Fantasy Football QB PP1D Draft Rankings

Last update . 2 hours ago . 12:15 PM EDT


#	Player	TM	BYE	FF Pts	ADP12	ADP10	GC	DIF	Comp	Att	PaYdsPassing	PaTD	INT	Pa1D	RuAtt	RuYdsRushing	RuTD	Ru1D	Fum
1	Josh Allen Draft Note Allen is the safest pick at the quarterback position, and it's not particularly close. He's finished QB1 and QB2 the last two seasons while playing all 34 games, and his consistency is remarkable—he's scored 20-plus fantasy points in 59% of games over that stretch with only four games below 10. His 2025 efficiency was elite: 93rd percentile in EPA per dropback and 87th percentile in CPOE, and the rushing remains the league's best fantasy cheat code at the position. Allen averaged 37.4 rushing yards per start with 14 rushing touchdowns last season. That's a RB2 season's worth of rushing touchdowns on top of 25 passing touchdowns, and it’s his third consecutive season with at least 12 rushing touchdowns. The Bills added D.J. Moore to a receiving corps that already includes Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid, giving Allen arguably his deepest set of pass-catchers since Stefon Diggs was in Buffalo. He's going as the QB1 off the board with an overall ADP around pick 30, and that's the right price. The only question is whether you want to spend that draft capital on a quarterback when you could wait and get a value QB significantly later. But if you want the highest floor and the highest ceiling at the position, Allen is the pick. If the draft gets weird and the available options in the third round aren’t too appealing, then Allen is an extremely safe pick.	BUF	7	367	3.04	3.08	1	0	311	459	3670	24.6	8.7	176.5	97	505	10.1	32.9	3
2	Lamar Jackson Draft Note In 2024, Jackson was historically dominant—the overall QB1 at 25.5 points per game with 13 of 16 games over 20 points and zero games below 10. Then 2025 happened. Jackson missed five games, finished QB20 overall, and cratered in the second half of the season, averaging just 9.8 points per game after the midway point compared to 22.6 before it. The rushing, typically his fantasy floor, fell to 27.6 yards per start with just two rushing touchdowns—a fraction of his usual production. His efficiency slipped to the 60th percentile in EPA per dropback, still respectable but a far cry from the MVP-caliber play of the prior season. The offseason brings change. Isaiah Likely is gone, and while Mark Andrews is back, the Ravens are banking on rookie tight ends Ja'Kobi Lane and Elijah Sarratt to fill the void alongside him. New offensive coordinator Declan Doyle takes over play-calling duties. Zay Flowers remains a legitimate number-one receiver, but the overall supporting cast feels thinner than it was a year ago and he has missed 18% of his games in the last five seasons. Jackson is going as the QB2 with an overall ADP in the middle of the fifth round. The talent is undeniable—when healthy, Jackson has as high a ceiling as anyone in fantasy. But the second-half collapse, the reduced rushing, and a transitional roster make QB2 a price that carries more risk than it has in years.	BAL	13	358	4.08	5.04	2	0	264	412	3423	27.2	6.6	160.9	125	708	2.4	46.1	3
3	Jayden Daniels Draft Note Daniels was electric as a rookie in 2024, finishing as the overall QB4 at 22.0 points per game with 10 of 16 games over 20 points. Then injuries derailed his sophomore season. He appeared in just seven games in 2025, finishing QB33 overall, but the per-game production when fully healthy was still impressive—he averaged 19.6 points in his four full games and posted 17.7 and 15.2 in two additional contests where he played only 69 and 88 percent of the snaps, respectively. The efficiency metrics in his limited action (47th percentile EPA, 24th percentile CPOE on just 186 attempts) are hard to read much into given the small sample and the fact that he was clearly battling through injuries. The rushing was still there: Daniels averaged a staggering 47.2 rushing yards per start with two touchdowns. The supporting cast has turned over. Terry McLaurin remains the alpha, and the Commanders possibly upgraded at tight end by bringing in Chigoziem Okonkwo to replace Zach Ertz. They lost Deebo Samuel but drafted Antonio Williams and added Rachaad White and Jerome Ford to reshape the backfield. It's a transitional roster, but Daniels' rushing ability gives him a floor that's almost impossible to replicate at the position. He's going as the QB4, and that's a price built entirely on the 2024 version of Daniels. If he's healthy, the rushing alone makes him a weekly QB1.	WAS	7	328	6.02	7.02	6	3	307	462	3389	22.4	9.0	165.8	123	646	3.5	42.1	3
