Fantasy Football ADP Risers & Fallers: June

Jun 06, 2024
ADP Risers & Fallers: June

At this point in the summer, most ADP movement is still ripples from the NFL Draft, along with coach speak and murmurs from OTA off-season workouts. Of course, we can’t forget about photos featuring jacked players, either.

Let’s take a look at the biggest risers and fallers at each position over the last month in Underdog drafts, by comparing players’ ADP from May 6th to June 6th. I’ll go position by position to tease out any relevant players’ spikes or slides.

*All ADP is courtesy of 4for4’s Underdog ADP tool.


QB Risers

Jayden Daniels, Commanders (ADP: 103.7, -9.2)

No QB has had a significant jump over the last month other than Jayden Daniels. Last year's Heisman Trophy Winner, Daniels, is a dual-threat upside quarterback, which regularly provides a boost in draft value for fantasy managers.

The LSU product will operate in Kliff Kingsbury’s horizontal raid offense and with Terry McLaurin, Austin Ekeler, Brian Robinson, and his own mobility, Daniels is in the fantasy football conversation right away. He has risen nearly two full rounds since being selected No. 2 overall back in April and is currently being drafted as QB12 at spot 9.08.

QB Fallers

Drake Maye, Patriots (ADP: 199.4, +17.4)

Drake Maye has fallen nearly two full rounds since the post-NFL Draft, which is more about the landing spot than the player. Not only did the former Tarheel get drafted into arguably one of the worst offenses in the NFL, but veteran Jacoby Brissett will be difficult competition for playing time. Even with a decent rushing floor, it's tough to see Maye as anything more than a best ball or Superflex QB2 with very little, if any, redraft value.

It’s still very early but worth noting that Maye was the QB3 at the start of OTAs back on May 20th, but he does have plenty of time to work his way up the depth chart. Right now, the rookie is leaving Underdog boards as the QB28 at pick 17.07.

Baker Mayfield, Buccaneers (ADP: 162.7, +10.4)

Nothing negative happened surrounding Baker Mayfield over the last month, and he’s coming off a fountain-of-youth season, where he threw for a career-high 4,044 yards with 28 touchdowns and 10 interceptions in his first year as a Buc. Perhaps drafters are nervous that the QB whisperer Dave Canales is now in Carolina and Mayfield will be under the direction of new OC Liam Coen, who’s fresh from the college ranks in Kentucky.

Mayfield isn’t in the fantasy QB1 conversation but has plenty of offensive firepower, and makes for a nice QB2 selection in best ball and Superflex leagues as the QB22 at spot 14.11.

Running Backs

RB Risers

Kendre Miller, Saints (ADP: 142.3, -16.4)

There’s been a steady rise in Kendre Miller Hype over the last few weeks on social media and ADP, with no clear reason. Injuries during his rookie year sidelined him, and Miller only played in eight contests, with just a 20% snap percentage while on the field and an output of just 4.8 half-PPR points per tilt. He should see more work in his sophomore season and will likely eat into some of Alvin Kamara’s volume, but Jamaal Williams is still on the roster, and Kamara has no limitations heading into 2024.

I understand the desire to find hidden gems, and for now, Miller is still inexpensive as a 12th-rounder, but if his ADP keeps ascending at the rate it’s been rising, he’ll be too pricey for his projected role. Right now, the sophomore is 4for4’s RB62 in half-PPR ranks and is now Underdog's RB44.

D’Onta Foreman, Browns (ADP: 198.4, -15.6)

Nick Chubb going down with a major knee injury last season was a rough sight all around and while he’s busy rehabbing, there's no timeline for a return to the field.

D'Onta Foreman is never the groom but has been a groomsman several times and can deliver when called upon. He’s a powerful runner who’s tough to bring down and should at least split backfield duties with Jerome Ford until we see Chubb back in action. Foreman is worth a 17th-round stab in best ball formats due to some spike week potential, even with the recent round-and-a-half elevation in ADP.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Giants (ADP: 184.1, -12.7)

The rookie has climbed a full round in ADP over the last four weeks up to spot 16.04. With the departure of Saquon Barkley, the Giants RB room is a bit murky, with Devin Singletary, the presumed lead back, and Tyrone Tracy and Eric Gray competing for RB2 duties this summer. Gray didn't exactly light up the field in 2023 with a mere 2.8 yards per carry and 1.53 yards after contact per attempt, so Tracy has a path to touches, particularly if anything were to happen to Singletary.

RB Fallers

J.K. Dobbins, Chargers (ADP: 178.5, +19.3)

Sadly, J.K. Dobbins has suffered major injuries in each of the last two seasons and is now in LA in what will likely be a committee with fellow former Raven Gus Edwards and rookie Kimani Vidal. As a late 15th-round selection Dobbins is an alright pick in best ball but tread lightly in redraft formats as he may not even make the Chargers’ final roster.

Keaton Mitchell, Ravens (ADP: 208.2, +18.5)

Recovering from a torn ACL he suffered in Week 14 last year, Keaton Mitchell won’t be ready at the start of the season which is likely causing his slide in ADP. However, he was impressive in his rookie campaign averaging 3.2 yards after contact per attempt (3rd among RBs) and finishing as the RB38 in half-PPR points per game with 9.3.

