rushing floor he provides, that price looks fair. If the second-year Coen offense unlocks another level, there's top-five upside here once again.
Trevor Lawrence
- QB
- , Jacksonville Jaguars
- 27
- 220 lbs
- 6' 6"
- Clemson
- 83
- 1
Full Season Projection
- Full Season Projection
- Dfs Projection
Latest news

2026 Draft note
Lawrence has quietly put together a strong case as one of the most undervalued quarterbacks at his price point. After back-to-back injury-shortened seasons, he returned healthy in 2025 and finished QB4 overall at 19.7 points per game—and the second-half surge was striking, improving from 16.6 points per game before the midpoint to 22.7 after it. The rushing is underrated: Lawrence averaged 21.6 yards per start with nine rushing touchdowns last season, a number that rivals some of the best dual-threat weeks at the position. His accuracy still lags—29th percentile in CPOE—but the EPA per dropback (69th percentile) and the touchdown production suggest he makes enough plays where it counts. The Jaguars lost Travis Etienne but added Chris Rodriguez to help carry the backfield load, and it's Year 2 with Liam Coen, who is making the case that he’s one of the best offensive minds in the league. The receiving corps features Brian Thomas Jr. as a possible WR1, Jakobi Meyers as a reliable slot option, the efficient Parker Washington, and Travis Hunter, who has the talent to produce, provided he gets enough run on offense. Lawrence is going as a midrange QB1, and given his QB4 finish last year and the rushing floor he provides, that price looks fair. If the second-year Coen offense unlocks another level, there's top-five upside here once again.
2026 Strength of Schedule - JAX
| W1 | W2 | W3 | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | W8 | W9 | W10 | W11 | W12 | W13 | W14 | W15 | W16 | W17 | W18 |
|---|
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
Game Stats
| Wk | Opp | Comp | Att | PaYds | PaTD | Int | YPA | YPR | RuAtt | Yds | TD | Fum | YPC | Pts | Snaps | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 19 | 31 | 178 | 1 | 1 | 5.74 | 9.37 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 10.3 | 66/66 | 100.0% |
| 2 | @CIN | 24 | 42 | 271 | 3 | 2 | 6.45 | 11.29 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2.00 | 19.2 | 71/71 | 100.0% |
| 3 | HOU | 20 | 40 | 222 | 0 | 1 | 5.55 | 11.10 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4.50 | 7.8 | 70/70 | 100.0% |
| 4 | @SF | 21 | 31 | 174 | 1 | 0 | 5.61 | 8.29 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 11.7 | 68/68 | 100.0% |
| 5 | KC | 18 | 25 | 221 | 1 | 1 | 8.84 | 12.28 | 10 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 5.40 | 26.2 | 58/58 | 100.0% |
| 6 | SEA | 27 | 42 | 258 | 2 | 0 | 6.14 | 9.56 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 19.2 | 76/76 | 100.0% |
| 7 | LAR | 23 | 48 | 296 | 1 | 0 | 6.17 | 12.87 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 9.00 | 17.6 | 77/77 | 100.0% |
| 8 | BYE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | @LV | 23 | 34 | 220 | 0 | 1 | 6.47 | 9.57 | 9 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 2.67 | 21.2 | 80/80 | 100.0% |
| 10 | @HOU | 13 | 23 | 158 | 1 | 1 | 6.87 | 12.15 | 5 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 7.00 | 9.8 | 62/62 | 100.0% |
| 11 | LAC | 14 | 22 | 153 | 1 | 1 | 6.95 | 10.93 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1.80 | 15.0 | 63/71 | 88.7% |
| 12 | @ARI | 18 | 30 | 256 | 3 | 3 | 8.53 | 14.22 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 5.80 | 17.1 | 62/62 | 100.0% |
| 13 | @TEN | 16 | 27 | 229 | 2 | 0 | 8.48 | 14.31 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 8.33 | 21.7 | 60/63 | 95.2% |
| 14 | IND | 17 | 30 | 244 | 2 | 0 | 8.13 | 14.35 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 4.00 | 19.4 | 58/64 | 90.6% |
| 15 | NYJ | 20 | 32 | 330 | 5 | 0 | 10.31 | 16.50 | 5 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 10.20 | 44.3 | 54/62 | 87.1% |
| 16 | @DEN | 23 | 36 | 279 | 3 | 0 | 7.75 | 12.13 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 3.33 | 31.2 | 70/70 | 100.0% |
| 17 | @IND | 23 | 37 | 263 | 0 | 1 | 7.11 | 11.43 | 8 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 3.25 | 23.1 | 69/69 | 100.0% |
| 18 | TEN | 22 | 30 | 255 | 3 | 0 | 8.50 | 11.59 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5.50 | 23.3 | 50/61 | 82.0% |
| Per game | 20.06 | 32.94 | 235.71 | 1.71 | 0.71 | 7.16 | 11.75 | 4.82 | 21.12 | 0.53 | 0.18 | 4.38 | 19.89 | 65.53/67.65 | 96.69% | |
| Totals | 341 | 560 | 4007 | 29 | 12 | 7.16 | 11.75 | 82 | 359 | 9 | 3 | 4.38 | 338.18 | 1114/1150 | 96.69% | |






