Fantasy Football ADP Risers & Fallers: July

This is still a downtime in the NFL, so all ADP movement is likely courtesy of rumors and coach speak from the last organized practices, along with the occasional workout hype video or photo. You’d think draft values would not have changed much over the last few weeks, but conversely, there has been some significant movement.

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Let’s take a look at the biggest risers and fallers at each position over the last month in Underdog drafts, by comparing players’ ADP from June 5th to July 5th. I’ll go position by position to tease out any relevant players’ spikes or slides.

*All ADP is courtesy of 4for4’s Underdog ADP tool, and all image credit to IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect.

Quarterbacks

QB Risers

Drake Maye, Patriots (ADP: 67.0, -3.2)

This mild rise is likely due to the Patriots' trade for A.J. Brown that took place on June 1st. Adding a true, coverage-dictating alpha wide receiver to the perimeter raises Drake Maye's weekly ceiling. Combined with his robust rushing floor (6.06 attempts per game in 2025), he's locked in as a top 5 positional pick this summer.

QB Fallers

Tyler Shough, Saints ( ADP: 121.9, +5.7)

Nothing newsworthy happened over the past month to cause this half-round slide for Tyler Shough; it's likely a market correction from earlier this summer. The hype from the end of 2025 initially pushed his ADP into the low QB2 tier, but looking deeper into his performance, Shough's high touchdown-to-interception efficiency over those final games is likely unsustainable, plus new OC Kellen Moore's projected pace and structure of the passing game might also be spooking some drafters as the summer rolls on.

Running Backs

RB Risers

Jaydon Blue, Cowboys (ADP: 198.2, -16.9)

The ground rumble has begun for Jaydon Blue, as he acknowledged last year's disaster (129 yards, 0 touchdowns), telling The Athletic, "I didn't start off like I should have. Maybe if it was not practicing the right way or just on a maturity level, I think I wasn't really there. But just learning from all the vets, having the offseason that I've had, I think I'm ready to go."

His coaching staff is also on board, as HC Brian Shottenheimer said this in a presser from two weeks ago - "But I love the idea of a change-of-pace back to go with Javonte, who’s an absolute pounder and bruiser, a guy that’s gonna score 12 or 13 touchdowns every year for us. Jaydon’s a huge part of what we’re trying to do, and he’s gotta do his part, and I think he is doing his part." The team didn't bring in another RB of significance this offseason, and with a clear path to the RB2 work in Dallas, Blue is still a nice value at his new ADP of 17.06.

Rachaad White, Commanders (ADP: 109.0, -11.8)

This offseason, the narrative has mostly been to shy away from the crowded Washington backfield, but after a standout offseason program, according to HC Dan Quinn on June 18th, Rachaad White has climbed a full round over the last four weeks from the 10.12 to the 10.01. White's receiving prowess and pass protection give him a decent path to weekly usability.

RB Fallers

Nicholas Singleton, Titans (ADP: 203.6, +22.6)

The landing spot and NFL Draft capital are likely still causing a correction in Nicholas Singleton's pricing. He underwent offseason foot surgery to repair a Jones fracture and is currently behind both Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears in the RB rotational hierarchy for Tennessee. The rookie is now more appealing at the very end of the 17th round (17.12) and could be a sneaky late-season hammer for best ball squads.

Emanuel Wilson, Seahawks (ADP: 215.6, +21.9)

The signing of Emanuel Wilson back in March was an intriguing one, as Kenneth Walker had just joined the Chiefs and Zach Charbonnet was still recovering from a torn ACL. Then Seattle went and used the No. 32 overall pick on rookie running back Jadarian Price, which didn't exactly build confidence in the projected workload for Wilson. During OTAs back in June, he was getting reps wth the third team, and the former Packer is now listed fourth on the depth chart behind Charbonnet, Price, and George Hotani.

Wilson can be sprinkled into some Seattle stacks in best ball now that he's a final-round selection, but he's off the redraft radar unless something changes in the RB room over the next few months.

