Aaron Jones Fantasy Football Profile, News and Stats

Aaron Jones
RB
, Green Bay Packers

Age: 27
Weight: 205 lbs
Height: 5' 9"

ADP: 14
Depth Chart Ranking: 1

Pts	RuYds	RuTD	Rec	RecYds
212	1104	9	47	355

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Draft note

by John Paulsen

Jones was the No. 5 running back last season (half-PPR) after finishing No. 2 the year before. In his last 30 games, he has averaged 17.8 touches for 101 yards and 1.0 touchdowns per game. Jamaal Williams is gone, but Jones is currently the 11th running back off the board. I can only assume that this is in large part due to the uncertainty surrounding Aaron Rodgers. But now that Rodgers has reported to camp, Jones’s ADP should rise into the first round.

Latest news

Packers re-sign Aaron Jones to a four-year deal

Adam Schefter

Mar 14 · 4:46 PM EDT

Aaron Jones has reached agreement with the Packers on a 4-year deal worth $48 million, including a $13 million signing bonus,
@DrewJRosenhaus tells ESPN.

Fantasy Impact:

Not quite shocking, but certainly surprising, the Packers managed to re-sign Jones to keep him in Green Bay through his age 29 season. Through the last two seasons, Jones has racked up 3,017 total yards and 30 touchdowns in 30 games, or an average of 100.6 total yards and 1.0 touchdown per game. I've moved him from RB12 in our Never-Too-Early Rankings up to the RB5 spot, since he'll return to the high-scoring offense that helped to make him famous. A.J. Dillon will likely assume Jamaal Williams' role as the thunder to Jones's lightning. Williams averaged 52.0 yards and 0.32 touchdowns per game, so he'll still be draft-worthy in the middle rounds as a Zero RB target with significant upside. The Jones news is also good for Myles Gaskin in Miami, since the Dolphins were considered the favorites to land Jones in free agency. Miami could still draft a running back or sign another free agent (like James Conner), but this is one hurdle that Gaskin had to overcome in order to be the Dolphins' RB1 in 2021.

Scouting report

by Joe Redemann

· Jul 29 · 10:47 AM EDT

GB RB Aaron Jones - 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Over the last two seasons, Aaron Jones has operated as the Packers’ primary running back – averaging 14.6 rushes per game for 72.9 yards (5.0 yards per attempt) and 0.8 touchdowns and 4.4 targets per game for 3.2 receptions, 27.6 yards, and 0.2 touchdowns. In 2019 and 2020, Jones finished as the fantasy RB2 and RB5, respectively, in half-PPR formats. Each season in the NFL, he has gained more receiving work and rushing volume, becoming a true every-week fantasy star. Earlier this offseason, the Packers allowed backfield-mate Jamaal Williams to walk in free agency and extended Jones on a four-year, $38 million contract that guarantees he’ll be the team’s workhorse for the next two seasons.

Fantasy Downside
Much of Jones' fantasy star turn has depended on sustained high-end yardage efficiency (5.5 yards per attempt rushing in 2017, 2018, and 2020) or scoring efficiency (28 touchdowns on 444 touches across 2018 and 2019). A volume of touches in the 260-plus range is all-but-guaranteed, but Jones' yards per attempt could slip and he might not fall into double-digit touchdowns to cover for that loss. If that happens, he likely ends up a more mortal fantasy RB2 than a superlative, league-winning RB1.

Bottom Line
Jones is poised for yet another top-five finish among fantasy backs in 2021, despite the turmoil on the rest of the team. The Green Bay offensive line has averaged a top-six ranking in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards over the last four years and should continue to pave the way for Jones. Jones is being selected as the RB10 overall (early second round), but our models project him closer to the RB6 or RB7 – giving him excess value if you can get him at ADP.

2021 Strength of Schedule - GB

W1	W2	W3	W4	W5	W6	W7	W8	W9	W10	W11	W12	W13	W14	W15	W16	W17
2 @NO	32 DET	8 @SF	6 PIT	27 @CIN	4 @CHI	7 WAS	19 @ARI	24 @KC	16 SEA	23 @MIN	5 LAR	BYE	4 CHI	13 @BAL	12 CLE	23 MIN

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

Game Stats


Week	Opp	RuAtt	RuYds	RuTD	Fum	YPC	Rec	RecYds	RecTD	Tgts	YPR	STD	PPR	Snaps	%
1	@MIN	16	66	1	0	4.12	4	10	0	6	2.50	13.6	17.6	42/78	53.8%
2	DET	18	168	2	0	9.33	4	68	1	8	17.00	41.6	45.6	35/73	47.9%
3	@NO	16	69	1	0	4.31	2	17	0	4	8.50	14.6	16.6	44/62	71.0%
4	ATL	15	71	0	0	4.73	5	40	1	5	8.00	17.1	22.1	33/63	52.4%
5	BYE	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	@TB	10	15	1	0	1.50	3	26	0	5	8.67	10.1	13.1	36/63	57.1%
7	@HOU	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	MIN	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	@SF	15	58	0	0	3.87	5	21	0	5	4.20	7.9	12.9	40/66	60.6%
10	JAX	13	46	0	0	3.54	5	49	0	6	9.80	9.5	14.5	41/65	63.1%
11	@IND	10	41	1	0	4.10	4	30	0	4	7.50	13.1	17.1	30/60	50.0%
12	CHI	17	90	0	0	5.29	1	0	0	2	0.00	9.0	10.0	38/71	53.5%
13	PHI	15	130	1	0	8.67	3	18	0	3	6.00	20.8	23.8	40/61	65.6%
14	@DET	15	69	0	0	4.60	2	6	0	3	3.00	7.5	9.5	47/67	70.1%
15	CAR	20	145	1	0	7.25	3	13	0	4	4.33	21.8	24.8	56/62	90.3%
16	TEN	10	94	0	0	9.40	2	14	0	3	7.00	10.8	12.8	25/66	37.9%
17	@CHI	11	42	1	0	3.82	4	43	0	5	10.75	14.5	18.5	32/46	69.6%
Per game		14.36	78.86	0.64	0	5.49	3.36	25.36	0.14	4.50	7.55	15.14	18.49	38.50/64.50	60.21%
Totals		201	1104	9	0	5.49	47	355	2	63	7.55	211.9	258.9	539/903	60.21%