We know Christian Watson has talent. In the 14 games over the last two seasons when he’s been healthy enough to play 70%+ of the snaps, he has averaged 3.6 catches for 61 yards and 0.79 touchdowns on 6.3 targets per game. Throw in some carries, and he’s averaged 13.6 (half-PPR) fantasy points per game when getting that many snaps. That’s what Nico Collins averaged as last year’s WR13 on a per-game basis. Watson has missed time in each of his first two seasons with hamstring injuries, but an offseason visit to a specialist in Madison revealed that there was an imbalance in the strength of his hamstrings which was causing the injuries. He has worked to cut the asymmetry in half, and continues to work to get the two muscles even closer in strength. If this is able to keep his legs healthy, it could be a boon for fantasy managers who are drafting him as the WR41 off the board. The Packers’ receiving group as a whole is going to be very difficult to project as there is a lot of talent WR1-WR5. Dontayvion Wicks and Bo Melton are arguably the best WR4 and WR5 in the league. Still, when Watson is healthy, the Packers will play him 70%-90% without much hesitation because he can completely take the top off the defense. When we apply his reception, receiving yard and touchdown shares from those 14 games where he played 70%+ of the snaps to the Packers’ expected passing numbers this season, then Watson projects to 947 yards and 11.6 touchdowns, which would make him the fantasy WR8. There’s obviously upside given Watson’s WR4-type ADP, but there are multiple ways (injury, WR-committee) for Watson to miss that expectation as well. I think he’s worth the risk.