Fantasy Football QB PP1D Draft Rankings

Last update . Sep 05 . 06:50 PM EDT


#	Player	TM	BYE	FF Pts	ADP12	ADP10	GC	DIF	Comp	Att	PaYdsPassing	PaTD	INT	Pa1D	RuAtt	RuYdsRushing	RuTD	Ru1D	Fum
1	Jalen Hurts Draft Note Jalen Hurts finished as the QB2 (behind Josh Allen) in 2023 after finishing as the QB3 (behind Patrick Mahomes and Allen) the year before, though he had the highest per-game average (26.4) in 2022. A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert all return, and Saquon Barkley replaces D’Andre Swift at running back. There’s an argument that Barkley could eat into Hurts’s rushing touchdowns, but with 10, 13, and 15 rushing touchdowns for Hurts in the last three years, that doesn’t seem likely. He’s still their best option at the goal line.	PHI	5	385	3.07	4.01	2	1	331	500	3841	23.6	12.1	185.5	136	576	12.1	37.5	3
2	Josh Allen Draft Note Josh Allen finished as the QB1 last year after finishing QB2 in 2022. He’s currently the first quarterback off the board, which is a bit surprising since he’s lost both Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis this offseason. They have been replaced by Curtis Samuel and second-round pick Keon Coleman, so it looks like a downgrade in the receiver room. The other variable is Joe Brady as offensive coordinator. In nine games under Brady (including two playoff games), Allen averaged 233 yards and 1.56 touchdowns, with 47 yards and 1.22 touchdowns as a runner. This works out to 26.8 fantasy points per game thanks to those eye-popping rushing numbers. His averages in the first 10 weeks under Ken Dorsey: 260 yards and 1.90 touchdowns, with 25 yards and 0.70 touchdowns as a runner. That works out to 22.5 fantasy points per game. Under Brady, his rush attempts were 9.2 per game compared to 4.8 per game under Dorsey, so it’s clear that his rushing floor is pretty high heading into 2024.	BUF	12	380	3.03	3.07	1	-1	331	507	3881	28.1	16.0	186.9	120	539	10.2	35.1	3
3	Lamar Jackson Draft Note Lamar Jackson finished as the fantasy QB3 in 2023 and had the third-highest per-game average. He missed some time in both 2021 and 2022, but had the eighth-highest and the fifth-highest per-game averages, respectively. His best season was back in 2019 when he finished as the QB1. Odell Beckham has moved on, but the Ravens are expecting Rashod Bateman to pick up the slack. HC John Harbaugh singled Bateman out as a player he expects to make a leap in 2024. Jackson should be a rock-solid top-five option at the position, but appears to lack the rushing touchdown upside with only 10 rushing scores in the last three seasons. Derrick Henry is now in the fold, so the Ravens don’t have much incentive to expose the 215-lb Jackson around the goal line.	BAL	14	368	4.06	5.02	4	1	294	442	3454	24.6	9.8	166.2	141	798	4.2	52.0	3
4	Anthony Richardson Draft Note The rookie only played two full games and was knocked out of two other games before halftime, but he still showed flashes of fantasy superstardom accounting for seven touchdowns in roughly 2.6 games worth of action. He posted the highest fantasy point per attempt (passing + rushing) in the league. The Colts re-signed Michael Pittman and drafted another weapon, Adonai Mitchell, and should have a healthy Jonathan Taylor in tow. Only time will tell if Richardson is more of an injury risk than other quarterbacks, but studies have shown that mobile quarterbacks aren’t injured at a higher rate than “pocket” quarterbacks.	IND	14	347	5.06	6.04	5	1	307	516	3525	19.6	7.7	170.7	114	560	9.7	36.5	3
5	Patrick Mahomes Draft Note After a QB1 finish in 2022–his first season WITHOUT Tyreek Hill–Patrick Mahomes had a disappointing QB7 finish last year. It was actually a bit worse than that as he had just the 14th-highest per-game average at his position. Obviously, the Chiefs went on to win their second consecutive Super Bowl, but his fantasy managers probably felt a bit jilted as Mahomes posted four-year lows in passing yards, touchdowns, and rushing touchdowns. It remains to be seen if this is a blip in his career or the start of a trend, but the Chiefs did try to shore up the receiving corps, replacing Marquez Valdes-Scantling with the productive Hollywood Brown and the speedy Xavier Worthy. Rashee Rice is facing some offseason trouble, but the Chiefs now have appealing depth in the receiver room. Mahomes should bounce back with a top-five season.	KC	6	343	3.08	4.02	3	-2	394	590	4378	32.8	14.0	213.8	77	375	1.4	24.4	3
