Super Bowl Odds, Picks, and Predictions (2022)
Betting on the Super Bowl isn't easy as you have to pick one winner out of 32 potential choices. On the other hand, you can be rewarded for picking the right one as payouts reflect the level of risk with each team. One of my favorite ways to approach Super Bowl futures is to bet on teams with a wide range of outcomes. If everything plays out for them, maybe they make a run.
The Bengals were upwards of 150/1 to win last year's Super Bowl. While they just fell short, holding a 150/1 ticket would have allowed for big-time hedge opportunities and guaranteed profit. The best way to make sure you are getting the most value when betting on Super Bowl contenders is to shop around books. Sportsbooks odds will vary widely in their payouts and comparing them side by side here at 4for4 is the best way to do so.
Super Bowl Odds Table
Best Super Bowl Odds
Buffalo Bills Super Bowl Odds:+750 BetMGM
The Bills are Super Bowl favorites for a reason after ending up on the wrong side of a coinflip in 2021. Their loss to the Chiefs in overtime of the AFC Divisional Round was one of the most memorable games in NFL history. This year they bring back almost their entire roster and upgraded their slot wideout from Cole Beasley to Jamison Crowder. They shored up their secondary early in the draft by adding CB Kaiir Elam in the first round and then finally got the pass-catching running back they desperately wanted in James Cook with their second-rounder. The Bills are the heavy favorites in the AFC East but both the Dolphins and Jets have made significant additions in the offseason.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Super Bowl Odds: +800 Caesars
The Bucs Super Bowl odds have already been through quite a tumultuous offseason after Tom Brady announced his retirement following the end of last season. After a short period of time sitting at home making Tik Toks, Brady got bored and decided to try and run it back. They still have a strong roster top-to-bottom and now have their leader back at the helm. Most sportsbooks won’t have them ranked as the second-best team in the league but the reason their odds are so high is that they play in the NFC. The AFC West’s top three teams might be able to match the entire NFC’s top three teams. Regardless, They are in a great position to make a postseason push.
Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Odds: +1000 BetRivers
The Chiefs are coming off a disappointing loss in the AFC Championship to the Bengals where they blew a massive first-half lead. They head into 2022 with some different pieces on offense after trading away Tyreek Hill while adding Marques Valdes-Scantling and JuJu Smith-Schuster. With the addition of Russell Wilson to the Broncos, the AFC West is easily the toughest division in the whole NFL.
Green Bay Packers Super Bowl Odds: +1100 BetMGM
The Packers quarterback drama seemingly ended when they re-signed Aaron Rodgers to a massive extension but they went on to trade away wideout Davante Adams to the Raiders. Rather than trying to trade up in the draft to replace him, they drafted two defenders and then settled for North Dakota State wideout Christian Watson in the early second round. Their defense will likely be better but it’s fair to have serious questions about this passing game heading into Aaron Rodgers's age-39 season.
Los Angeles Rams Super Bowl Odds: +1200 at Caesars
The reigning Super Bowl champions are looking to run it back and will look to do so without a few of their key defenders. They swapped Allen Robinson in for Robert Woods and should still remain one of the top offensive teams in the league.
San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Odds: +1600 PointsBet
We don’t even know whether Jimmy Garroppolo or Trey Lance will be starting at quarterback for the 49ers but they are still amongst the favorites to win it all. Lance has much more upside as a quarterback but was not particularly good in last year’s outings. Offseason rumors of Jimmy Garroppolo being traded away haven’t stopped but it wouldn’t surprise me if the 49ers held on to him until a team needed a quarterback badly.
Denver Broncos Super Bowl Odds: +1600 BetMGM
The Broncos arguably made the biggest improvement to their team in the league this offseason by trading for Russell Wilson. With an above-average defense and unproven but exciting offensive weapons, the Broncos would likely be a Super Bowl favorite in the NFC but have to make it through the gauntlet that is the AFC to make a run.
Los Angeles Chargers Super Bowl Odds: +1600 FanDuel
The Chargers have a great roster on paper and could be poised to make a run with a promising young quarterback, Justin Herbert leading the way. They added OL Zion Johnson in the draft and are in a great position to be one of the offensive juggernauts in the league.
