Travis Kelce

Fantasy Upside
Travis Kelce finished as the No. 1 tight end in fantasy last season, just like he did in 2018, 2017 and 2016. He was already one of the most dominant at his position, and then he got Patrick Mahomes as his quarterback. His last two seasons with Mahomes have been the two best of his career, and he’s seen 286 targets in that span. Kelce was incredibly consistent in 2019 as well, finishing with 50+ yards in every game but two. He also had seven or more receptions in nine games.

Fantasy Downside
Kelce had a down year in touchdowns, scoring just five times last season. He had just three total catches from inside the 10 despite having 12 targets (second-highest among all players) in that area, a 25% catch percentage. Kelce also turns 31 this season. We typically see tight ends hit a steep decline once they turn 32 or 33.

2020 Bottom Line
Since the tight end position is so shallow (Jason Witten was the No. 11 TE last season), having an elite option like Kelce is incredibly valuable. We expect him to produce around the same numbers he did last season. We’re also projecting an increase in touchdowns as it seems unlikely Kelce will repeat his poor 25% catching percentage inside the 10 again. He’s getting looks in the red zone, he just didn’t convert them. If he can catch just a few more of those targets, he’ll be in perfect shape.