FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Week 10 GPP Breakdown

Nov 11, 2023

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

In this space each week will be the top stacks, contrarian plays, and strategies to attack GPPs on both FanDuel and DraftKings. The backbone of our player pool is value, as highlighted by 4for4’s proprietary value metric, which goes beyond simple point-per-dollar projections. To be successful in GPPs, however, it’s essential to be unique and that can be accomplished by combining knowledge from 4for4’s suite of DFS tools including ownership projections, leverage scores, correlation, and stack values.

Even with all of these resources at our disposal, adjusting for game type is essential. For example, someone playing the Millionaire Maker shouldn’t have the same approach as someone entering a $300 single-entry contest with 150 entries. For nuanced explanations on game selection and lineup construction, be sure to check out 4for4’s DFS Strategy Hub and DFS MVP game theory segments.

Note: Many of 4for4’s value plays should be in your GPP player pool but may not necessarily be written about below. Most starters on teams with high implied totals are worthy of being rostered but players in this breakdown are those to be overweight on.

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More Week 10 DFS Strategy: Top Values and Cash Plays | WR/CB Matchups | Ownership Projections | Leverage Scores

Popular Games to Target

Texans @ Bengals (-6.5); O/U 47

This one turned me off the moment 23(!) players opened on Houston’s injury report. C.J. Stroud ($6,900 DraftKings/$7,700 FanDuel), the QB16 in points per game before running into the Bucs, is also in an entirely different spot against DC Lou Anarumo and this Bengals defense permitting 11.9 per-week passing points to Geno Smith, Brock Purdy, and Josh Allen in their last three games—Allen ultimately got there in fantasy with 10.4 points via his legs.

Furthermore, Tank Dell ($5,500 DK/$6,400 FD) will be chalk sans Nico Collins (calf, out), and Noah Brown ($3,700 DK/$5,400 FD) is being chased for recency bias following his first career game (out of 70) over 100 yards. I’m instead open to clicking Devin Singletary ($4,700 DK/$5,700 FD) on both sites if only for his price—he encouragingly handled 15-of-16 backfield touches without Dameon Pierce (out) against the Bucs, and Cincinnati offers a more enticing matchup on paper in allowing the league’s highest rate of explosive runs.