Draftkings Reignmaker Core Strategy: Week 11

Nov 17, 2022
Draftkings Reignmaker Core Strategy: Week 11

As NFL teams begin the back half of the 2022 season, the Reignmakers Core strategy rundown continues for this Sunday's games. Matt Price and I opened an Elite Momentum pack on Make It Reign, our pack-opening video show that includes some early-week strategy. We pulled our first legendary, a #4/20 Brandin Cooks! We'll open up a new pack each week on Make It Reign, which is now a bit more streamlined, and drops every Wednesday on our YouTube Channel.

More DraftKings Reignmaker Content!

For Week 11, 15 players are designated as "SuperStars," and only one SuperStar card is allowed in each contest lineup:

Reignmakers Superstars: Week 11
Position Player Team
QB Josh Allen BUF
QB Lamar Jackson BAL
QB Justin Herbert LAC
QB Patrick Mahomes KC
QB Jalen Hurts PHI
QB Joe Burrow CIN
RB Austin Ekeler LAC
RB Christian McCaffrey SF
RB Derrick Henry TEN
RB Saquon Barkley NYG
RB Nick Chubb CLE
WR Cooper Kupp LAR
WR Davante Adams LV
WR Justin Jefferson MIN
WR Tyreek Hill MIA

Core SuperStar Strategy

The Jaguars, Dolphns, Seahawks, and Buccanneers are all on bye this week, which removes only Tyreek Hill from the Superstar player pool.

The Titans play the Packers on Thursday night, removing Derrick Henry from the main slate. The Sunday Night Football game between the Chargers and Chiefs takes away Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, and Austin Ekeler, while the Monday night game blocks Christian McCaffrey, leaving Saquon Barkley and Nick Chubb as the only SuperStar running backs. Cooper Kupp's injury has him on injured resere, leaving only Justin Jefferson and Davante Adams as main-slate SuperStar WRs.

Jalen Hurts hits the road to face an Indianapolis defense allowing the 12th-most aFPA to QBs, and the Eagles are favored by 7.5 points. Philadelphia's team total of 26 is the fourth-highest on the slate, making Hurts a good option, but Lamar Jackson projects higher. The Ravens host the Panthers, who've allowed the 15th-most aFPA to QBs, while Jackson projects as the QB2 for the week by 4for4. But then Josh Allen has an even better outlook. The Bills have the highest implied team total on the main slate at 28.25, they're inside playing in Detroit and facing a Cleveland defense that ranks 16th in aFPA to QBs, and he's 4for4's QB1 for the week.

Justin Jefferson is very hard to fade, coming off of a practically super-human performance against the Bills and ranking as 4for4's WR1 for the week. Five of the top six ranking QBs for the week are superstars, so drafting Jefferson makes non-SuperStar Justin Fields your best QB option, as he ranks as the QB4 for the week. Atlanta has allowed the fewest rushing yards to quarterbacks of any team, but they've also faced almost entirely pocket-passers, and Fields is in full command of his rushing skillset in the Chicago offense.

Ultimately, I see the best SuperStar options as a choice between starting your lineup with Justin Fields at QB and Justin Jefferson, Stefon Diggs and CeeDee Lamb at WR1, WR/TE, and FLEX along with a non-SuperStar RB option, or starting with QB Josh Allen, WR Stefon Diggs, WR/TE CeeDee Lamb, and Flex DeAndre Hopkins along with a RB without the star.

Core Marketplace Values

Dak Prescott, QB DAL

Dak Prescott lacks the 5 games of fantasy output data that is most predictive for QBs. Between his early-season injury and the team's Week 9 bye, he's only played in 4 games. That's likely a large part of his $10.89 price on the marketplace, but he's a buy-low opportunity, now fully healthy and coming off of a tough matchup in Green Bay.

Rhamondre Stevenson, RB NE

I should just cut and paste this value from my previous articles. He's 4for4's RB4 for Week 11, he's done the impossible by taking over a bellcow RB role that includes receiving work on a Patriots offense, and he's the PPR RB10 for the season, and he's not a SuperStar. His card has a low-ask of $9.90.

