2022 NFL Win Total Odds, Picks, and Predictions
What are Win Totals?
Betting on a “win total” means you are wagering on the number of wins a team will have in the regular season. For example, the Buffalo Bills' win total is set at 11.5 at most sportsbooks. If you bet the over and they win 12 games, you win. If they win 11-or-fewer, you would lose.
Make sure to shop around for odds when betting on win totals. Sportsbooks will offer different numbers and odds for nearly every team and there is rarely a clear consensus.
NFL Win Total Odds Table
Best Win Total Odds
Over: 11.5 (-115 at FanDuel)
Under: 11.5 (+118 at BetRivers)
The Bills are Super Bowl favorites for a reason after ending up on the wrong side of a coinflip in 2021. Their overtime loss to the Chiefs in overtime of the AFC Divisional Round was one of the most memorable games in NFL history. This year they bring back almost their entire roster and upgraded slot wideouts from Cole Beasley to Jamison Crowder. They shored up their secondary early in the draft by adding CB Kaiir Elam in the first round and then finally got the pass-catching running back they desperately wanted in James Cook with their second-rounder. The Bills are the heavy favorites of the AFC East but both the Dolphins and Jets have made significant additions in the offseason.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Over: 11.5 (+100 at BetRivers)
Under: 11.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
The Bucs Super Bowl odds have already been through quite a tumultuous offseason after Tom Brady announced his retirement following the end of last season. After a short period of time sitting at home making Tik Toks, Brady got bored and decided to try and run it back. They still have a strong roster top-to-bottom and now have their leader back at the helm. Most sportsbooks won’t have them ranked as the second-best team in the league but the reason their odds are so high is because they play in the NFC. The AFC West’s top three teams might be able to match the entire NFC’s top-three teams. Regardless, They are in a great position to make a postseason push.
Kansas City Chiefs
Over: 10.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
Under: 10.5 (+100 at PointsBet)
The Chiefs are coming off a disappointing loss in the AFC Championship to the Bengals where they blew a massive first-half lead. They head into 2022 with some different pieces on offense after trading away Tyreek Hill while adding Marques Valdes-Scantling and JuJu Smith-Schuster. With the addition of Russell Wilson to the Broncos, the AFC West is easily the toughest division in the whole NFL.
Green Bay Packers
Over: 10.5 (-145 at BetMGM)
Under: 11.5 (-125 at PointsBet)
The Packers quarterback drama seemingly ended when they re-signed Aaron Rodgers to a massive extension but then went on to trade away wideout Davante Adams to the Raiders. Rather than trying to trade up in the draft to replace him, they drafted two defenders and then settled for North Dakota State wideout Christian Watson in the early second round. Their defense will likely be better but it’s fair to have serious questions about this passing game heading into Aaron Rodger's age-39 season.
Los Angeles Rams
Over: 10.5 (+110 at FanDuel)
Under: 11.5 (-110 at PointsBet)
The reigning Super Bowl champions are looking to run it back and will look to do so without a few of their key defenders. They swapped Allen Robinson in for Robert Woods and should still remain one of the top offensive teams in the league.
San Francisco 49ers
Over: 9.5 (-145 at BetMGM)
Under: 10.5 (-134 at PointsBet)
We don’t even know whether Jimmy Garroppolo or Trey Lance will be starting at quarterback yet but they are still amongst the favorites to win it all. Lance has much more upside as a quarterback but was not particularly good in last year’s outings. Offseason rumors of Jimmy Garroppolo being traded away haven’t stopped but it wouldn’t surprise me if the 49ers held on to him until a team needed a quarterback badly.
Over: 10 (-121 at BetRivers)
Under: 10.5 (-160 at BetMGM)
The Broncos arguably made the biggest improvement to their team in the league this offseason by trading for Russell Wilson. With an above-average defense and unproven but exciting offensive weapons, the Broncos would likely be a Super Bowl favorite in the NFC but have to make it through the gauntlet that is the AFC to make a run.
Los Angeles Chargers
Over: 10.5 (+120 at BetMGM)
Under: 10.5 (-120 at PointsBet)
The Chargers have a great roster on paper and could be poised to make a run with promising young quarterback Justin Herbert leading the way. They added OL Zion Johnson in the draft and are in a great position to be one of the offensive juggernauts in the league.
