Hoopes There It Is: Week 7 Game Preview

I know your fantasy team is dealing with injuries. I can safely say that because, by my count, 18 of the 32 NFL teams are dealing with significant injuries to their quarterback or offensive skill players. Among the healthy-ish teams, only five have above-average offensive efficiency and run a reasonable number of plays per game. Those teams are the Packers, Colts, Lions, Bills, and Patriots. And things are extremely spread around on the Packers, Bills, and Patriots. Here’s hoping you have Jonathan Taylor, Tyler Warren, Amon-Ra St. Brown, or Sam LaPorta on your fantasy team.
A big goal for this week’s write-ups is to focus on players who can help you get by until your starters return this season. My firm belief is that you should be very reluctant to trade away your temporarily-injured stud players for packages that get you by in the short-term. We overstate our ability to predict what will happen in any individual week. You don’t win or lose the week because the Yahoo or ESPN projected points say so. There’s no guarantee that the players you’re trading for with marginally higher projections will actually score more points in Week 7. Keep your studs to set yourself up to win later, and let’s help you get through a few weeks on the cheap.
Quick Links
Steelers at Bengals
Rams at Jaguars
Patriots at Titans
Eagles at Vikings
Panthers at Jets
Raiders at Chiefs
Dolphins at Browns
Saints at Bears
Giants at Broncos
Colts at Chargers
Packers at Cardinals
Commanders at Cowboys
Falcons at 49ers
Buccaneers at Lions
Texans at Seahawks
Steelers at Bengals (Over/Under 42.5, PIT favored by 5.5 points)
Steelers (24.0 Implied Points)
• Kenneth Gainwell was 2nd for the Steelers in targets last week on only 20 snaps.
• If I had to pick a Steelers’ RB, I’d still take Jaylen Warren, as he had a clear snap and carry lead over Gainwell, and I’m assuming Gainwell won’t earn 46.2% targets per route (TPRR) run moving forward.
• Kaleb Johnson was also minorly involved last week, and my guess is we’ll start seeing more of him in order to muddy this backfield further.
• Otherwise, D.K. Metcalf earned nine targets, and he’s the only Steelers player I’m confidently playing in fantasy football.
• Just like last week, explosive plays have boosted the Steelers’ efficiency.
• Without those explosives, we have a team with a below-average passing success rate that runs the fewest number of plays in the league.
• Having said that, it’s a fantastic matchup this week against a Bengals’ defense that is bottom-four in both efficiency and success rate allowed.
Bengals (18.5 Implied Points)
• The overall health of the offense was a lot better with Joe Flacco, hitting 61st percentile passing efficiency and 57th percentile rushing efficiency last week.
• Ja’Marr Chase earned 12 targets and Tee Higgins earned eight, with no other player exceeding four.
• It was less concentrated at RB, though, as Chase Brown had just three more carries and six more routes than Samaje Perine in a nearly even snap split.
• Ideally, I’m only starting Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins in this offense.
• But it’s a very tough matchup this week against a Steelers’ pass defense that is 7th-best in limiting explosive pass attempts with the 2nd-highest sack rate in the league.
Rams at Jaguars (O/U 45.5, LAR -3)
Rams (24.25 Implied Points)
• The big story from last week was Puka Nacua injuring his ankle early in the 2nd quarter, ultimately running about half the routes in the game.
• It’s unclear whether he’ll play this week at the time I’m writing, but given they’re playing in London this week before a bye in Week 8, my assumption is he’ll sit.
• Davante Adams dominated the targets in Nacua’s absence, earning nine targets on 26 routes, and he’ll almost certainly deliver a much stronger box score performance in Week 7.
• Jordan Whittington is at least interesting on waivers, as he stepped in and earned four targets and should have a larger role this week if Nacua is out.
• One concern for Whittington, though, is that Tutu Atwell missed Week 6 and could be back this week.
• Kyren Williams continues to dominate the RB work, with 13 of the 18 RB carries and 15 of the 19 routes, especially given that Blake Corum got hurt in Week 6 as well.
• The Jaguars’ pass defense has gotten by on big turnovers, as they’re 7th in efficiency but 22nd in success rate to go along with giving up a lot of explosive passes without sacks.
• Adams and Williams are must-starts, with Whittington and Tyler Higbee also possible options given their higher target rates in Week 6 without Nacua.
Jaguars (21.25 Implied Points)
• I called my shot last week with Brian Thomas Jr. catching his first receiving TD of the year, making me two for two on my TD calls this season.