6	Kyler Murray Draft Note Kyler Murray sat out the first nine games after tearing his ACL late in the 2023 season. From Week 10 to Week 17, he was the fantasy QB10. That mirrored the QB8 production he provided in the 10 games prior to his injury in 2022. He was the QB10 in 2021 but had the fourth-highest per-game average that year. Hollywood Brown has been replaced by Marvin Harrison Jr., which looks like an upgrade. Murray also has other competent weapons like Trey McBride, Michael Wilson, and Greg Dortch. Murray’s rushing was down a little when compared to pre-injury 2022, and he should be fully healthy heading into the 2024 season. He’s a solid QB1.	ARI	11	337	6.06	7.06	7	1	330	497	3778	22.4	10.3	183.1	90	532	5.9	34.6	3
7	Jayden Daniels Draft Note Last year, Derrick Klassen of Reception Perception identified C.J. Stroud as the most accurate passer in last year's draft class. Guess who charted the best this year? That's right, the so-called "running quarterback" Jayden Daniels. Klassen does have some reservations about Daniels' willingness to throw over the middle of the field, but two things are true: 1) Daniels is an accurate passer, and 2) he's going to rack up the rushing yards. My rookie quarterback model predicts 43.9 rushing yards per game for Daniels, which is the third-highest expectation in the 97-player sample behind only Lamar Jackson and Cam Newton. Jackson didn't start until Week 11 of his rookie season, but he was the fantasy QB8 the rest of the way. Newton was the QB3 as a rookie. Rounding out the top five in expected rushing yards were Jalen Hurts (QB8 in his first season as the starter) and Vince Young (QB9 as a rookie). See where this is headed?	WAS	14	331	8.08	10.02	11	4	337	554	3674	21.0	15.9	180.3	127	663	5.1	43.1	4
8	C.J. Stroud Draft Note As a rookie, C.J. Stroud finished as the fantasy QB12, though he missed a couple of games. It was the ninth-best fantasy performance by a rookie quarterback since 2000. Stroud’s 4,108 yards were the third-highest by a rookie in that span and his 23 touchdowns tie for fifth-highest. Stroud is primed for another starter-caliber season, though they lost a good pass-blocker in tackle George Fant, who was replaced by second-round draft pick Blake Fisher. Stefon Diggs joins breakout stars Nico Collins and Tank Dell in the receiver room, so Stroud has plenty of weapons to throw to. He may be able to crack the top five.	HOU	14	325	5.04	6.02	6	-2	339	518	4466	28.0	7.0	209.1	41	182	4.0	11.8	3
9	Dak Prescott Draft Note Last season, Dak Prescott finished as the fantasy QB4 and had the fifth-highest per-game average. He missed some time in 2022, but had the 13th-highest per-game average, and he was the QB9 in 2021. So he has a long history of starter-level numbers. The Cowboys return most of Prescott’s weapons, losing Tony Pollard and Michael Gallup to free agency. The key receivers–breakout star CeeDee Lamb, Brandin Cooks, and Jake Ferguson–are all back. Dallas lost some talent along the offensive line, but they used premium draft capital to shore up the unit. Prescott should have another solid season.	DAL	7	314	6.10	7.10	9	0	374	553	4293	33.4	15.1	207.9	49	221	1.4	14.4	3
10	Joe Burrow Draft Note Joe Burrow was the QB17 through 10 weeks, before he suffered a season-ending wrist injury in Week 11. After a very rough start–Burrow was the QB31 through the first four weeks!–he settled in and was the QB6 from Week 5 to Week 10. This production was more in line with his QB4 finish in 2022 and his QB6 finish in 2021. We can probably write off those early-season struggles as an aberration. The Bengals lost Tyler Boyd in free agency, but added the talented Jermaine Burton in the Draft. At tight end, they replaced Irv Smith with Mike Gesicki, who will join mini-breakout Tanner Hudson and Drew Sample in the tight end room. Burrow should post solid QB1-type numbers in 2024.	CIN	12	312	6.07	7.07	8	-2	387	573	4170	29.6	12.2	205.3	80	255	2.6	16.6	3

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Who has the best Points Per First Down rankings?

