We'll see what the Jets do in the draft, but for now, Coleman is the most accomplished running back on the team. At worst he should be the backup to a top-end rookie. At best, he could be starting Week 1.
The #Bears have agreed to terms on a 1-year deal with former Super Bowl hero RB Damien Williams, source said. Lots of familiarity, as he knows Matt Nagy’s offense from KC, and he was OC Bill Lazor with the #Dolphins.
Williams' arrival along with the return of Tarik Cohen spells trouble for David Montgomery, who saw his usage spike with Cohen out and no other viable options on the roster. He saw 16.7 touches per game as a rookie versus 20.1 last season. The increase was driven by more usage as a receiver (1.6 receptions per game in 2019 versus 3.6 in 2020). Cohen and/or Williams are likely to steal that passing game work.
Running back James White is expected to re-sign with the New England Patriots, per source. It's not done but should be pretty soon. The versatile RB with 25 touchdown catches since 2014 back in the fold for New England.
After three straight seasons of 4.0+ catches per game, White's numbers dipped to 3.5 per game in 2020 with Cam Newton under center. His receiving yards per game dropped from 43.0 in 2019 to 26.8 in 2020. He's no longer a viable every-week flex option. The Patriots' backfield is shaping up to be an enigma yet again in 2021.
Congratulations to our client @JoeFlacco on signing with the @Eagles #NextChapter
Among the free agent running backs listed here, the 28-year-old Davis had the third-highest points per game last season, ahead of Kenyan Drake, James Conner and Leonard Fournette. Todd Gurley and Brian Hill are both free agents as well, so Davis likely sits atop a Falcons' depth chart that includes Ito Smith, Qadree Ollison and Tony Brooks-James. Depending on what the Falcons do in the draft, this could be a very underrated signing given Davis' production last season (1,015 total yards and eight touchdowns), his versatility (59 catches), and new HC Arthur Smith's history of a strong running game while calling plays for the Titans. Davis is no Derrick Henry, however, and the Falcons are very much a threat to draft a running back, so owners shouldn't get too excited just yet. At worst, Davis will be a Zero RB target as a backup to a talented rookie. At best, he'll start for the Falcons in 2021 and should go off the board in the fifth round. In the 19 games since the 2017 season where Davis has seen at least 10 carries, he has averaged 17.9 touches for 80 total yards and 0.63 touchdowns. Those would have been solid RB2 numbers in 2020.
From a real-world perspective, I like this signing for the Titans, who lost Corey Davis, Adam Humphries and Jonnu Smith in free agency. Reynolds started the season sharing time with rookie Van Jefferson, but took over the WR3 role for the Rams in Week 3, his snaps dipping below 70% just once from Week 3 to Week 12. In that span, he averaged 3.9 catches for 49 yards and 0.22 touchdowns on 6.3 targets per game, which is a 62-794-3.5 pace (on 101 targets). Per PFF, his yards per route run (YPRR) has been remarkably consistent over the last three seasons, never higher than 1.26 YPRR and never lower than 1.23 YPRR. For reference, Davis posted 1.48 YPRR in 2019 before his breakout season (2.58 YPRR) last year. With OC Arthur Smith moving on to lead the Falcons, it remains to be seen if the Titans stay as run-heavy under new OC Todd Downing as they have been, but Derrick Henry's presence on the roster is a strong indicator that they will. Reynolds could post Davis-type numbers (65-984-5) if he sees 100+ targets. (Davis saw 92 targets in 2020.)
The Rams let Josh Reynolds walk and replaced him with Jackson. The move caps Van Jefferson's upside whenever Jackson is healthy. If being "injury-prone" is a thing, potential drafters should have serious questions about Jackson's ability to stay on the field. Since his age-30 season, Jackson has played 15, 14, 12, 3 and 5 games in the last five seasons. Rams HC Sean McVay was the OC in Washington from 2014-2016, when Jackson posted receiving lines of 56-1169-6 (in 15 games), 30-528-4 (in nine games) and 56-1005-4 (in 15 games). That last line was from his age-30 season, so it was several injuries ago. A game-changer when healthy, Jackson is worthy of a late-round pick in best ball formats but is likely to hit the waiver wire in redraft leagues.
All due respect to T.Y. Hilton and James Conner, the last big-name free agent is now off the board. Golladay's arrival is certainly good news for Daniel Jones, though the usage of the other receivers (especially Darius Slayton, who typically gets a large share of the team's air yards), will take a hit. Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram should continue to be involved, but instead of seeing 7.5 and 6.8 targets per game (respectively), Shepard may see 6-7 while Engram sees 5.5-6.5 targets per game. Golden Tate's departure will free up 4.3 targets per game. As for Golladay, compared to his value in Detroit with Matthew Stafford, this is a downgrade. Not only is he changing teams, but he's likely to see a downgrade at quarterback and a possible (if slight) decline in targets.
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