Metcalf has delivered almost exactly the same season back-to-back–WR22 overall in both 2024 and 2025, averaging 10.4 and 10.5 points per game respectively. His profile splits into two distinct tiers: an average-to-solid route runner (74th-percentile route grade, 76th-percentile YPRR, 57th-percentile ESPN OPEN) and an elite playmaker with the ball in his hands (96th-percentile YAC per reception, 81st-percentile ESPN YAC). Pittsburgh has 102 vacated WR targets (44.3% of WR volume), and with Aaron Rodgers returning with Michael Pittman and Germie Bernard competing for looks, the distribution matters. If Metcalf maintains his role, another WR2 finish is in range. He's going as a low-end WR3/high-end WR4, and for a player who has delivered WR22 production in two consecutive seasons, that's a late-round discount worth taking.