• BTJ earned 10 targets and could’ve had a nuclear day if it wasn’t for a Travis Hunter penalty negating another massive TD reception.
• Besides the penalty, we had some bullish Hunter usage last week, as he earned seven targets and played on a career-high 58 offensive snaps.
• According to PFF, the Jaguars played more 11 personnel than usual last week, given the injury to Brenton Strange.
• Travis Etienne took 12 of the 15 RB carries and 25 of the 44 routes, with Bhayshul Tuten looking more and more like a pure handcuff rather than a viable threat to Etienne’s workload.
• The Rams’ defense is really good across the board, as they’re 4th in passing efficiency allowed and 3rd in limiting explosive passes.
• BTJ is the only Jaguars player that I’m really excited to play, though Etienne is still a clear start, and Hunter is also viable given the usage we saw last week.
Patriots at Titans (O/U 42.5, NE -7)
Patriots (24.75 Implied Points)
• Drake Maye is playing MVP-caliber football right now, as he’s 2nd in EPA per play among QBs this season.
• Last week, he hit 95th percentile passing efficiency with a +10% completion percentage over expectation (CPOE) on a strong 10.9-yard average target depth.
• The two big issues for fantasy are how spread out the targets are and how poorly the Patriots’ RBs have played.
• Starting with the targets, Kayshon Boutte led the way with five targets last week, but I wouldn’t chase his big day after he failed to exceed three targets in any of his previous four games.
• Stefon Diggs is the only WR I’d still be willing to start, though we’d like to see his route rate tick up above the 71% we saw last week.
• If I had to play a Patriots’ RB, it’s still Rhamondre Stevenson as he led TreVeyon Henderson in carries, 13 to nine, and, crucially, routes 18 to seven.
• Stevenson has 32 rushing yards on 20 carries over the past two games, but Henderson has not played well enough to make his ascension undeniable.
• I’d expect another very efficient passing day for Maye against a Titans’ pass defense that is bottom-eight in pass efficiency, CPOE, and sack rate.
Titans (17.75 Implied Points)
• My preference would be to continue starting no players from the Titans’ offense.
• Chig Okonkwo led the team with seven targets last week, followed by Van Jefferson’s six, and then a tie between Elic Ayomanor and Tyjae Spears with five each.
• That is an incredibly bleak set of skill players, as Calvin Ridley suffered a hamstring injury in the 1st quarter and didn’t return to the game.
• I think Tyjae Spears is worth rostering on the off chance that Tony Pollard is traded away to a contending team that needs RB help.
• This Patriots pass defense has not been good this year, ranking in the bottom three in success rate, explosive pass rate, and CPOE.
• Frankly, I don’t think the matchup matters, and I’d want to keep every Titans player on my bench or, better yet, off my team.
Eagles at Vikings (O/U 43.5, PHI -2.5)
Eagles (23.0 Implied Points)
• At the very least, the targets remain very concentrated, with Dallas Goedert earning 11 last week, AJ Brown nine, Devonta Smith five, and no one else exceeding three.
• And Saquon Barkley similarly dominated the RB work, taking 12 of the only 13 RB carries and running 26 of the 33 RB routes.
• Unfortunately, the Eagles’ efficiency was still below average in both the pass and run game last week.
• Perhaps the biggest reason the Eagles lost against the Giants was their late-down failures, converting on only one of nine 3rd-down opportunities.
• Meanwhile, the Giants converted 11 of 16 3rd downs, hitting a lower success rate than the Eagles overall but making the right plays at crucial times.
• The Eagles also lost 8.8 EPA from one 4th-quarter interception.
• Those things are likely to correct, but it’s a terrible week for a bounce back against the most efficient pass defense in the league.
Vikings (20.5 Implied Points)
• We’re still not sure who will be the starting QB for the Vikings at the time I’m writing.
• I’m personally hoping it’s Carson Wentz for my teams with the Vikings’ skill players.
• Justin Jefferson dominated the targets in Week 5, earning 11 with both Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson earning six each.
• Jordan Mason similarly dominated the RB work, taking 13 of the 18 carries and running 23 of the 28 RB routes.
• Mason is still a clear sell, with Aaron Jones eligible to return from IR next week; something your league mates hopefully have forgotten.
• It’s a decent matchup for Mason in Week 7, though, as the Eagles’ defense is bottom-four in rushing success rate allowed.
