• Joe Burrow

  • QB
  • , Cincinnati Bengals
  • 25
  • 0 lbs
  • 0' 0"
PtsPaYdsPaTDIntRuYds
1742688135142
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Burrow went down with a torn ACL in Week 11. Through 10 weeks, he was fantasy’s No. 14 quarterback and had the No. 16 per game average–he was tied with Drew Brees at that point in the season. With a healthy Burrow, the Bengals averaged the second-most pass attempts per game, so this pass-friendly environment should continue in 2021, especially with first-round pick Ja’Marr Chase in town. Chase replaces A.J. Green, who was extremely inefficient in 2020. When Burrow targeted Green, he averaged a paltry 4.69 yards per attempt. He averaged 7.39 when targeting all other Cincinnati receivers. Chase, along with Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd, gives Burrow one of the best receiving corps in the league. Burrow can run too; he was on pace for 227 yards and 4.8 touchdowns on the ground. Given his competition at quarterback, Burrow’s ADP (No. 9 QB off the board) seems a little steep.

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Scouting report

by Chris Kucharski

CIN QB Joe Burrow - 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
It looked promising until Joe Burrow went down with an ACL injury in Week 10. The numbers weren't earth-shattering but definitely showed the rookie could play in this league. When he was the starter, the Bengals had the second-most pass attempts per game. Cincinnati didn't hesitate in the off-season to get him more help by drafting his former LSU teammate wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase who some consider the best wide receiver in the draft. Add the already existing offensive skill players and Burrow should have plenty of options to create very good fantasy numbers.

Fantasy Downside
Quarterbacks coming from an ACL injury sometimes excel and sometimes they fall flat and there is really no map to say what is going to happen to Burrow. Even if the Bengals give him plenty of opportunities to put up positive fantasy numbers, there are still issues surrounding Burrow when he was the No. 1 pick in the draft in 2020 including he had one great season in college and was surrounded by multiple top draft picks. Add the injury to those factors and it does show why there is the risk with Burrow.

Bottom Line
If you get Burrow as your No. 2 quarterback, you scored a coup. Drafting him as a No. 1 quarterback has plenty of risk. His ADP has him going somewhere between the eighth and 10th round. All reports are Burrow has worked diligently to get healthy, but sometimes it is hard for players to get back where they were. If he is your No. 1 QB, it is a high-risk, high reward selection. But remember six of his games come against the AFC North and all of those teams have top-tier defenses.

2021 Strength of Schedule - CIN

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
10
MIN
12
@CHI
3
@PIT
28
JAX
6
GB
32
@DET
14
@BAL
27
@NYJ
26
CLE
BYE20
@LV
3
PIT
22
LAC
4
SF
13
@DEN
14
BAL
19
KC

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

Game Stats

WkOppCompAttPaYdsPaTDIntYPAYPRRuAttYdsTDFumYPCPtsSnaps%
1LAC2336193015.368.39846105.7516.368/68100.0%
2@CLE3761316305.188.54719012.7124.592/92100.0%
3@PHI3144312207.0910.061-100-1.0020.471/7298.6%
4JAX2536300118.3312.00411002.7515.175/75100.0%
5@BAL1930183016.109.63310013.334.367/67100.0%
6@IND2539313018.0312.5232100.6716.773/73100.0%
7CLE3547406318.6411.60634115.6733.675/75100.0%
8TEN2637249206.739.5839003.0018.973/73100.0%
9BYE---------------
10@PIT2140213105.3210.1400000.0012.565/65100.0%
11@WAS2234203105.979.23212016.0011.350/6873.5%
12NYG---------------
13@MIA---------------
14DAL---------------
15PIT---------------
16@HOU---------------
17BAL---------------
Per game26.4040.40268.801.300.506.6510.183.7014.200.300.403.8417.3770.90/72.8097.21%
Totals26440426881356.6510.1837142343.84173.72709/72897.21%
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