Draft Note by John Paulsen
Wilson's 2025 season produced one of the most extreme situational splits in the league, and it tells you nearly everything you need to know about drafting him. In the seven games from Week 6 onward where Jacoby Brissett started and Wilson and Marvin Harrison Jr. shared the field, Wilson averaged 3.4 catches, 51 yards, and 0.29 touchdowns on 5.7 targets, or 8.5 points per game, a low-end WR4. In the five games where Harrison was out of the lineup, Wilson averaged 9.2 catches, 120 yards, and 0.80 touchdowns on 13.6 targets, mind-boggling production that would rank as THE WR1 over a full season. His underlying metrics support the burst: a 90th-percentile ESPN CATCH score and 88th-percentile contested catch rate make him one of the best ball-winners in the league, and the 77th-percentile PFF route grade says the technical foundation is real. The calculation at his WR4-type ADP is straightforward: he's a boom-or-bust bet on how much the Harrison-Wilson dynamic plays out in his favor. If Brissett doesn't return and Arizona installs a new quarterback who distributes targets differently, or if Harrison misses time again, Wilson's ceiling is legitimately top-15. Draft him knowing the floor is a frustrating WR4 and the ceiling is a potential league-winner.
Michael Wilson
- WR
- , Arizona Cardinals
- 26
- 213 lbs
- 6' 2"
- Stanford
- 90
- 1
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2026 Draft note
Wilson's 2025 season produced one of the most extreme situational splits in the league, and it tells you nearly everything you need to know about drafting him. In the seven games from Week 6 onward where Jacoby Brissett started and Wilson and Marvin Harrison Jr. shared the field, Wilson averaged 3.4 catches, 51 yards, and 0.29 touchdowns on 5.7 targets, or 8.5 points per game, a low-end WR4. In the five games where Harrison was out of the lineup, Wilson averaged 9.2 catches, 120 yards, and 0.80 touchdowns on 13.6 targets, mind-boggling production that would rank as THE WR1 over a full season. His underlying metrics support the burst: a 90th-percentile ESPN CATCH score and 88th-percentile contested catch rate make him one of the best ball-winners in the league, and the 77th-percentile PFF route grade says the technical foundation is real. The calculation at his WR4-type ADP is straightforward: he's a boom-or-bust bet on how much the Harrison-Wilson dynamic plays out in his favor. If Brissett doesn't return and Arizona installs a new quarterback who distributes targets differently, or if Harrison misses time again, Wilson's ceiling is legitimately top-15. Draft him knowing the floor is a frustrating WR4 and the ceiling is a potential league-winner.
2026 Strength of Schedule - ARI
| W1 | W2 | W3 | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | W8 | W9 | W10 | W11 | W12 | W13 | W14 | W15 | W16 | W17 | W18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 @LAC | 3 SEA | 26 @SF | 17 @NYG | 29 DET | 18 @LAR | 15 DEN | 32 @DAL | 3 @SEA | 18 LAR | 10 @KC | 23 WAS | 2 PHI | BYE | 19 NYJ | 7 @NO | 8 LV | 26 SF |
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
Game Stats
| Week | Opp | Rec | RecYds | RecTD | Tgts | YPR | RuAtt | RuYds | RuTD | Fum | YPC | STD | 0.5 PPR | PPR | Snaps | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NO | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.5 | 1.00 | 1.5 | 44/66 | 66.7% |
| 2 | CAR | 1 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 7.1 | 7.60 | 8.1 | 38/55 | 69.1% |
| 3 | @SF | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.5 | 1.00 | 1.5 | 49/66 | 74.2% |
| 4 | SEA | 3 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.5 | 3.00 | 4.5 | 65/67 | 97.0% |
| 5 | TEN | 2 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.6 | 2.60 | 3.6 | 47/67 | 70.1% |
| 6 | @IND | 4 | 44 | 0 | 5 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.4 | 6.40 | 8.4 | 55/73 | 75.3% |
| 7 | GB | 3 | 40 | 0 | 4 | 13.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.0 | 5.50 | 7.0 | 62/76 | 81.6% |
| 8 | BYE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | @DAL | 3 | 61 | 0 | 4 | 20.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6.1 | 7.60 | 9.1 | 48/67 | 71.6% |
| 10 | @SEA | 4 | 34 | 0 | 7 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.4 | 5.40 | 7.4 | 70/76 | 92.1% |
| 11 | SF | 15 | 185 | 0 | 18 | 12.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 18.5 | 26.00 | 33.5 | 65/77 | 84.4% |
| 12 | JAX | 10 | 118 | 0 | 15 | 11.80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 11.8 | 16.80 | 21.8 | 69/84 | 82.1% |
| 13 | @TB | 3 | 36 | 0 | 7 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.6 | 5.10 | 6.6 | 57/61 | 93.4% |
| 14 | LAR | 11 | 142 | 2 | 16 | 12.91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 26.2 | 31.70 | 37.2 | 49/62 | 79.0% |
| 15 | @HOU | 5 | 54 | 1 | 11 | 10.80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 11.4 | 13.90 | 16.4 | 56/66 | 84.8% |
| 16 | ATL | 2 | 52 | 1 | 3 | 26.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 11.2 | 12.20 | 13.2 | 49/57 | 86.0% |
| 17 | @CIN | 5 | 89 | 1 | 10 | 17.80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 14.9 | 17.40 | 19.9 | 49/57 | 86.0% |
| 18 | @LAR | 5 | 99 | 1 | 8 | 19.80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 15.9 | 18.40 | 20.9 | 51/55 | 92.7% |
| Per game | 4.59 | 59.18 | 0.41 | 7.41 | 12.90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 8.39 | 10.68 | 12.98 | 54.29/66.59 | 81.55% | |
| Totals | 78 | 1006 | 7 | 126 | 12.90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 142.6 | 181.6 | 220.6 | 923/1132 | 81.55% | |