Dallas Cowboys Super Bowl Odds: +1800 Caesars
Despite Jerry Jones accidentally flashing the media the Cowboys' draft board, they added some good pieces to their team. They kicked off Day 1 by adding OT Tyler Smith, trying to once again make their offensive line a strength after struggling at times last season. They lost wideout Amari Cooper in the offseason but still have both Ceedee Lamb and Micheal Gallup available to make plays.
Cleveland Browns Super Bowl Odds: +2200 PointsBet
The Browns made big headlines, trading for Deshaun Watson and fully guaranteeing a massive extension without knowing his punishment. He’s likely to be suspended for some period of time this season making it difficult to feel good about buying into a Browns Super Bowl future this early.
Cincinnati Bengals Super Bowl Odds: +2200 Caesars
The reigning AFC champs will have an absolute battle to return to the Super Bowl let alone win their division. The Ravens are healthy after a down season in 2021 while the Browns traded for Deshaun Watson. The Bengals did make some great moves in the offseason though, solidifying their offensive line in free agency and adding help to the secondary through the draft.
Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl Odds: +2200 Caesars
The Ravens' top three running backs all suffered season-ending injuries while their offensive line had multiple players rotating through the starting lineup. For a team that likes to dominate in the trenches and run the ball a lot that spelled bad news. With both of those issues likely fixed the Ravens are in a good spot to make a run at winning the division this year.
Indianapolis Colts Super Bowl Odds: +2500 Caesars
The Colts rid themselves of reported locker room poison in Carson Wentz and upgraded by bringing in Matt Ryan. With a strong offensive line, running game, and intriguing weapons the Colts' offense has a good chance to be revitalized. The Colts also added Stephon Gilmore to bolster their secondary. The Colts are a team we shouldn’t get caught sleeping on.
Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl Odds: +3000 Caesars
The Cardinals traded for Marquise “Hollywood” Brown with the 23rd pick in the first round, a move that had many scratching their heads. That is until the NFL announced star wideout DeAndre Hopkins will be suspended for the use of performance-enhancing drugs (PEDs). If they are able to clinch a playoff spot in a tough division like the NFC West they could certainly make a run to the Super Bowl.
Tennessee Titans Super Bowl Odds: +3000 FanDuel
The Titans made a splash in the offseason but not in a way most would consider good. They traded away alpha No. 1 wideout A.J. Brown and drafted rookie Treylon Burks out of Arkansas. They also replaced Julio Jones with former Rams wide receiver Robert Woods who is coming off a torn ACL. Burks profiles like A.J. Brown in a lot of ways but is no guarantee to be the same player. This was a massive risk by the Titans and one that could ultimately be their downfall should the passing game not perform how they need.
Miami Dolphins Super Bowl Odds: +3500 DraftKings
The Dolphins made a splash this offseason by trading for elite speedster Tyreek Hill. The Dolphins also bolstered their offensive line, leaving few excuses for third-year quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. The Dolphins would be a very sneaky Super Bowl team if they didn’t play in the super-tough AFC.
Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl Odds: +4000 FanDuel
The Eagles are set to have a strong season after bolstering their defensive line in the draft and trading for a true No. 1 wideout in A.J. Brown. I’m buying low on the Eagles to win the Super Bowl and at 40/1 they are a great longshot to make a run in the NFC.
New England Patriots Super Bowl Odds: +4000 FanDuel
Gone are the days of the Patriots playing 5-wide and throwing it 50 times a game. With Devante Parker, Kendrick Bourne, Jakobi Meyers, and Tyquan Thornton as their top four wideouts, it would be surprising for them to do anything but run the ball as much as possible and try to dominate in the trenches.
Minnesota Vikings Super Bowl Odds: +4500 DraftKings
The Vikings traded back in the first round and grabbed safety Lewis Cine rather than standing pat at 12 and taking their top choice there. The Vikings are very much in play to win the NFC North with just the Packers standing in the way as their top obstacle.
