TL;DR Week 9

Nov 06, 2021
TL;DR Week 9

It's no secret we produce a ton of weekly data-driven, actionable fantasy football content designed to help you win your weekly matchup or cash your DFS lineups and bets. We also know not everybody has the time to read thousands upon thousands of words every week. With that in mind, this weekly TL;DR column is meant to highlight a few can't miss stats, facts, or analyses, broken down by category (season-long, DFS, betting), to aid in your weekly research prep.

TL;DR Season-Long Week 9

  • Van Jefferson has two straight games with double-digit PPR points and has only run one fewer route than Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods the last two weeks. He's a viable flex play at this point in almost any matchup. (Full Article)
  • Tyler Conklin has seen 5+ targets in four of his last five games, and has registered 7-70-1, 3-71 and 5-57 fantasy lines in that span. He has run the 13th-most routes this season. The Ravens have been generous to the position this season. C.J. Uzomah (3-91-2), Jared Cook (4-25-1), Mo Alie-Cox (3-50), Noah Fant (6-46-1), Travis Kelce (7-109-1) and Darren Waller (10-105-1) posted moderate to major fantasy lines against Baltimore. (Full Article)
  • Marquez Callaway has seen 22 targets over his last three contests, but has caught less than 50% of those looks. The Saints get the Falcons, who give up the third-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to opposing offenses in the NFL this week. (Full Article)
  • Tua Tagovailoa gets the 25th-ranked defense and Mike Gesicki gets the 32nd-ranked unit in aFPA against their respective positions. Tight ends have a touchdown in four straight against the Texans, while QBs average 20.44 fantasy points per game against what is left of the Texans defense. (Full Article)

All Week 9 Season-Long Content.

TL;DR DFS Week 9

  • Marquise Brown has posted four WR1 weeks on the season and has averaged 16.2 fantasy points per game in the process. In the Ravens' Week 7 loss to the Bengals, Brown saw a season-high 14 targets and finished with a receiving line of 5/80/1 and 16.5 points. On the season, Brown is averaging 8.4 targets per game, 5.3 receptions per game and 80.9 receiving yards per game. (Full Article)
  • Justin Jefferson has struggled away from a dome. He has zero touchdowns in games played outside and averages five receptions for 62 yards; in dome games, he has 9 touchdowns and averages 6 receptions for 98 yards. (Full Article)
  • Cordarrelle Patterson ($6,300) is the only RB in the $6K range who projects as a top-10 value at his position, ranked fifth. While New Orleans is fifth in schedule-adjusted points to RBs, they're 28th against WRs & Patterson is a true hybrid—he’s run a route on at least 45% of Atlanta’s dropbacks in each of the last three games. (Full Article)
  • Dallas Goedert saw seven targets last week and that was in three quarters. He saw almost half the Eagles' targets last week and leads the team over the last two weeks with 26% of targets. (Full Article)

All Week 9 DFS Content.

TL;DR Betting Week 9

  • Jacksonville's biggest strength, their top-five rushing offense, is negated by Buffalo's top-five run defense. Call that a wash, and all the other matchups in this contest favor the Bills. It's the best team in DVOA vs. the third-worst, so don’t overthink it. (Full Article)
  • The Saints have owned divisional opponents, posting a 9-3 ATS record while winning 11 of their last 12 games against NFC South opponents. (Full Article)
  • A.J. Dillon has recorded double-digit carries in three of his last five games and has at least 59 rushing yards in those three games. Even if Green Bay does fall behind, Kansas City's rushing defense ranks 29th in rushing DVOA (per Football Outsiders), so he should be able to have success when given the ball. Our projections have him at 55 rushing yards, a solid 20 yards above this line. (Full Article)
  • Tee Higgins being active has massively limited Boyd’s upside this season. In the six games with Tee Higgins, Boyd has averaged just 35.5 receiving air yards, 40.5 receiving yards and 6.0 targets per game. (Full Article)

All Week 9 Betting Content.

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