Over: 11.5 (-115 at FanDuel)
Under: 11.5 (+118 at BetRivers)
Despite Jerry Jones accidentally flashing the media the Cowboys draft board, they added some good pieces to their team. They kicked off Day 1 by adding OT Tyler Smith, trying to once again make their offensive line a strength after struggling at times last season. They lost wideout Amari Cooper in the offseason but still have both Ceedee Lamb and Micheal Gallup available to make plays.
No over/under posted
The Browns made big headlines, trading for Deshaun Watson and fully guaranteeing a massive extension without knowing his punishment. He’s likely to be suspended for some period of time this season making it difficult to feel good about buying into a Browns Super Bowl future this early. Sportsbooks likely won’t post a win total for the Browns until Deshaun Watson’s suspension is finalized.
Over: 9.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
Under: 9.5 (+100 at BetRivers)
The reigning AFC champs will have an absolute battle to return to the Super Bowl let alone win their division. The Ravens are healthy after a down season in 2021 while the Browns traded for Deshaun Watson. The Bengals did make some great moves in the offseason though, solidifying their offensive line in free agency and adding help to the secondary through the draft.
Over: 9.5 (-125 at BetMGM)
Under: 9.5 (+110 at BetRivers)
The Ravens' top three running backs all suffered season-ending injuries while their offensive line had multiple players rotating through the starting lineup. For a team that likes to dominate in the trenches and run the ball a lot that spelled bad news. With both of those issues likely fixed the Ravens are in a good spot to make a run at winning the division this year.
Over: 9.5 (-125 at PointsBet)
Under: 9.5 (+115 at BetMGM)
The Colts rid themselves of reported locker room poison in Carson Wentz and upgraded by bringing in Matt Ryan. With a strong offensive line, running game, and intriguing weapons the Colts' offense has a good chance to be revitalized. The Colts also added Stephon Gilmore to bolster their secondary. The Colts are a team we shouldn’t get caught sleeping on.
Over: 8.5 (-115 at PointsBet)
Under: 9.5 (-155 at BetRivers)
The Cardinals traded for Marquise “Hollywood” Brown with the 23rd pick in the first round, a move that had many scratching their heads. That is until the NFL announced star-wideout Deandre Hopkins will be suspended for the use of performance-enhancing drugs (PEDs). If they are able to clinch a playoff spot in a tough division like the NFC West they could certainly make a run to the Super Bowl.
Over: 9.5 (+105 at PointsBet)
Under: 9.5 (-120 at BetMGM)
The Titans made a splash in the offseason but not in a way most would consider to be good. They traded away alpha No. 1 wideout A.J. Brown and drafted rookie Treylon Burks out of Arkansas. They also replaced Julio Jones with former Rams wide receiver Robert Woods who is coming off a torn ACL. Burks profiles like A.J. Brown in a lot of ways but is no guarantee to be the same player. This was a massive risk by the Titans and one that could ultimately be their downfall should the passing game not perform how they need.
Over: 8.5 (-120 at FanDuel)
Under: 8.5 (+110 at PointsBet)
The Dolphins made a splash this offseason by trading for elite speedster Tyreek Hill. The Dolphins also bolstered their offensive line, leaving few excuses for third-year quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. The Dolphins would be a very sneaky Super Bowl team if they didn’t play in the super-tough AFC.
Over: 8.5 (-144 at PointsBet)
Under: 8.5 (+137 at BetRivers)
The Eagles are set to have a strong season after bolstering their defensive line in the draft and trading for a true No. 1 wideout in A.J. Brown. I’m buying low on the Eagles to win the Super Bowl and at 40/1 they are a great longshot to make a run in the NFC.
New England Patriots
Over: 8.5 (-115 at FanDuel)
Under: 8.5 (+105 PointsBet)
Gone are the days of the Patriots playing 5-wide and throwing it 50 times a game. With Devante Parker, Kendrick Bourne, Jakobi Meyers, and Tyquan Thornton as their to four wideouts, it would be surprising for them to do anything but run the ball as much as possible and try to dominate in the trenches.
Over: 8.5 (-130 at BetMGM)
Under: 8.5 (+110 at BetMGM)
The Vikings traded back in the first round and grabbed safety Lewis Cine rather than standing pat at 12 and taking their top choice there. The Vikings are very much in play to win the NFC North with just the Packers standing in the way as their top obstacle.
Las Vegas Raiders
Over: 7.5 (-134 at PointsBet)
Under: 8.5 (-145 at BetMGM)
The Raiders added Davante Adams to what is now a stacked pass-catching group that already consisted of Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow. The Raiders are currently slotted to finish as the worst team in the AFC West by most sportsbooks yet sport a win total of 8.5. The AFC West is projected to be historically good this upcoming season.
