Aaron Jones

Fantasy Upside

After a frustrating first seasons in the league in an RB committee, Aaron Jones finally broke out in 2020 to the tune of 1,089 receptions and a league-leading 16 rushing touchdowns. Jones was seemingly destined for the endzone last season with five games with at least two rushing touchdowns including one four-touchdown early in the year against Dallas. Not only was Jones impressive in the run, but Green Bay’s lack of receiving weapons allowed him to get 69 targets which he turned into 49 receptions, 474 receiving yards and three touchdowns. Green Bay’s all-purpose back will see an expected regression in touchdowns, but his effectiveness in all facets of the game should account for continued production in 2020.

Fantasy Downside

Seemingly free from sharing the backfield with Jamaal Williams last season, Jones finds himself in yet another full backfield with 2020 second-round pick A.J. Dillon. Unlike Williams, the concern in sharing the backfield with Dillon is his hulking six-foot, 250-pound frame that will inevitably steal away goal-line opportunities for Jones. An inevitable step back from the defense might call for a more negative game script for Jones, thus calling for more pass attempts for QB Aaron Jones—a definite hit to Jones’ production.

2020 Bottom Line

Jones might have hit his ceiling last year as he tied fantasy MVP Christian McCaffery for total TDs scored for non-QBs, but his talent and past prediction will be enough to give most of the reps in the Green Bay backfield. We currently have Jones ranked 14th amongst running backs and his current 12-team ADP has him going in the middle of the second round. Fantasy teams are taking Jones based on 2019 production, however, the high draft capital investment from a team who likes to spread the wealth in the backfield makes Jones a few mistakes away from a full-blown RB-by-committee.