Las Vegas Raiders Super Bowl Odds: +5000 Caesars
The Raiders added Davante Adams to what is now a stacked pass-catching group that already consisted of Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow. The Raiders are currently slotted to finish as the worst team in the AFC West by most sportsbooks yet sport a win total of 8.5. The AFC West is projected to be historically good this upcoming season.
New Orleans Saints Super Bowl Odds: +5000 Caesars
The Saints will roll with Jameis Winston as their starter at quarterback and added some valuable offensive pieces through the draft as well. Ohio State WR Chris Olave should be an impact player in year one and Trevon Penning is a mean offensive lineman who can help the Saints dominate up front. The Saints’ range of outcomes this year as a team is pretty wide.
Washington Commanders Super Bowl Odds: +7000 Caesars
Washington still has plenty of strong pieces in place defensively but may struggle offensively. They will now be quarterbacked by recent journeyman Carson Wentz who was reportedly a bad fit for the Colts' locker room. The Commanders also added Penn State wideout Jahan Dotson to their pass-catching group that already consisted of Terry Mclaurin and TE Logan Thomas.
Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl Odds: +9000 PointsBet
With Ben Roethlisberger retiring the Steelers signed Mitchell Trubisky and then drafted Pitt QB Kenny Pickett with the 20th pick in the first round. Most reports believe it will be an open competition entering camp, giving Pickett the opportunity to start immediately as a rookie.
Chicago Bears Super Bowl Odds: +10000 PointsBet
The Bears did nothing to support their second-year quarterback Justin Fields. They currently have a bottom-three offensive line and Darnell Mooney is easily their best pass-catcher. David Montgomery is a solid running back but he will have little-to-no opportunity to excel behind his offensive line.
Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl Odds: +125000 PointsBet
The Seahawks shipped off Russell Wilson to Denver and doubled down on the running game in the draft. They selected Charles Cross at No. 9 overall and then added Michigan State RB Kenneth Walker in the second round. They will likely place a big emphasis on running the ball early and often in 2022.
Carolina Panthers Super Bowl Odds: +10000 PointsBet
The Panthers drafted Ikem Ekwonu with the sixth overall pick and then traded up to select QB Matt Corrall who fell all the way to the third round. Their quarterback situation remains a disaster with Sam Darnold penciled in as their starter and Corrall likely the backup. They also fired OC Joe Brady for passing too much and should be expected to go run-heavy this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars Super Bowl Odds: +13000 DraftKings
The Jaguars bolstered their offensive line throughout the offseason and then focused on drafting defenders in the NFL Draft. They picked a high-upside prospect at No. 1 overall in Travon Walker then traded up for LB Nakobe Dean.
New York Jets Super Bowl Odds: +15000 Caesars
The Jets had one of the best drafts in the league, getting cornerback Ahmad Sauce Gardner at No 4 overall, wide receiver Garrett Wilson 10th overall, and defensive end Jermaine Johnson 26th overall. All three play positions of need and should make an immediate impact for them. The only thing that could hold them back from making a jump is QB Zach Wilson. With weapons around him, he has a lot of pressure to perform this season.
Atlanta Falcons Super Bowl Odds: +20000 PointsBet
The Falcons traded away long-time quarterback Matt Ryan and signed Marcus Mariota to replace him. They also lost WR Calvin Ridley for all of next season to a parlay-induced suspension. They drafted wide receiver Drake London to try and add more firepower to the pass-catchers but there are still serious questions surrounding this offense.
Detroit Lions Super Bowl Odds: +150000 Caesars
The Lions are trending upward. They picked defensive end Aidan Hutchinson second overall and then traded up for wideout Jameson Williams at pick No. 12. The Lions now have a reasonable supporting cast for Jared Goff and their defense has some extra help rushing the passer. It wouldn’t surprise me to see a 7-to-8 win season for the Lions.
Houston Texans Super Bowl Odds: +250000
The Texans and Davis Mills showed some life down the stretch despite possessing a completely talent-deficient roster. They added cornerback Derek Stingley at No. 3 overall and offensive guard Kenyon Green at 15th overall. That’s not enough to make much of a difference but the Texans finally seem to be heading in the right direction at the very least.
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