New Orleans Saints
Over: 8.5 (-130 at BetMGM)
Under: 8.5 (+110 at BetMGM)
The Saints will roll with Jameis Winston as their starter at quarterback and added some valuable offensive pieces through the draft as well. Ohio State WR Chris Olave should be an impact player in year one and Trevon Penning is a mean offensive lineman who can help the Saints dominate up front. The Saints’ range of outcomes this year as a team is pretty wide.
Over: 7.5 (-106 at BetRivers)
Under: 7.5 (+105 at BetMGM)
Washington still has plenty of strong pieces in place defensively but may struggle offensively. They will now be quarterbacked by recent journeyman Carson Wentz who was reportedly a bad fit for the Colts' locker room. The Commanders also added Penn State wideout Jahan Dotson to their pass-catching group that already consisted of Terry Mclaurin and TE Logan Thomas.
Over: 7.5 (-110 at PointsBet)
Under: 7.5 (+100 at BetMGM)
With Ben Roethlisberger retiring the Steelers signed Mitchell Trubisky and then drafted Pitt QB Kenny Pickett with the 20th pick in the first round. Most reports believe it will be an open competition entering camp, giving Pickett the opportunity to start immediately as a rookie.
Over: 6.5 (-110 at BetRivers)
Under: 6.5 (+115 at BetMGM)
The Bears did nothing to support their second-year quarterback Justin Fields. They currently have a bottom-three offensive line and Darnell Mooney is far and away their best pass-catcher. David Montgomery is a solid running back but he will have little-to-no opportunity to excel behind his offensive line.
Over: 5.5 (-140 at BetMGM)
Under: 6.5 (-155 at PointsBet)
The Seahawks shipped off Russell Wilson to Denver and doubled down on the running game in the draft. They selected Charles Cross at No. 9 overall and then added Michigan State RB Kenneth Walker in the second round. They will likely place a big emphasis on running the ball early and often in 2022.
Over: 5.5 (-120 at BetMGM)
Under: 6.5 (-144 at PointsBet)
The Panthers drafted Ikem Ekwonu with the sixth overall pick and then traded up to select QB Matt Corrall who fell all the way to the third round. Their quarterback situation remains a disaster with Sam Darnold penciled in as their starter and Corrall likely the backup. They also fired OC Joe Brady for passing too much and should be expected to go run-heavy this season.
Over: 6.5 (+105 at BetMGM)
Under: 6.5 (-120 at PointsBet)
The Jaguars bolstered their offensive line throughout the offseason and then focused on drafting defenders in the NFL Draft. They picked a high-upside prospect at No. 1 overall in Travon Walker then traded up for LB Nakobe Dean.
New York Jets
Over: 5.5 (-140 at PointsBet)
Under: 5.5 (+135 at FanDuel)
The Jets had one of the best drafts in the league, getting cornerback Ahmad Sauce Gardner at No 4 overall, wide receiver Garrett Wilson 10th overall, and defensive end Jermaine Johnson 26th overall. All three play positions of need and should make an immediate impact for them. The only thing that could hold them back from making a jump is QB Zach Wilson. With weapons around him, he has a lot of pressure to perform this season.
Over: 6 (-134 at BetRivers)
Under: 6.5 (-140 at BetMGM)
The Lions are trending upward. They picked defensive end Aidan Hutchinson second overall and then traded up for wideout Jameson Williams at pick No. 12. The Lions now have a reasonable supporting cast for Jared Goff and their defense has some extra help rushing the passer. It wouldn’t surprise me to see a 7-to-8 win season for the Lions.
Over: 4.5 (-105 at BetMGM)
Under: 5 (-124 at BetRivers)
The Falcons traded away long-time quarterback Matt Ryan and signed Marcus Mariota to replace him. They also lost WR Calvin Ridley for all of next season to a parlay-induced suspension. They drafted wide receiver Drake London to try and add more firepower to the pass-catchers but there are still serious questions surrounding this offense.
Over: 4.5 (+100 at BetRivers)
Under: 4.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
The Texans and Davis Mills showed some life down the stretch despite possessing a completely talent-deficient roster. They added cornerback Derek Stingley at No. 3 overall and offensive guard Kenyon Green at 15th overall. That’s not enough to make much of a difference but the Texans finally seem to be heading in the right direction at the very least.
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