TL;DR Week 2

Sep 17, 2021
TL;DR Week 2

It's no secret we produce a ton of weekly data-driven, actionable fantasy football content designed to help you win your weekly matchup or cash your DFS lineups and bets. We also know not everybody has the time to read thousands upon thousands of words every week. With that in mind, this weekly TL;DR column is meant to highlight a few can't miss stats, facts, or analyses, broken down by category (season-long, DFS, betting), to aid in your weekly research prep.

TL;DR Season-Long Week 2

  • The Packers spent nearly the entire game against the Saints with a win probability below 50% and the majority of the game with a win probability below 25%. Because of this, we should not overreact to any usage trends from Green Bay skill players in Week 2. (Full Article)
  • Rookie Terrace Marshall Jr. made an immediate impact albeit without massive production in Week 1, earning six targets on 19% of the Panthers’ air yards. If Week 1 is any indicator, it looks like the No. 2 WR position in Carolina will be much murkier from week to week compared to 2020. (Full Article)
  • Tampa Bay ran 62 plays while in a neutral game script (winning or losing by no more than six points) last week and passed on 79% of those plays (third-highest mark), making no concessions about how they want to be moving the ball; through Tom Brady. (Full Article)
  • Mike Williams caught 8-of-12 targets for 82 yards and a touchdown. The eight catches were a career-high while the targets nearly tied his career-high (13). The Dallas secondary yielded 17 catches for 250 yards and two scores to the Tampa receivers last week. (Full Article)

All Week 2 Season-Long Content.

TL;DR DFS Week 2

  • Building tournament lineups is an exercise in figuring out just a few spots to be right (stacking the right games) while finding ways to get leverage on the field. What Week 1 exemplified is that it might be best practice to look for situations where you can find the most leverage, not just any leverage. (Full Article)
  • Allen Robinson was on the field for 63 snaps and split his time on the left and right side of the field. Robinson also had 21 slot snaps, so he was utilized all over the field. (Full Article)
  • Noah Fant saw 23% of the Broncos' targets in Week 1, making him one of just five tight ends to hit that threshold. After Jeudy was given 20% of the targets last week, Fant could be Teddy Bridgewater’s primary target against a defense that let undrafted third-year tight end Pharaoh Brown post a respectable 4/67 line last week. (Full Article)
  • Nick Chubb is in a prime spot to smash this week in a perfect game script for the running game as the Browns are 13-point favorites. James Robinson was disappointing last week against the Texans, but that was more so due to the abandonment of the run more than the lack of efficiency. The Texans gave up 4.8 yards a carry with 31% of the runs leading to a first down. (Full Article)

All Week 2 DFS Content.

TL;DR Betting Week 2

  • The Cardinals offense is so scary it tilted the normally fast-paced Titans (third in situation neutral pace last season) toward ball control to keep Kyler Murray and his receivers off the field (30th in situation neutral pace last week). I expect Minnesota will try to do the same thing with Dalvin Cook, but it won’t be long before Arizona puts up points and Kirk Cousins is forced into airing it out to Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. (Full Article)
  • Since Mike Tomlin took over the Steelers in 2007, no team has a better record against the spread than the Steelers’ 41-21-3 mark as an underdog. That 66.1 winning percentage is unbelievable. (Full Article)
  • In all but one game Jalen Hurts has started and finished (going back to Week 14 of 2020), he has eclipsed the 229.5-yard mark. We have Hurts projected for just over 271 passing yards and he is matched up against a San Francisco 49ers defense that has been ravaged by injuries. (Full Article)
  • Ja'Marr Chase accounted for 51.6% of the team’s air yards with an average depth of target of 16.3 yards. Joe Burrow isn’t afraid to target him downfield. Not to mention the Bears' secondary looked legitimately dreadful last week, allowing Cooper Kupp the most separation on any reception in the past three years! The Bears not only allowed a 21-yard-plus completion, but they also allowed two of 50-plus and one more of 30-plus. (Full Article)

All Week 2 Betting Content.

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