
Draft Note by John Paulsen
Prescott had a strong bounce-back season in 2025, finishing QB5 at 19.6 points per game after an injury-shortened QB31 the year before. His efficiency was excellent—89th percentile in EPA per dropback and 76th percentile in CPOE—and he was remarkably steady, averaging 19.2 points per game in the first half and 20.0 in the second. Nine of 16 games went over 20 points, and he only dipped below 10 twice. CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens give him two legitimate weapons on the outside, Jake Ferguson is a reliable tight end, and Brian Schottenheimer runs a pass-heavy offense that keeps Prescott in high-volume situations all season. The only structural concern is the lack of rushing—11.1 yards per start and two touchdowns last year—which makes him entirely dependent on passing volume and touchdown rate, both of which can fluctuate. He's going as a midrange QB1 for a player who finished QB5 last year and QB4 in 2023. The Cowboys are going to throw the football, and when they do, he's likely to be efficient.
Dak Prescott
- QB
- , Dallas Cowboys
- 33
- 238 lbs
- 6' 2"
- Mississippi State
- 82
- 1
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Jon Machota
·Jul 08, 2025 · 2:55 PM EDT
2026 Draft note
Prescott had a strong bounce-back season in 2025, finishing QB5 at 19.6 points per game after an injury-shortened QB31 the year before. His efficiency was excellent—89th percentile in EPA per dropback and 76th percentile in CPOE—and he was remarkably steady, averaging 19.2 points per game in the first half and 20.0 in the second. Nine of 16 games went over 20 points, and he only dipped below 10 twice. CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens give him two legitimate weapons on the outside, Jake Ferguson is a reliable tight end, and Brian Schottenheimer runs a pass-heavy offense that keeps Prescott in high-volume situations all season. The only structural concern is the lack of rushing—11.1 yards per start and two touchdowns last year—which makes him entirely dependent on passing volume and touchdown rate, both of which can fluctuate. He's going as a midrange QB1 for a player who finished QB5 last year and QB4 in 2023. The Cowboys are going to throw the football, and when they do, he's likely to be efficient.
2026 Strength of Schedule - DAL
| W1 | W2 | W3 | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | W8 | W9 | W10 | W11 | W12 | W13 | W14 | W15 | W16 | W17 | W18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 @NYG | 30 WAS | 14 BAL | 6 @HOU | 29 TB | 10 @GB | 3 @PHI | 15 ARI | 16 @IND | 24 SF | 31 TEN | 3 PHI | 9 @SEA | BYE | 18 @LAR | 11 JAX | 20 NYG | 30 @WAS |
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
Game Stats
| Wk | Opp | Comp | Att | PaYds | PaTD | Int | YPA | YPR | RuAtt | Yds | TD | Fum | YPC | Pts | Snaps | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @PHI | 21 | 34 | 188 | 0 | 0 | 5.53 | 8.95 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 7.8 | 61/61 | 100.0% |
| 2 | NYG | 38 | 52 | 361 | 2 | 1 | 6.94 | 9.50 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 5.67 | 22.1 | 89/89 | 100.0% |
| 3 | @CHI | 31 | 40 | 251 | 1 | 2 | 6.28 | 8.10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 12.0 | 64/74 | 86.5% |
| 4 | GB | 31 | 40 | 319 | 3 | 0 | 7.98 | 10.29 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2.00 | 31.0 | 69/69 | 100.0% |
| 5 | @NYJ | 18 | 29 | 237 | 4 | 0 | 8.17 | 13.17 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 4.00 | 28.3 | 60/60 | 100.0% |
| 6 | @CAR | 25 | 34 | 261 | 3 | 0 | 7.68 | 10.44 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -0.50 | 22.3 | 55/55 | 100.0% |
| 7 | WAS | 21 | 30 | 264 | 3 | 0 | 8.80 | 12.57 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.40 | 23.3 | 67/67 | 100.0% |
| 8 | @DEN | 19 | 31 | 188 | 0 | 2 | 6.06 | 9.89 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 5.17 | 6.6 | 65/74 | 87.8% |
| 9 | ARI | 24 | 39 | 250 | 1 | 1 | 6.41 | 10.42 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 8.50 | 15.4 | 67/67 | 100.0% |
| 10 | BYE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | @LV | 25 | 33 | 268 | 4 | 0 | 8.12 | 10.72 | 4 | -4 | 0 | 1 | -1.00 | 24.3 | 67/67 | 100.0% |
| 12 | PHI | 23 | 36 | 354 | 2 | 1 | 9.83 | 15.39 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1.80 | 27.1 | 74/74 | 100.0% |
| 13 | KC | 27 | 39 | 320 | 2 | 1 | 8.21 | 11.85 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 0 | -0.67 | 20.6 | 72/72 | 100.0% |
| 14 | @DET | 31 | 47 | 376 | 1 | 2 | 8.00 | 12.13 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4.67 | 18.4 | 82/82 | 100.0% |
| 15 | MIN | 23 | 38 | 294 | 0 | 0 | 7.74 | 12.78 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.00 | 12.0 | 70/70 | 100.0% |
| 16 | LAC | 21 | 30 | 244 | 2 | 0 | 8.13 | 11.62 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7.00 | 19.2 | 53/58 | 91.4% |
| 17 | @WAS | 19 | 37 | 307 | 2 | 0 | 8.30 | 16.16 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 6.00 | 22.7 | 92/92 | 100.0% |
| 18 | @NYG | 7 | 11 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 6.36 | 10.00 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 1 | -0.50 | 0.7 | 28/55 | 50.9% |
| Per game | 23.76 | 35.29 | 267.76 | 1.76 | 0.59 | 7.59 | 11.27 | 3.12 | 10.41 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 3.34 | 18.46 | 66.76/69.76 | 95.10% | |
| Totals | 404 | 600 | 4552 | 30 | 10 | 7.59 | 11.27 | 53 | 177 | 2 | 2 | 3.34 | 313.78 | 1135/1186 | 95.10% | |






