TL;DR Week 8

Oct 30, 2021
TL;DR Week 8

It's no secret we produce a ton of weekly data-driven, actionable fantasy football content designed to help you win your weekly matchup or cash your DFS lineups and bets. We also know not everybody has the time to read thousands upon thousands of words every week. With that in mind, this weekly TL;DR column is meant to highlight a few can't miss stats, facts, or analyses, broken down by category (season-long, DFS, betting), to aid in your weekly research prep.

TL;DR Season-Long Week 8

  • With Tevin Coleman sidelined, Michael Carter saw a season-high 19 touches and gained a season-high 104 yards. The Bengals aren’t an easy matchup, but Carter seems to be working his way into the lead-back role. Cincinnati has allowed the most receptions (53) to opposing running backs this season. (Full Article)
  • Matthew Stafford currently leads the NFL with a 9.3 ANY/A (adjusted net yards per attempt) and is the most fruitful quarterback in the league when throwing the ball to his wide receivers, averaging 251 yards per game and tossing 16 touchdowns when targeting the position. (Full Article)
  • While Elijah Mitchell has gotten at least 60% of the RB rushes in every game he's played this season (for a 75% backfield rush share on the season), he is not a factor in the passing game, leaving a lot to be desired from a high-value touch perspective. JaMycal Hasty has locked up the receiving work for San Francisco running backs, with 12 total targets in the three games that he's played. (Full Article)
  • Brandin Cooks ranks second in the NFL in air yards, and 14th in the NFL in unrealized air yards. He ranks outside the top-60 receivers in catchable target rate, and while there’s some concern he’ll see Jalen Ramsey, I think Cooks is a candidate to see 10-plus targets in a game with plenty of expected scoring. (Full Article)

All Week 8 Season-Long Content.

TL;DR DFS Week 8

  • D'Andre Swift has been one of the best pass-catchers in the league, ranking ninth in the league amongst all pass-catchers, and first amongst running backs with 42 receptions. On the year, Swift is averaging six receptions/game for 55.86 yards and 0.29 receiving touchdowns. He's also averaging 11.14 rush attempts/game for 37.43 yards and 0.43 rushing touchdowns/game. Swift currently sits as the overall RB9 on the season at 16.6 points/game, and had a season-high 24.4 points last week against the Rams. The Eagles are allowing the fourth-most rushing yards per game on the season (133.0) and are bottom five in the league in fantasy points per game allowed to opposing running backs. (Full Article)
  • In his first two games of 2021, Travis Kelce caught 13-of-15 passes (86.7%) thrown his way. In Week 3-7, Kelce has caught 32-of-50 (64.0%) balls meant for him. (Full Article)
  • Also in the $6K range, Chuba Hubbard ($6,000) and James Robinson ($6,600) might not see the fantastic game script Darrell Henderson should, but both have matchups against defenses ranked in the bottom five in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs. Robinson leads the league with 88% of his team’s backfield touches over the last month while Hubbard is one of five backs with over 80% of team running back touches in that time span. (Full Article)
  • Over the last three weeks, the Dolphins have given up eight passing touchdowns, allowed two pass-catchers to score over 15 fantasy points from the same team in two games, and at least one touchdown of a pass over 20 yards down the field. (Full Article)

All Week 8 DFS Content.

TL;DR Betting Week 8

  • Do the Seahawks lean into their strength on defense against the run (11th in DVOA)? They might need to if they want to slow down the Jaguars ground game, which ranks second in DVOA. However, if that’s where they focus their attention, Seattle’s 25th-ranked pass defense might get carved up by Trevor Lawrence. (Full Article)
  • Sam Darnold's yards per attempt the last three games is a truly gross 4.6, 5.0 and 4.4. He has thrown just two touchdown passes versus five interceptions in that span. He’s averaged just 165 gross passing yards in those three losing efforts. (Full Article)
  • 60% of Jared Goff's passing yards have come from yards after the catch, which is the highest rate in the league. (Full Article)
  • Over the past two meetings, the Bills have had a 91-26 advantage over Miami. The Bills' offense is one of the league's best, ranking second in the league in points per drive, but they've underperformed in the red zone. Surprisingly, the Bills are just 26th in touchdowns per red zone appearance, converting at just a 55% clip, more than 6% below league average. (Full Article)

All Week 8 Betting Content.

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