4	Jalen Hurts Draft Note Hurts has been one of the most bankable fantasy quarterbacks in football, finishing QB6 and QB7 the last two seasons while playing nearly every game. His per-game average dipped from 21.0 to 18.7 points last year, but the rushing production continued to anchor his floor—27.2 yards per start with eight rushing touchdowns, giving him RB-caliber value on the ground alone. His accuracy was strong (82nd percentile in CPOE) and the efficiency was solid (67th percentile in EPA per dropback), though the second half of last season was uneven, as he averaged 21.7 points in the first eight games and 15.7 the rest of the way. The big question heading into 2026 is the receiving corps. If A.J. Brown is traded as expected, Hurts loses his most dangerous downfield weapon. However, the Eagles moved up in the first round to nab Makai Lemon and added Dontayvion Wicks and Hollywood Brown. DeVonta Smith is more than capable of stepping into the WR1 role and Dallas Goedert provides a reliable safety valve. Saquon Barkley's presence in the backfield also takes pressure off the passing game entirely. Despite the imminent loss of Brown, Hurts once again looks like a rock-solid QB1.	PHI	10	318	6.07	7.07	5	1	291	439	3080	21.8	6.3	152.3	116	457	8.5	29.7	3
5	Drake Maye Draft Note Maye's second-year leap was one of the best stories of the 2025 season. After taking over as a rookie in Week 6 of 2024 and posting QB15 numbers the rest of the way, he exploded into the overall QB2 last season at 21.0 points per game—and he did it with arguably the weakest supporting cast of any top-10 quarterback. His efficiency was staggering: 100th percentile in both EPA per dropback and CPOE among qualified passers, meaning he was literally the most efficient and most accurate passer in football. He threw for 4,394 yards and 31 touchdowns while completing 72 percent of his passes, and he added 28.1 rushing yards per start with four rushing touchdowns on the ground. Perhaps most impressive was the consistency—Maye scored 20-plus points in nine of 16 games and never once dipped below 10. The Patriots have started to build around him. Romeo Doubs was added as a steady possession receiver, Hunter Henry returns, and if the rumored A.J. Brown trade materializes, this offense goes from interesting to dangerous. Even without Brown, Maye proved last year that he can produce elite fantasy numbers with limited weapons, which means any upgrade to the skill positions is pure upside. He's going as the QB7, and that feels like a significant discount for a quarterback who finished QB2 with the best efficiency metrics in the NFL. If Brown lands in New England, Maye immediately enters the conversation with Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson as a top-three pick at the position. Even without him, the rushing floor and the accuracy make Maye one of the safest bets to outperform his ADP.	NE	11	314	5.09	6.07	3	-2	324	451	3753	25.6	11.0	181.3	99	423	3.2	27.5	3
6	Jaxson Dart Draft Note Dart was one of last year's most pleasant surprises. After a couple of brief relief appearances in Weeks 2 and 3, he took over as the Giants' starter in Week 4 and never looked back, averaging 20.1 fantasy points per game in his 12 starts—a top-six pace over the final 15 weeks. The passing efficiency was solid but unspectacular—71st percentile in EPA per dropback and 42nd percentile in CPOE—but it’s the rushing production that’s his super power. Dart averaged 40.6 rushing yards per start with nine rushing touchdowns, giving him the kind of weekly floor that makes dual-threat quarterbacks so valuable in fantasy. The supporting cast has improved significantly heading into Year 2, thanks to the expected return of Malik Nabers and free agent Isaiah Likely joining breakout TE Theo Johnson. Darnell Mooney, Malachi Fields, and Calvin Austin III should provide better depth in the receiver room. The CPOE suggests his accuracy still has room to grow, but as a low-end QB1 off the board, Dart is a strong value for a quarterback who was essentially a top-five producer once he became the full-time starter. One word of warning: Sophomore quarterbacks have a wide range of outcomes.	NYG	8	310	8.02	9.06	17	11	282	440	2885	18.9	7.2	144.1	97	544	8.3	35.4	3
7	Justin Herbert Draft Note Herbert has settled into low-end QB1 territory, finishing QB13 and QB9 the last two seasons. His passing efficiency was middling last year—53rd percentile in EPA per dropback, 60th percentile in CPOE—but the big story was his legs. Herbert rushed for a career-high 498 yards (31.1 per game) and two touchdowns, and wants to keep running. That's meaningful for his fantasy outlook because the rushing floor is what separates the elite fantasy quarterbacks from the pack. The Chargers have a solid receiving corps with Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, and second-year players Tre Harris and Oronde Gadsden, and they added Brenan Thompson in this year's draft and David Njoku late in free agency. Mike McDaniel will be calling the plays, and has said that he would like Herbert to get the ball out more quickly and not have so much on his shoulders. Reading between the lines, this sounds like less running to me, but Herbert will still need to scramble and will pick his spots to use his legs. Where I think McDaniel can really help is Herbert’s efficiency. Herbert averaged 7.3 yards per attempt last season and has a career 7.2 YPA. McDaniel took over the Dolphins’ offense in 2022 and took Tua Tagovailoa from a career-to-date 6.6 YPA to 8.9 YPA in his first season. I’m not expecting that sort of leap for Herbert, but he could be a lot more productive as a passer under McDaniel, and that could offset a loss of rushing production.	LAC	7	304	7.11	9.03	11	4	325	487	3885	24.2	8.8	186.3	71	392	1.9	25.5	3