• Jefferson, Addison, Hockenson, and Mason are all solid starts, especially if Wentz is under center.
Panthers at Jets (O/U 42.5, CAR -1.5)
Panthers (22.0 Implied Points)
• After another Herculean performance from Rico Dowdle, the Panthers are 2nd in the league in rushing efficiency, delivering a 93rd-percentile performance last week.
• Dowdle dominated the RB work, taking 30 of the 34 carries and running 21 of the 24 routes.
• I don’t want to throw too much cold water on Dowdle, because he’s been awesome, but his performances were against two of the worst run defenses in the league, and we should get Chuba Hubbard back soon.
• The Panthers’ coaching staff was non-committal about the RB workload moving forward, but my assumption is we’ll see the work split between Dowdle and Hubbard at least in the short-term.
• The targets were surprisingly spread around last week, with Tetairoa McMillan leading the way with only five targets, and a ton of players in the two-to-four range.
• McMillan, of course, delivers two touchdowns on the day with the fewest targets in his career.
• The Panthers want to run the ball, Jets’ opponents tend to run the ball a lot, and the Jets’ run defense is below-average in efficiency.
• Even if Hubbard is back, I’d be willing to fire up Dowdle again to see if the coaching staff isn’t willing to put the toothpaste back in the tube.
Jets (20.5 Implied Points)
• The Jets hit 1st percentile passing efficiency last week, and that’s particularly impressive because they did it without any interceptions or fumbles.
• However, they did have as many sacks as completions, with Justin Fields’ EPA/dropback the 2nd-worst we’ve seen in any game this season.
• Garrett Wilson dominated the targets with eight, as Josh Reynolds earned three, and no one else saw more than one.
• Breece Hall took 23 of the 25 RB carries and split the routes with Isaiah Davis.
• But with -10 net passing yards, including sacks, nothing mattered for fantasy.
• Mason Taylor played over 90% of the snaps for the first time in his career, though he only earned one target on 25 routes in this one.
• I don’t think there’s much else to do other than hope for a better day and fire up Wilson and Hall in a bounce-back spot against a bad Panthers’ defense.
Raiders at Chiefs (O/U 45.5, KC -11.5)
Raiders (17.0 Implied Points)
• It wasn’t the most impressive box score day for Geno Smith, but he completed 73.9% of his passes against the Titans and delivered 66th percentile pass efficiency.
• Michael Mayer led the team in targets with seven and caught Geno’s one passing TD.
• Ashton Jeanty dominated the RB work, taking 23 of the 28 carries and running 19 of the 22 routes.
• Jeanty got home for fantasy with a TD, but ultimately it was an inefficient day on the ground for a team that is 2nd-worst in rushing efficiency for the year.
• It’s at least a good matchup for Jeanty this week against a poor Chiefs’ run defense, though as 11.5-point underdogs, the ground game might be game-scripted away.
Chiefs (28.5 Implied Points)
• Travis Kelce led the way with seven targets last week, but I expect his role to take a major hit with Rashee Rice returning from suspension in Week 7.
• The Chiefs retook the PROE crown from the Chargers in Week 5.
• There have been nine instances of a team hitting at least 10% PROE this season, and the Chiefs have three of them.
• They hit 13.7% PROE last week, about 5% higher than any other team in the league, and delivered 91st percentile efficiency on that high volume.
• Isaih Pacheco dominated the RB work, taking 12 of the 18 RB carries and running 28 of the 41 routes.
• Brashard Smith once again was limited to 6 snaps but earned three targets on five routes.
• The Raiders’ pass defense has been average this season, and I know fantasy managers everywhere are excited to plug Rice back into lineups this week, especially with 28.5 implied points.
Dolphins at Browns (O/U 40.5, CLE -2.5)
Dolphins (19.0 Implied Points)
• My goodness, it is bad when you’re expected to lose to the Browns.
• This offense is fueled almost exclusively by long De’Von Achane TDs.
• He took 16 of the 18 RB carries and ran 32 of the 39 routes last week.
• You’re starting Achane and Jaylen Waddle, who led the team with eight targets last week, and that’s about it.
• Unfortunately for the Dolphins, the Browns have a top-three run defense and are 10th in limiting explosive runs.
• The Dolphins also run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league, with the Browns’ defense also exactly limiting opponents to the 3rd-fewest plays in the league.
• There’s a real scenario where we see low play volume and limited explosive runs, destroying any real ceiling for this offense.
Browns (21.5 Implied Points)
• The Browns’ offense continues to be buoyed by a massive number of plays.