Mitchell could have some stand-alone appeal in the flex behind Derrick Henry in 2024, and the inconsistencies from week to week will still be worth his now final-round price tag.

Chuba Hubbard, Panthers (ADP: 172.8, +14.0)

Hubbard himself has done nothing wrong, but the Panthers traded up in the NFL Draft to select rookie Jonathon Brooks at pick No. 46 overall. Brooks is coming off an ACL tear but has the makings to lead the Carolina backfield when he steps into the role, which is reportedly on track.

Coming off an RB35 campaign in half-PPR scoring on a per-game basis, Hubbard still has fantasy value but is more of an RB4/5 (4for4 RB45) as opposed to his pre-draft RB3 value. Brooks is now being drafted as a low-end RB2 in the eighth round, and will likely climb as he starts to prove healthy ahead of the 2024 season.

Wide Receivers

WR Risers

Zay Jones, Cardinals (ADP: 191.4, -23.7)

Coming off an injury-marred season in Jacksonville, Zay Jones gets a fresh start in Arizona in 2024. He did show some fantasy goodness in his last four contests despite being hampered by hamstring and knee issues, averaging 8.0 half-PPR points per contest on 9.8 targets a game.

Jones will fight with Michael Wilson - and possibly Greg Dortch for you believers - for WR2 duties behind Marvin Harrison as the third receiving option after the rookie and TE Trey McBride. His landing with the Cardinals caused a two-round jump in ADP, but Jones has fantasy WR4 potential and is still a nice value at spot 16.11.

Rashod Bateman, Ravens (ADP: 165.5, -17.1)

Who’s ready for another ride on the Rashod Bateman hype mobile in 2024? Ravens OC Todd Monken claimed “tremendous growth” by Bateman at the end of May and says he expects him to see more volume this season. Fantasy managers who can stomach another go are buying in as the Baltimore WR has risen more than a round and a half in Underdog ADP over the last month.

Injuries have been an issue for the 24-year-old, but he did play in 16 games last season and signed a one-year extension, meaning the team does believe in him. With Odell Beckham no longer on the roster, there is opportunity there, and in that Ravens’ powerful offense, he’s worth the best ball gamble, even now at pick 14.10.

Rashid Shaheed, Saints (ADP: 112.1, -16.6)

Another year, another offseason of Rashid Shaheed love. I know he’s only entering his third year in the NFL, but he's been a solid value each summer, and the speedster is set up to have a solid outing in 2024. Shaheed’s big-play ability (14th in catches over 20 yards) is perfect for best ball formats, and with a likely more meaningful role behind Chris Olave, the 25-year-old should be drafted in the WR5 range with WR3/4 potential.

His ADP has risen close to a round and a half in the past month up to the 10th round and hopefully stays put or he could become too expensive come August.

WR Fallers

Michael Wilson, Cardinals (ADP: 177.3, +23.8)

The arrival of Marvin Harrison and Zay Jones likely caused this two-round freefall, but Wilson is still worth the stab, particularly this late in best ball leagues. Last season, with Hollywood Brown on the shelf for the last two contests, Wilson averaged 13.0 half-PPR points, and the WR2 spot is very much up for grabs in Arizona.

Wilson is 4for4’s WR59 in the current ranks and is coming off Underdog boards as the WR78, creating some value in the late 15th round.

Rashee Rice, Chiefs (ADP: 82.8, +14.2)

The more than a full round drop in ADP over the last four weeks still stems from his likely impending suspension over a street racing incident and car crash that happened back in April. Rashee Rice has been present at the Chiefs’ OTAs but until the legal process plays out, we won’t know how much time he may miss in 2024.

For now, Rice is being drafted as the WR47, and he still sits as the WR41 and Kansas City WR2 behind Hollwyood Brown in 4for4’s half-PPR ranks.

Malik Washington, Dolphins (ADP: 214.4, +13.5)

The addition of Odell Beckham to Miami’s squad in early May likely caused rookie Malik Washington’s fall from the 17th down to a final-round dart throw. The Dolphins are stacked at WR and it will be a rough road to targets for the former UVA product, but a portfolio sprinkle isn’t the worst idea, considering he’s known for his YAC prowess.

Tight Ends

TE Risers

Noah Fant, Seahawks (ADP: 185.6, -9.4)

The sixth season is a charm for Noah Fant, right? Probably not, but it’s early June, and anything is possible. Fant has been part of a committee with Will Dissly and Colby Parkinson during his time in Seattle thus far, but the seas have parted, and he’s now solo and has even inked a new two-year deal.

A new coaching staff could bring more passing to a once very run-heavy team, and Fant could be a beneficiary. Despite a nine-spot spike, the Seattle TE is still inexpensive as the TE24 and is worth a shot as your fantasy TE2 or even TE3 at spot 16.06.

TE Fallers

T.J. Hockenson, Vikings (ADP: 133.7, +18.3)

Still recovering from a torn ACL and MCL suffered at the end of December, T.J. Hockenson stated in mid-May that he hasn’t “really put a timeline” on his return in 2024. A healthy Hockenson is a top-5 TE as he’s ended as the TE3 or better in each of the last three years in half-PPR scoring on a per-game basis.

However, considering he could miss a decent chunk of the season, we need to be cautious. Hockenson’s TE13 ADP may still be a bit pricey, so continue to monitor his situation so you don’t overpay for a player coming off a major knee injury.

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