8	Caleb Williams Draft Note Williams took a meaningful step forward in Year 2, improving from a solid QB14 rookie finish to the overall QB6 at 18.8 points per game, a 3.6-point-per-game increase. He showed the ability to spike with a 37.7-point explosion, and demonstrated that Ben Johnson's system fits his skillset. The rushing contribution (23.2 yards per start, three touchdowns) gives him a nice floor that his rookie season didn't always provide. The advanced stat concerns are real, though. His CPOE sat at the 16th percentile. He can make plays, but he remains an inconsistent thrower, and losing D.J. Moore, his veteran security blanket, matters. Rome Odunze, Colston Loveland, and second-year Luther Burden III all have upside, however. Year 2 in Johnson's system should help, and the ceiling is firmly top-five if the accuracy improves and the receiver group gels. He's going as a midrange QB1, which means you're paying for the upside while accepting the inconsistency. If the CPOE improves to match his EPA (62nd percentile), he's a borderline value. If it doesn't, he may be hard-pressed to match his ADP.	CHI	10	299	6.12	8.02	12	4	318	537	3686	25.3	7.0	178.1	72	336	2.5	21.9	3
9	Trevor Lawrence Draft Note Lawrence has quietly put together a strong case as one of the most undervalued quarterbacks at his price point. After back-to-back injury-shortened seasons, he returned healthy in 2025 and finished QB4 overall at 19.7 points per game—and the second-half surge was striking, improving from 16.6 points per game before the midpoint to 22.7 after it. The rushing is underrated: Lawrence averaged 21.6 yards per start with nine rushing touchdowns last season, a number that rivals some of the best dual-threat weeks at the position. His accuracy still lags—29th percentile in CPOE—but the EPA per dropback (69th percentile) and the touchdown production suggest he makes enough plays where it counts. The Jaguars lost Travis Etienne but added Chris Rodriguez to help carry the backfield load, and it's Year 2 with Liam Coen, who is making the case that he’s one of the best offensive minds in the league. The receiving corps features Brian Thomas Jr. as a possible WR1, Jakobi Meyers as a reliable slot option, the efficient Parker Washington, and Travis Hunter, who has the talent to produce, provided he gets enough run on offense. Lawrence is going as a midrange QB1, and given his QB4 finish last year and the rushing floor he provides, that price looks fair. If the second-year Coen offense unlocks another level, there's top-five upside here once again.	JAX	7	296	8.05	9.09	14	5	302	510	3553	23.8	12.6	170.9	74	340	5.5	22.2	3
10	Joe Burrow Draft Note When Burrow is on the field, he's one of the best fantasy quarterbacks in football. He finished QB3 in 2024 at 22.5 points per game—his second top-four finish in three seasons—and was dominant down the stretch, averaging 26.4 points per game in the second half. His 2025 was derailed by injury yet again: he played just seven games, though his accuracy upon return was outstanding—91st percentile in CPOE and 73rd percentile in EPA per dropback. In the five games after coming back from his midseason absence (Weeks 13–17), he averaged 19.5 points per game, suggesting the arm talent was still very much intact. The problem is that the arm talent has never been the question. Burrow has missed 16 games over the last three seasons, and that kind of volatility is difficult to build a roster around, especially at a QB3 ADP. The rushing offers almost nothing—5.1 yards per game last season, 11.8 in 2024, 8.8 in 2023—so he's mostly pass-dependent, which makes him more vulnerable to bad game scripts and low-volume weeks than the dual-threat quarterbacks going around him. On the other hand, Ja'Marr Chase is the best receiver in fantasy football, Tee Higgins gives him an elite second option, and the Bengals' defense has a way of keeping Burrow in high-volume passing situations. At QB3, the ceiling is there—he's finished top four twice in four full seasons—but you're paying a premium that doesn't account for the very real chance he misses a month.	CIN	6	293	5.10	6.08	4	-6	403	573	4122	31.7	9.4	205.7	45	135	0.7	8.8	3

