TL;DR Week 11

Nov 20, 2021
TL;DR Week 11

It's no secret we produce a ton of weekly data-driven, actionable fantasy football content designed to help you win your weekly matchup or cash your DFS lineups and bets. We also know not everybody has the time to read thousands upon thousands of words every week. With that in mind, this weekly TL;DR column is meant to highlight a few can't miss stats, facts, or analyses, broken down by category (season-long, DFS, betting), to aid in your weekly research prep.

TL;DR Season-Long Week 11

  • Perimeter receivers have fared better against the Ravens than slot receivers, and Darnell Mooney has run roughly 69% of his outside. He has also been targeted on a team-high 25.7% of Justin Fields’s pass attempts this season and has averaged 7.0 targets per game in his last four. (Full Article)
  • The Raiders rank sixth-worst of any active Week 11 team in aFPA to opposing offenses, while Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins have combined for 52% of the team’s targets and 74% of the team’s air yards over the last four games. (Full Article)
  • 49ers pass-catchers may need to be leaned on a little more this week, as the Jaguars keep opposing RBs to 3.8 yards per attempt between-the-20s (second in the NFL behind only the Saints) while opposing QBs have racked up a 73.3% completion rate (31st) and 8.4 yards per pass attempt (23rd). (Full Article)
  • Dallas and Kansas City are both in the top ten in neutral-script pace the last five weeks and have accounted for a combined 135.8 plays per game this season. (Full Article)

All Week 11 Season-Long Content.

TL;DR DFS Week 11

  • Stefon Diggs looks to build on his monster Week 10 facing a Colts defense that funnels points to the passing game—Indianapolis ranks sixth in schedule-adjusted points allowed to running backs but 27th or worse against every other position. (Full Article)
  • The Raiders have given up some big games to TEs this season, which correlated with big QB weeks. Travis Kelce had 119 yards last week, Jared Cook had six receptions for 70 yards and a TD, and Noah Fant had 9 receptions for 97 yards and a score. Outside of the Browns game, C.J. Uzomah has run at least 66% of the routes all year long and is second on the team with five touchdowns. (Full Article)
  • Brandin Cooks ($6,500) has been quite the same target hog with Tyrod Taylor at QB and has a similar value score to WRs with salaries nearly $1,000 higher. He saw 13 looks in the Texans’ Week 9 loss to the Dolphins. (Full Article)
  • Cole Kmet's chemistry with Justin Fields has grown over the last month. Kmet is tied for the team lead in target share at 23% since Week 7. He's a bit cheaper than TEs with similar workloads like Dan Arnold and Pat Freiermuth. (Full Article)

All Week 11 DFS Content.

TL;DR Betting Week 11

  • In terms of adjusted sack rate, Minnesota's fourth-ranked pass rush should find some success against Green Bay’s 15th-ranked offensive line, while Green Bay’s 20th-ranked pass rush might struggle against Minnesota’s second-ranked offensive line. (Full Article)
  • The Bills ran play-action on 58% of dropbacks in Week 10, which is nearly twice as high as their season-long rate of 32%. Allen's 13.1 yards per attempt (YPA) and 13.4 average depth of target (aDOT) translated to 45 points and an easy win. They'll likely find success continuing this approach against the Colts. (Full Article)
  • In his last three games, Adam Trautman has earned at least six targets and is tied for a team-leading 15% target share in that span. Thanks to this, he has topped this 25.5-yard line in four of his last five games. (Full Article)
  • Ja'Marr Chase is currently fifth in the NFL in deep targets per game and fourth in air yards market share. He has also seen 9+ targets in five of the past six games. (Full Article)

All Week 11 Betting Content.

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