Wide Receivers

WR Risers

Adonai Mitchell, Jets ( ADP: 173.4, -32.7)

No NFL player has spiked more in Underdog ADP over the last four weeks than Adonai Mitchell, who climbed from pick 18.02 up to 15.05. He's being praised by folks all over the Jets camp, from beat writers to players to coaches, all speaking highly of his performance this spring and summer thus far. HC Aaron Glenn stated, "Adonai Mitchell is a very talented player, and we want to squeeze every ounce of his athleticism, to where he can help us and make big plays for us, because he has that ability."

According to beat writer Zack Rosenblatt, Mitchell's chemistry with QB Geno Smith has been heating up, and his new QB had this to say: “I’m really excited about AD. I think he’s going to be a special player for a long time. He’s obviously got the talent, but what people might not see is the way that he works, the way that he studies, and just the type of teammate that he is". Even with a near three-round jump, Mitchell makes for a nice grab as a WR4/5 wth upside.

Tre Harris, Chargers (ADP: 164.4, -13.2)

The Tre Harris hype train has left the station this summer, and as a result, the sophomore's draft stock improved more than one full round. This is likely a combination of the available targets following Keenan Allen's departure (157), the nod from HC Jim Harbaugh as one of the top three WRs in the Chargers' offense, and his fit into Mike McDaniel's offensive scheme. Even at his new spot (14.08), Harris is a nice add to the Justin Herbert-led offense, as he has plenty of upside, as long as he doesn't creep up any higher than the 12th round.

WR Fallers

Darnell Mooney, Giants (ADP: 207.8, +16.5)

When Darnell Mooney signed with New York back in March, the WR depth chart was pretty ambiguous behind Malik Nabors, but now the front office has flooded that room with bodies, including the ghost of Odell Beckham, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and Braxton Berrios. The Giants also have Darius Slayton and Calvin Austin III, along with rookie Malachi Fields, competing for playing time. There is no visibility for Mooney right now in that receiving fog, so proceed with caution beyond a best ball stab.

Ted Hurst, Buccaneers (ADP: 198.3, +15.4)

The rookie had some nice early-draft buzz based on his college production and combine showing, but he's been slowly falling due to his landing spot in Tampa Bay. Even with the departure of Mike Evans to San Francisco, the Bucs still have three fairly strong receiving options in Chris Godwin Jr., Emeka Egbuka, and Jalen McMillan. I understand the concern here, but I say buy the dip, as those three guys don't possess his combination of size (6'4", 206 lbs) and quickness (4.42 40-yard dash). At pick 17.06 and likely falling a bit more, he makes for a nice stack with Baker Mayfield and other various Tampa Bay pieces, and if he ends up standing out during camp and the preseason, you'll be sitting pretty when he rises into WR5ish territory.

Tight Ends

TE Risers

Greg Dulcich, Dolphins (ADP: 180.3, -17.1)

After being the largest TE ADP riser in June with a 17.2 spot climb, Greg Dulcich is here again with a near-identical spike since June 5th. It seems people are still recognizing the potential for Dulcich this season in a rebuilding Miami offense. The TE's advanced metrics in limited 2025 action were pretty elite; he was 97th-percentile in YPRR (2.31), 98th-percentile in YAC per reception (7.5), and featured an 85th-percentile route grade among qualified tight ends. Darren Waller is no longer in the mix, and the WR room currently consists of Malik Washington, Tutu Atwell, Jalen Tolbert, and two rookies in Chris Bell and Caleb Douglas. If Dulcich can stay on the field, he could surprise this season and is worth some portfolio action, even with his 34th-draft-spot spike since May.

TE Fallers

Eli Stowers, Eagles (ADP: 203.6, +9.4)

It's not too difficult to see why Eli Stowers has taken a further hit in ADP since the last time I wrote this article. Dallas Goedert is firmly planted as the TE1 in Philly and will likely still command the majority of the intermediate targets over the middle. Stowers does have plenty of potential in the NFL, but with his usage and role so uncertain, it's tough to see him as anything more than a final-round dart throw for best ball in 2026.