Draft Note by John Paulsen
In five full games with Marcus Mariota at quarterback, Brown averaged 2.4 catches for 50 yards and 0.40 touchdowns. That’s not bad production for a rookie, but he was only averaging 3.8 targets during that span. Once Ryan Tannehill took over as the starter in Week 7, Brown’s numbers jumped to 3.8-78-0.60 on 6.1 targets per game, which equates to a 60.8-1248-9.6 pace, or about what DeAndre Hopkins scored last year as the No. 6 fantasy receiver. However, he was quiet in the postseason, catching just five passes for 64 yards and no scores in three games, though he faced the Patriots and the Chiefs, who allowed the fewest points to opposing receivers last season. The other concern is that Ryan Tannehill was hyper efficient and is likely to see his YPA and touchdown percentage regress in 2020. Still, Brown should be better in his second season and any improvement could offset Tannehill’s regression. He looks like a good value in the fourth round.
A.J. Brown
- WR
- , Tennessee Titans
- 23
- 226 lbs
- 6' 0"
- 47
- 1
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Draft note
In five full games with Marcus Mariota at quarterback, Brown averaged 2.4 catches for 50 yards and 0.40 touchdowns. That’s not bad production for a rookie, but he was only averaging 3.8 targets during that span. Once Ryan Tannehill took over as the starter in Week 7, Brown’s numbers jumped to 3.8-78-0.60 on 6.1 targets per game, which equates to a 60.8-1248-9.6 pace, or about what DeAndre Hopkins scored last year as the No. 6 fantasy receiver. However, he was quiet in the postseason, catching just five passes for 64 yards and no scores in three games, though he faced the Patriots and the Chiefs, who allowed the fewest points to opposing receivers last season. The other concern is that Ryan Tannehill was hyper efficient and is likely to see his YPA and touchdown percentage regress in 2020. Still, Brown should be better in his second season and any improvement could offset Tannehill’s regression. He looks like a good value in the fourth round.
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2020 Strength of Schedule - TEN
| W1 | W2 | W3 | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | W8 | W9 | W10 | W11 | W12 | W13 | W14 | W15 | W16 | W17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 @DEN | 11 JAX | 26 @MIN | 7 PIT | 2 BUF | 22 HOU | BYE | 25 @CIN | 3 CHI | 18 IND | 10 @BAL | 18 @IND | 12 CLE | 11 @JAX | 32 DET | 16 @GB | 22 @HOU |
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
2019 Game Stats
| Week | Opp | Rec | RecYds | RecTD | Tgts | YPR | RuAtt | RuYds | RuTD | Fum | YPC | STD | PPR | Snaps | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @CLE | 3 | 100 | 0 | 4 | 33.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 26/61 | 42.6% |
| 2 | IND | 3 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 27/60 | 45.0% |
| 3 | @JAX | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 40/80 | 50.0% |
| 4 | @ATL | 3 | 94 | 2 | 3 | 31.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 21.4 | 24.4 | 28/64 | 43.8% |
| 5 | BUF | 2 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 40/62 | 64.5% |
| 6 | @DEN | 2 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 40/70 | 57.1% |
| 7 | LAC | 6 | 64 | 0 | 8 | 10.67 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0 | -2.00 | 6.2 | 12.2 | 39/64 | 60.9% |
| 8 | TB | 2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 7.1 | 9.1 | 39/63 | 61.9% |
| 9 | @CAR | 4 | 81 | 0 | 7 | 20.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 8.1 | 12.1 | 52/75 | 69.3% |
| 10 | KC | 1 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 49/52 | 94.2% |
| 11 | BYE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | JAX | 4 | 135 | 1 | 5 | 33.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 19.5 | 23.5 | 37/53 | 69.8% |
| 13 | @IND | 3 | 45 | 0 | 4 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 54/60 | 90.0% |
| 14 | @LV | 5 | 153 | 2 | 7 | 30.60 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13.00 | 28.6 | 33.6 | 52/62 | 83.9% |
| 15 | HOU | 8 | 114 | 1 | 13 | 14.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 17.4 | 25.4 | 61/67 | 91.0% |
| 16 | NO | 1 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 34.00 | 1 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 49.00 | 14.3 | 15.3 | 62/62 | 100.0% |
| 17 | @HOU | 4 | 124 | 1 | 8 | 31.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 18.4 | 22.4 | 49/62 | 79.0% |
| Per game | 3.25 | 65.69 | 0.50 | 5.25 | 20.21 | 0.19 | 3.75 | 0.06 | 0 | 20.00 | 10.32 | 13.57 | 43.44/63.56 | 68.95% | |
| Totals | 52 | 1051 | 8 | 84 | 20.21 | 3 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 20.00 | 165.1 | 217.1 | 695/1017 | 68.95% | |
