
Draft Note by John Paulsen
Herbert has settled into low-end QB1 territory, finishing QB13 and QB9 the last two seasons. His passing efficiency was middling last year—53rd percentile in EPA per dropback, 60th percentile in CPOE—but the big story was his legs. Herbert rushed for a career-high 498 yards (31.1 per game) and two touchdowns, and wants to keep running. That's meaningful for his fantasy outlook because the rushing floor is what separates the elite fantasy quarterbacks from the pack. The Chargers have a solid receiving corps with Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, and second-year players Tre Harris and Oronde Gadsden, and they added Brenan Thompson in this year's draft and David Njoku late in free agency. Mike McDaniel will be calling the plays, and has said that he would like Herbert to get the ball out more quickly and not have so much on his shoulders. Reading between the lines, this sounds like less running to me, but Herbert will still need to scramble and will pick his spots to use his legs. Where I think McDaniel can really help is Herbert’s efficiency. Herbert averaged 7.3 yards per attempt last season and has a career 7.2 YPA. McDaniel took over the Dolphins’ offense in 2022 and took Tua Tagovailoa from a career-to-date 6.6 YPA to 8.9 YPA in his first season. I’m not expecting that sort of leap for Herbert, but he could be a lot more productive as a passer under McDaniel, and that could offset a loss of rushing production.
Justin Herbert
- QB
- , Los Angeles Chargers
- 28
- 236 lbs
- 6' 6"
- Oregon
- 84
- 1
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2026 Draft note
Herbert has settled into low-end QB1 territory, finishing QB13 and QB9 the last two seasons. His passing efficiency was middling last year—53rd percentile in EPA per dropback, 60th percentile in CPOE—but the big story was his legs. Herbert rushed for a career-high 498 yards (31.1 per game) and two touchdowns, and wants to keep running. That's meaningful for his fantasy outlook because the rushing floor is what separates the elite fantasy quarterbacks from the pack. The Chargers have a solid receiving corps with Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, and second-year players Tre Harris and Oronde Gadsden, and they added Brenan Thompson in this year's draft and David Njoku late in free agency. Mike McDaniel will be calling the plays, and has said that he would like Herbert to get the ball out more quickly and not have so much on his shoulders. Reading between the lines, this sounds like less running to me, but Herbert will still need to scramble and will pick his spots to use his legs. Where I think McDaniel can really help is Herbert’s efficiency. Herbert averaged 7.3 yards per attempt last season and has a career 7.2 YPA. McDaniel took over the Dolphins’ offense in 2022 and took Tua Tagovailoa from a career-to-date 6.6 YPA to 8.9 YPA in his first season. I’m not expecting that sort of leap for Herbert, but he could be a lot more productive as a passer under McDaniel, and that could offset a loss of rushing production.
2026 Strength of Schedule - LAC
| W1 | W2 | W3 | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | W8 | W9 | W10 | W11 | W12 | W13 | W14 | W15 | W16 | W17 | W18 |
|---|
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
Game Stats
| Wk | Opp | Comp | Att | PaYds | PaTD | Int | YPA | YPR | RuAtt | Yds | TD | Fum | YPC | Pts | Snaps | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 25 | 34 | 318 | 3 | 0 | 9.35 | 12.72 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 4.57 | 27.9 | 65/65 | 100.0% |
| 2 | @LV | 19 | 27 | 242 | 2 | 0 | 8.96 | 12.74 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 3.44 | 18.8 | 58/58 | 100.0% |
| 3 | DEN | 28 | 47 | 300 | 1 | 1 | 6.38 | 10.71 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 14.6 | 86/86 | 100.0% |
| 4 | @NYG | 23 | 41 | 203 | 1 | 2 | 4.95 | 8.83 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 24.00 | 12.5 | 63/63 | 100.0% |
| 5 | WAS | 22 | 29 | 166 | 1 | 1 | 5.72 | 7.55 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 15.00 | 14.6 | 61/67 | 91.0% |
| 6 | @MIA | 29 | 38 | 264 | 2 | 0 | 6.95 | 9.10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.00 | 18.8 | 64/64 | 100.0% |
| 7 | IND | 37 | 55 | 420 | 3 | 2 | 7.64 | 11.35 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 5.17 | 27.9 | 76/76 | 100.0% |
| 8 | MIN | 18 | 25 | 227 | 3 | 1 | 9.08 | 12.61 | 7 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 8.86 | 25.3 | 73/73 | 100.0% |
| 9 | @TEN | 19 | 29 | 250 | 2 | 1 | 8.62 | 13.16 | 9 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 6.33 | 27.7 | 65/65 | 100.0% |
| 10 | PIT | 20 | 33 | 220 | 1 | 0 | 6.67 | 11.00 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 3.80 | 14.7 | 73/73 | 100.0% |
| 11 | @JAX | 10 | 18 | 81 | 0 | 1 | 4.50 | 8.10 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 7.00 | 3.3 | 35/48 | 72.9% |
| 12 | BYE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | LV | 15 | 20 | 151 | 2 | 1 | 7.55 | 10.07 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2.67 | 12.8 | 57/67 | 85.1% |
P
Injury Details (w14)
Status: Probable Injury: Left Hand | PHI | 12 | 26 | 139 | 1 | 1 | 5.35 | 11.58 | 10 | 66 | 0 | 1 | 6.60 | 12.2 | 74/74 | 100.0% |
| 15 | @KC | 19 | 29 | 210 | 1 | 1 | 7.24 | 11.05 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 10.4 | 66/66 | 100.0% |
| 16 | @DAL | 23 | 29 | 300 | 2 | 0 | 10.34 | 13.04 | 8 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 5.25 | 30.2 | 64/64 | 100.0% |
| 17 | HOU | 21 | 32 | 236 | 1 | 1 | 7.38 | 11.24 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 6.17 | 15.1 | 63/63 | 100.0% |
O
Injury Details (w18)
Status: Out Injury: Rest (non-injury Related) | @DEN | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Per game | 21.25 | 32.00 | 232.94 | 1.63 | 0.81 | 7.28 | 10.96 | 5.19 | 31.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 6.00 | 17.93 | 65.19/67.00 | 96.81% | |
| Totals | 340 | 512 | 3727 | 26 | 13 | 7.28 | 10.96 | 83 | 498 | 2 | 2 | 6.00 | 286.88 | 1043/1072 | 96.81% | |