• They had an enormous 48 total targets last week, more than double the number of some NFL teams.
• That led to 13 targets for Jerry Jeudy and 10 to Harold Fannin, partially because David Njoku missed most of the 2nd half with a knee injury.
• Both Jeudy and Fannin are must-starts if Njoku is out because the volume here is simply hard to ignore despite the league-worst efficiency.
• Quinshon Judkins took 12 of the 15 carries but earned only 1 target on his 16 routes.
• And Judkins played on only 33 of 82 snaps as Jerome Ford played a ton in 3rd-down and 2-minute-drill situations.
• I’ve said this for a few weeks now, but even if I think Judkins is an extremely efficient runner, the ceiling is nuked by the lack of passing game involvement on one of the worst offenses in the league.
Saints at Bears (O/U 46.5, CHI -5.5)
Saints (20.5 Implied Points)
• Similar to the Browns, the Saints’ offense is buoyed by sheer play volume, leading the league in situation-neutral pace.
• Chris Olave earned 10 targets last week, with Rashid Shaheed earning six, Alvin Kamara five, and no one else seeing more than two.
• That includes Juwan Johnson, who, unfortunately, has been supplanted by Shaheed for the clear second target and also hurt by Taysom Hill’s red-zone role.
• Kendre Miller is also droppable, given he doesn’t see the routes in this offense, and it seems unlikely that Alvin Kamara will be traded this season.
• Olave, Shaheed, and Kamara are all startable in a good spot against a Bears pass defense that is bottom-seven in success rate, explosive pass rate, and CPOE.
Bears (26.0 Implied Points)
• The Bears’ pass offense is very volatile, as they’re 10th in explosive pass rate but 28th in success rate.
• It’s a good matchup against the Saints this week, though, as their defense is poor on both fronts.
• The targets were spread around last week, with Olamide Zaccheaus, D.J. Moore, and Rome Odunze earning five to six.
• There was also a clear intention to get the rookies involved, as Luther Burden saw four targets and Colston Loveland three on limited routes.
• But those limited routes for Loveland were enough to surpass Cole Kmet.
• D’Andre Swift took 14 of the 20 RB carries and ran 17 of the 28 routes, looking efficient for perhaps the first time in his career.
• Odunze is really the only player on this offense that I want to play, but it’d be hard to bench Swift after that game last week, even in a tough matchup on the ground versus a good Saints run defense.
Giants at Broncos (O/U 40.5, DEN -7)
Giants (16.75 Implied Points)
• The sportsbooks don’t seem to be buying the Giants’ win last week.
• And I suspect that’s because they actually had a worse success rate than the Eagles, but went 11 for 16 on 3rd downs.
• That third down performance isn’t the stickiest thing in the world, and they now face the second-most efficient pass defense in the league with a massive 13.2% sack rate.
• The apostrophe crew, Wan’Dale Robinson and Lil’Jordan Humphrey, dominated the targets last week.
• Cam Skattebo similarly dominated the RB work with 19 of the 26 carries and 18 of the 29 routes, taking all of the short-yardage and goal-line work.
• I largely don’t want to start anyone on this offense besides Skattebo, but Robinson and Humphrey should at least see volume.
• Humphrey actually has the largest gap in expected versus actual fantasy points among all WRs, with the big caveat that this was just one game.
Broncos (23.75 Implied Points)
• The clearest trend on this Broncos team is that Courtland Sutton only sees a good number of targets in odd-numbered weeks.
• This is an extremely frustrating team to predict for fantasy, with Evan Engram leading the team with five targets last week and a ton of players in the two-to-four range.
• J.K. Dobbins at least dominated the RB carries but split the routes with RJ Harvey, while five non-RBs were also given carries.
• I’d start Sutton on an odd-numbered week (only partially kidding) and also Dobbins, given the implied points, and just hope for a TD.
Colts at Chargers (O/U 48.5, LAC -1.5)
Colts (23.5 Implied Points)
• Tyler Warren led the team with nine targets last week, and Josh Downs popped up again for his second consecutive week with at least seven targets; no one else on the team saw more than four.
• Jonathan Taylor is the entire backfield, taking 21 of the 22 RB carries and running 28 of the 30 routes.
• The PROE against this Chargers defense is skewed a bit by their game versus the Chiefs earlier in the year.
• Teams should want to attack this defense on the ground, given they have the sixth-best pass defense but are 23rd in rushing efficiency.
