• Aaron Rodgers

  • QB
  • , Green Bay Packers
  • 37
  • 220 lbs
  • 6' 2"
PtsPaYdsPaTDIntRuYds
2764002264183
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Rodgers has never finished outside of the top 10 when he plays at least 15 games, though I’m seeing some analysts argue that Rodgers is no longer a fantasy QB1. I’d argue that his No. 10 finish in 2019 wasn’t necessarily a sign of his decline since it was his first year in a new offense and the Packers’ rushing touchdowns spiked (to 18, from 14 the year before). Green Bay is likely to face negative game scripts more often in 2020 and Rodgers’ numbers could increase as a result.

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Scouting report

by Richard Mejia

GB QB Aaron Rodgers - 2020 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

The “decline” of Aaron Rodgers saw the 36-year-old QB throw for 4,000 yards, 26 touchdowns and four interceptions to yet another top-10 QB finish in fantasy football. Yet again plagued by injuries to himself and his receiving group all the while calling the plays under new head coach Matt LaFleur led to a drop in touchdowns, but most notably the Green Bay running game was one of the most impressive in the NFL. Behind Aaron Jones league-leading 19 rushing touchdowns and one of the best defensives in the NFL, an oft-positive game script did not require Rodgers’ usual late-game theatrics and typical passing attempts. The expectation is a serious regression in rushing touchdowns and step back for the defense, allowing Rodgers to throw the ball more and a closer return to his former self.

Fantasy Downside

The elephant in the room when addressing Aaron Rodgers is Green Bay’s refusal to surround him with an adequate supporting cast this offseason. Their “biggest” offensive free agent was WR Devin Funchess who has recently opted to sit out the season due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Their first-round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft was developmental QB Bryce Love and they spent a second-round pick on a plodding RB in A.J. Dillon. With an accumulation of injuries coupled with his age and a lack of receiving depth behind All-Pro WR Davante Adams, Rodgers might have his work cut out for him.

2020 Bottom Line

The upcoming season looks like it might Aaron Rodgers’ last as a Green Bay Packer. The refusal to add talent at the receiver position while adding Love is a clear indicator that Rodgers' days are numbered—however, that might make for one last hurrah. With an expected decline in rushing production and defensive effectiveness, Rodgers can easily find himself in shootouts throwing the ball to one of the best WRs in the league with Adams. We have Rodgers ranked 13th amongst quarterbacks and his current ADP has him going early in the eighth round. While it seems like the fantasy community does not think Rodgers is a QB1 in fantasy anymore, it would be unwise to bet against the future Hall of Famer who has serious low-end QB1 upside.

2020 Strength of Schedule - GB

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
6
@MIN
30
DET
18
@NO
25
ATL
BYE16
@TB
24
@HOU
6
MIN
10
@SF
22
JAX
14
@IND
5
CHI
13
PHI
30
@DET
9
CAR
19
TEN
5
@CHI

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats

WkOppCompAttPaYdsPaTDIntYPAYPRRuAttYdsTDFumYPCPtsSnaps%
1@CHI1830203106.7711.2838002.6712.964/64100.0%
2MIN2234209206.159.5010010.0014.474/74100.0%
3DEN1729235108.1013.821-100-1.0013.357/57100.0%
4PHI3453422217.9612.41546019.2025.581/81100.0%
5@DAL2234238007.0010.824-100-0.259.474/74100.0%
6DET2439283217.2611.79310003.3318.374/74100.0%
7LV25314295013.8417.1626103.0043.854/6090.0%
8@KC2333305309.2413.26629004.8327.169/69100.0%
9@LAC2335161104.607.0015005.0010.954/54100.0%
10CAR1729233008.0313.7117007.0010.068/68100.0%
11BYE---------------
12@SF2033104103.155.20313014.339.568/8085.0%
13@NYG2133243407.3611.57324008.0028.164/6795.5%
14WAS1828195106.9610.83516013.2011.462/62100.0%
15CHI1633203106.1512.69323007.6714.459/59100.0%
16@MIN2640216015.408.313-300-1.008.377/77100.0%
17@DET2755323215.8711.9621000.5019.088/88100.0%
Per game22.0635.56250.131.630.257.0311.342.8811.440.060.253.9817.2767.94/69.2598.16%
Totals35356940022647.0311.3446183143.98276.381087/110898.16%
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