4for4 equips you with the tools to dominate any scoring format. Their rankings are renowned for accuracy and consistency, a fact underscored by John Paulsen's multiple "Most Accurate Expert" awards and consistent top finishes.

But 4for4 goes beyond accolades. They leverage cutting-edge analytics, factoring in offensive tendencies, strength of schedule, and player talent, specifically for PPFD scoring. This data-driven approach translates into measurable, objective rankings you can rely on to maximize your first-down advantage. Don't settle for generic rankings in a PPFD league – leverage 4for4's expertise and outscore your competition week after week.

What is the best draft position in Points Per First Down drafts?

While there isn't a single "magic" draft position in point-per-first-down (PPFD) leagues, aiming for the top half of the first round can give you a strong foundation. Securing a workhorse back who excels at churning out yards and catching passes is still a great strategy. Think dual-threat back like Christian McCaffrey, who racks up first downs consistently, or a high-volume wideout like Tyreek Hill or CeeDee Lamb. Drafting at the back end of the draft can also be helpful to be able to select two higher-volume players back to back.

What is the best draft strategy for Points Per First Down drafts?

Conquer your PPFD league with a strategy that prioritizes first-down machines! Early rounds should focus on securing a consistent running back who excels at churning out yards and catching passes. Think dual-threat backs like Christian McCaffrey or receiving threats like Alvin Kamara. Don't forget quarterbacks who lead high-volume passing attacks. Guys like Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts can rack up first downs through the ground and air.

The beauty of PPFD? Opportunity beyond the usual suspects. Mid-to-late rounds can be a goldmine for wide receivers who see a steady stream of targets in pass-happy offenses. Think Diontae Johnson or George Pickens. Even tight ends like George Kiltte can be valuable with their high catch rates. Remember, volume is king in PPFD. Don't be afraid to target players who might not be the flashiest scorers in standard leagues, but consistently move the chains for their teams. By focusing on consistent first-down producers across all positions, you'll be well on your way to dominating your PPFD draft.

What is Points Per First Down ADP?

In point-per-first-down (PPFD) leagues, ADP (Average Draft Position) reveals the average round where fantasy managers are targeting players who consistently move the chains. Tracking PPFD ADP trends can help you predict when your first-down machines might be off the board, allowing you to strategize your picks and snag hidden gems before they're gone. It's basically a sneak peek into the minds of your fellow drafters, giving you a critical edge on draft day, especially since PPFD scoring can alter player values compared to standard leagues.

Who has the most accurate Points Per First Down rankings?

Conquering a PPFD league requires a data-driven approach, and 4for4 provides the tools you need to dominate. Their track record speaks for itself: John Paulsen's accolades – multiple "Most Accurate Expert" awards and consistent top finishes – are a testament to their expertise.

But 4for4 goes beyond recognition. They wield cutting-edge analytics specifically tailored for PPFD scoring. Offensive tendencies, strength of schedule, and player talent are all factored in to create their renowned rankings. This translates to measurable, objective results you can trust to maximize your first-down advantage. Don't settle for generic rankings in a PPFD league. Leverage 4for4's expertise on point-per-first-down and outscore your competition all season long.

What is the best first-round pick in Points Per First Down Drafts?

The ideal first-round pick in a PPFD draft depends on your risk tolerance. Here are two approaches to consider:

The Safe Choice: Go for a proven workhorse running back like Christian McCaffrey or an elite receiver like CeeDee Lamb. These guys are first-down machines, churning out yards and catching passes consistently. While this strategy offers a solid foundation, it might not be the most exciting.

The High-Reward Gamble: Target a young, explosive wide receiver with a sky-high target projection in a pass-happy offense. Think of someone like Ja'Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson. These players have the potential for massive first-down production but also carry a higher risk of inconsistency.

Ultimately, the best choice comes down to personal preference and draft board dynamics. Analyze ADP trends (if available) to see how these players are valued and draft the player who best fits your overall strategy. Remember, the key is maximizing first-down production, so be flexible and don't be afraid to break the mold if the opportunity arises.