Tee Higgins, WR CIN

The Cincinnati Bengals come off of their Week 10 bye to face a Pittsburgh Steelers defense this week that's allowed the 3rd-most aFPA to wide receivers. Ja'Marr Chase is not yet ready to return from his hip injury, and the Bengals pass at the 6th-highest rate. You can pick up Higgins' Core card for $6.39.

Week 11 Tournament Strategy

RMF Classic - CORE - $50K Fiat Frenzy [$5K to 1st]

The $50K Fiat Frenzy player pool draws from the 11 Sunday afternoon games, excluding the TEN @ GB Thursday night game, the KC @ LAC Sunday night game, and the ARI @ SF Monday night game. The payout structure awards $5,000 to first place, payouts down to $5 for 4,150th place, and a Core Plus single-card pack prize all the way down to 6,150th place. As of Thursday morning, there are 5,909 entries in the Week 11 contest, and last week's contest drew 23,889 entries by kickoff.

Top Options at Each Position

QB: Justin Fields, CHI

As I wrote earlier looking at overall SuperStar Strategy, the best QB option on the slate projects to be Josh Allen, but his SuperStar status limits options elsewhere. Justin Fields projects as the QB4 for the week with 19.7 fantasy points and allows you to include SuperStar Justin Jefferson in your lineup. Over the last 5 games, Fields has scored 149.9 fantasy points, which breaks down to an average of 30 fantasy points per game. Next on the list below him, with 38.1 fewer fantasy points over the same timeframe, is Patrick Mahomes. Fields takes on the Atlanta Falcons in a game with a 50-point projected score, and only the Raiders, Lions, and Dolphins have allowed more aFPA to opposing quarterbacks.

RB: Rhamondre Stevenson, NE

Stevenson goes up against a Jets defense that is fairly stout against the run, allowing the 8th-fewest rushing yard to RBs. What keeps Stevenson in the driver's seat here is his additional work as a receiver, as the Jets have allowed the 13th-most receiving yards to the position. One only has to look back at the Week 8 matchup between these teams as a reference, in which Stevenson was held to 71 yards rushing, but added 72 yards receiving on 7 receptions and finished as the week's PPR RB10. He didn't manage a touchdown in that game, but the Patriots run the ball in the end zone at the 9th-highest rate, and are coming off a bye that afforded them two weeks to prepare for this matchup.

WR: Justin Jefferson, MIN

You didn't need to be psychic to see this one coming. Jefferson is coming off of an otherwordly performance against the Bills last week, entering into a matchup with the Cowboys with a 47.5 projected point total. He's 4for4's top-ranked wide receiver for Week 11, and while the Cowboys' secondary is solid, it's not nearly enough of a reason to fade Jefferson. Only the Buccaneers are more pass-heavy in the red zone than the Vikings, and Jefferson has the highest rate of end-zone targets in the league to go along with his 30% market share of team targets.

WR/TE: Stefon Diggs, BUF

As long as Josh Allen remains a SuperStar, Stefon Diggs will be found as a regular presence in Reignmaker lineups. Diggs' 118.8 air yards per game ranks 3rd among all receivers, with a team target share and end zone target share that both rank among the top 10. He's the 2nd-ranked WR for Week 11, and the PPR WR2 through 10 games. Cleveland's 34.2 aFPA is the 14th-most, and Buffalo's 28.25 team total is the highest number on the slate. It was just announced at the time of this writing that this game has been moved to Detroit, with the Lions out of town visiting the Giants, to avoid a massive winter storm in Buffalo. Wheels up.

FLEX: CeeDee Lamb, DAL

Reignmakers drafters have been gifted the removal of CeeDee Lamb from the SuperStar list, and this is a week to reap the benefits. Dallas travels to Minnesota for a matchup with a projected 47.5 total points, and Lamb should be a big part of the Cowboys meeting their 24.25 team total. For weeks 8, 9, and 10 (the 3 Cowboys games played since Dak Prescott's return), Lamb has 3 touchdowns and an 8th-ranked 29.5% share of Dallas' WR targets. The Vikings are allowing the 7th-highest aFPA to WRs, and the Cowboys flip their run-heavy scripts in the end zone, going from the 8th-highest rushing percentage outside of the opponent's 20-yard line to the 12th-highest passing percentage inside.

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