• Warren and Taylor are the two players here that I’m really excited to start, while Downs is a talented player limited by his role to a lower-ceiling play in PPR leagues.
Chargers (25.0 Implied Points)
• A lot of new roles here with both Quentin Johnston and Omarion Hampton out.
• Oronde Gadsden tied Ladd McConkey for the target lead last week with eight, while Keenan Allen saw seven, Tre Harris popped up for five, and Kimani Vidal earned four.
• It felt like the Gadsden work was a direct result of QJ’s absence, but it’s very bullish that he did this even with Will Dissly returning from injury.
• Similarly, Harris played ahead of Allen in 2-WR sets with QJ out, though he didn’t make much out of his five targets.
• Vidal surprisingly dominated the RB work, taking 18 of the 24 RB carries and 22 of the 34 routes.
• He broke a 38-yard run on the 3rd drive of the game, and the backfield was his for the rest of the day.
• There’s no guarantee the workload is split this way going forward, or that the Chargers don’t trade for an RB like Pollard, but you’re starting Vidal despite the risks this week.
• My assumption is that QJ will be out this week, and if that’s the case, then McConkey, Allen, Gadsden, and Vidal are all starts with 25 implied points and a Colts’ defense missing their top five cornerbacks.
Packers at Cardinals (O/U 44.5, GB -6.5)
Packers (25.5 Implied Points)
• Romeo Doubs had the strong lead in targets last week with nine, as Matthew Golden and Josh Jacobs both earned five, and no one else exceeded two.
• Jacobs also dominated the RB carries and routes, but seven different players had a carry last week.
• Jordan Love is up to third in QB efficiency this year, delivering 0.35 EPA per play last week with +6.6% CPOE on a strong 9.5-yard average target depth.
• Tucker Kraft’s usage was disappointing, but he got home for fantasy with a TD.
• I’d once again fire up my Packers against an average Cardinals’ pass defense and 25.5 implied points.
Cardinals (19.0 Implied Points)
• Marvin Harrison Jr. unfortunately only ran 11 routes due to a concussion last week, and my expectation is he’ll miss this week with the Cardinals’ bye in Week 8.
• Trey McBride earned 11 targets in MHJ’s absence, including a redzone TD; I genuinely wasn’t sure he was allowed to do that.
• Jacoby Brissett played well in Kyler Murray’s absence, though the context that the Colts were down any playable CB is needed.
• Brissett did hit 320 passing yards and two TDs; the last time Murray did that was in 2022, according to JJ Zachariason.
• Zay Jones and Michael Wilson earned additional targets and playing time in MHJ’s absence, but ideally, I’m not starting either of them against this strong Packers defense.
• The carries were split between Bam Knight and Michael Carter, but Carter ran eight more routes and earned three more targets.
• If I had to choose one Cardinals RB, given the projected game script, I would take Carter and hope for a ton of checkdowns.
Commanders at Cowboys (O/U 54.5, WAS -2.5)
Commanders (28.5 Implied Points)
• Zach Ertz actually led the Commanders in targets last week, earning seven with both Deebo Samuel and Chris Moore (?) seeing five each.
• It was ultimately a very disappointing day for Samuel fantasy managers, but the Cowboys’ defense is dead-last in passing efficiency, so he’s worth firing up again.
• Ditto for Jacory “Bill” Croskey-Merritt, who dominated the RB carries at 17 of 19 but ultimately generated only 3.6 yards per carry.
• The Cowboys’ run defense is bottom-eight in efficiency, success rate, and explosive run rate.
• But in addition to the inefficiency last week, one concern for Bill’s workload is that Chris Rodriguez only saw one snap in Week 6.
• He was ultimately active, but he missed practice all week with a calf injury, meaning his snap rate could reasonably increase this week.
Cowboys (26.0 Implied Points)
• It was a two-man offense last week, with George Pickens earning 11 targets, Javonte Williams seven, and no one else exceeding four.
• Williams also dominated the RB work, taking 13 of the 16 carries and running 24 of the 25 routes, with Jaydon Blue on the field for only five snaps.
• It was another fantastic performance for Dak Prescott, with the Cowboys now up to sixth in pass efficiency.
• Pickens, Williams, and Jake Ferguson are all must-starts with 26 implied points.
Falcons at 49ers (O/U 47.5, SF -2.5)
Falcons (22.5 Implied Points)
• Similar to the Cowboys above, this was also a two-man offense last week, with Drake London earning an insane 15 targets (50% of the team total), Bijan Robinson eight, and no one else exceeding four.
