When Burrow is on the field, he's one of the best fantasy quarterbacks in football. He finished QB3 in 2024 at 22.5 points per game—his second top-four finish in three seasons—and was dominant down the stretch, averaging 26.4 points per game in the second half. His 2025 was derailed by injury yet again: he played just seven games, though his accuracy upon return was outstanding—91st percentile in CPOE and 73rd percentile in EPA per dropback. In the five games after coming back from his midseason absence (Weeks 13–17), he averaged 19.5 points per game, suggesting the arm talent was still very much intact. The problem is that the arm talent has never been the question. Burrow has missed 16 games over the last three seasons, and that kind of volatility is difficult to build a roster around, especially at a QB3 ADP. The rushing offers almost nothing—5.1 yards per game last season, 11.8 in 2024, 8.8 in 2023—so he's mostly pass-dependent, which makes him more vulnerable to bad game scripts and low-volume weeks than the dual-threat quarterbacks going around him. On the other hand, Ja'Marr Chase is the best receiver in fantasy football, Tee Higgins gives him an elite second option, and the Bengals' defense has a way of keeping Burrow in high-volume passing situations. At QB3, the ceiling is there—he's finished top four twice in four full seasons—but you're paying a premium that doesn't account for the very real chance he misses a month.