• Robinson also took 19 of the 29 RB carries and 22 of the 32 routes, with Tyler Allgeier getting home in fantasy with a TD.
• Robinson also had some fun plays lined up at WR with Charlie Woerner in the backfield, and he played more WR last week than in any other game this year or last year, according to PFF, probably because of Darnell Mooney’s injury.
• The implied points are pretty good here, and the 49ers’ pass defense is not great and continues to lose star players like Fred Warner.
• Deommodore Lenoir has been excellent in outside CB yards allowed per coverage snap, according to Seth Walder, which I guess is some concern for London with his 70% wide snap rate.
49ers (25.0 Implied Points)
• Last week was a different game for the 49ers than what we’ve seen this season, as they were inefficient passing but efficient rushing.
• For the season, though, the 49ers are dead-last in explosive run rate.
• Christian McCaffrey’s role is simply too good for fantasy even without the explosive runs, as he was 2nd on the team with eight targets, ran 36 of the 41 routes, and took every RB carry.
• Kendrick Bourne led the team with nine targets, Jake Tonges had seven, while no one else exceeded three.
• Jauan Jennings is included in the “no one else” group despite running only three fewer routes than Bourne, as apparently, he has five broken ribs and was seen arguing with Kyle Shanahan on the sideline.
• The Falcons’ pass defense is very strong, ranking in the top eight in virtually every statistic.
• But you’re starting CMC, George Kittle (if he’s back from IR), and Kendrick Bourne if Ricky Pearsall is once again sidelined.
Buccaneers at Lions (O/U 52.5, DET -5.5)
Buccaneers (23.5 Implied Points)
• The big news from last week was Emeka Egbuka injuring his hamstring in the 3rd quarter and not returning to the game.
• Baker Mayfield hit an insane 95th percentile passing efficiency without any of his top-three WRs.
• Cade Otton ultimately led the way with six targets and is a strong start this week as someone has to catch passes in this offense.
• According to FTN, Otton has averaged 1.8 more receptions and 0.2 more TDs per game with Mike Evans off the field.
• This is a strong Lions’ pass defense, but with 23.5 implied points and no one else healthy, taking your pick between Kameron Johnson or Tez Johnson might not be the worst option.
• I just can’t in good conscience tell you who is the right choice between these tertiary options.
Lions (29.0 Implied Points)
• Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, and Sam LaPorta dominated the targets last week, which isn’t a surprise.
• What was a surprise was that David Montgomery only saw four of the 21 RB carries; that was the second-lowest RB rush share of his career.
• The Lions hit 66th percentile passing efficiency last week, but on an insanely-low 3.8-yard average target depth.
• Opponents tend to pass on the Buccaneers at a high rate, as their defense is 20th in passing efficiency but first against the run.
• However, the Lions run the ball at the second-highest rate versus expectation and are the most consistent team in the league with their approach.
• I’d expect another healthy dose of Jahmyr Gibbs carries, but he might have tough sledding again in this one.
Texans at Seahawks (O/U 41.5, SEA -3)
Texans (19.25 Implied Points)
• The targets were really spread around in Week 5, with Dalton Schultz actually leading the way with six, Nico Collins earning five, and a bunch of players in the three-to-four range.
• Nick Chubb led the way with 11 carries, but Woody Marks and Dameon Pierce each got seven.
• And the routes were also divvyed up between the three, with Marks getting a slight lead over Chubb.
• Most of Pierce’s work came in garbage time, so my assumption is it’ll be a two-way split between Chubb and Marks in more competitive games.
• It’s a brutal matchup for the RBs this week, though, as the Seahawks are top-six in defensive rushing efficiency, success rate, and explosive run rate.
• As a result, teams tend to pass on the Seahawks at one of the highest rates in the league.
• Collins is really the only player you can start confidently on this team.
Seahawks (22.25 Implied Points)
• Another extremely-efficient day for Sam Darnold on relatively low volume, as the Seahawks are 30th in PROE and 28th in plays per game.
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba earned an insane 12 targets in a game with only 23 total targets.
• No other pass catcher exceeded three targets.
• The carry split continues for Zach Charbonnet and Kenneth Walker, despite Walker being the clearly more-efficient running back.
• Charbonnet also dominated the routes 15 to eight.
• Unless the Seahawks wake up and realize that they should stop playing Charbonnet, you can’t really trust Walker in fantasy lineups.