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Who has the best Points Per First Down rankings?

4for4 equips you with the tools to dominate any scoring format. Their rankings are renowned for accuracy and consistency, a fact underscored by John Paulsen's multiple "Most Accurate Expert" awards and consistent top finishes.

But 4for4 goes beyond accolades. They leverage cutting-edge analytics, factoring in offensive tendencies, strength of schedule, and player talent, specifically for PPFD scoring. This data-driven approach translates into measurable, objective rankings you can rely on to maximize your first-down advantage. Don't settle for generic rankings in a PPFD league – leverage 4for4's expertise and outscore your competition week after week.

What is the best draft position in Points Per First Down drafts?

While there isn't a single "magic" draft position in point-per-first-down (PPFD) leagues, aiming for the top half of the first round can give you a strong foundation. Securing a workhorse back who excels at churning out yards and catching passes is still a great strategy. Think dual-threat back like Christian McCaffrey, who racks up first downs consistently, or a high-volume wideout like Tyreek Hill or CeeDee Lamb. Drafting at the back end of the draft can also be helpful to be able to select two higher-volume players back to back.

What is the best draft strategy for Points Per First Down drafts?

Conquer your PPFD league with a strategy that prioritizes first-down machines! Early rounds should focus on securing a consistent running back who excels at churning out yards and catching passes. Think dual-threat backs like Christian McCaffrey or receiving threats like Alvin Kamara. Don't forget quarterbacks who lead high-volume passing attacks. Guys like Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts can rack up first downs through the ground and air.

The beauty of PPFD? Opportunity beyond the usual suspects. Mid-to-late rounds can be a goldmine for wide receivers who see a steady stream of targets in pass-happy offenses. Think Diontae Johnson or George Pickens. Even tight ends like George Kiltte can be valuable with their high catch rates. Remember, volume is king in PPFD. Don't be afraid to target players who might not be the flashiest scorers in standard leagues, but consistently move the chains for their teams. By focusing on consistent first-down producers across all positions, you'll be well on your way to dominating your PPFD draft.

What is Points Per First Down ADP?

In point-per-first-down (PPFD) leagues, ADP (Average Draft Position) reveals the average round where fantasy managers are targeting players who consistently move the chains. Tracking PPFD ADP trends can help you predict when your first-down machines might be off the board, allowing you to strategize your picks and snag hidden gems before they're gone. It's basically a sneak peek into the minds of your fellow drafters, giving you a critical edge on draft day, especially since PPFD scoring can alter player values compared to standard leagues.

Who has the most accurate Points Per First Down rankings?

Conquering a PPFD league requires a data-driven approach, and 4for4 provides the tools you need to dominate. Their track record speaks for itself: John Paulsen's accolades – multiple "Most Accurate Expert" awards and consistent top finishes – are a testament to their expertise.

But 4for4 goes beyond recognition. They wield cutting-edge analytics specifically tailored for PPFD scoring. Offensive tendencies, strength of schedule, and player talent are all factored in to create their renowned rankings. This translates to measurable, objective results you can trust to maximize your first-down advantage. Don't settle for generic rankings in a PPFD league. Leverage 4for4's expertise on point-per-first-down and outscore your competition all season long.

What is the best first-round pick in Points Per First Down Drafts?

The ideal first-round pick in a PPFD draft depends on your risk tolerance. Here are two approaches to consider:

The Safe Choice: Go for a proven workhorse running back like Christian McCaffrey or an elite receiver like CeeDee Lamb. These guys are first-down machines, churning out yards and catching passes consistently. While this strategy offers a solid foundation, it might not be the most exciting.

The High-Reward Gamble: Target a young, explosive wide receiver with a sky-high target projection in a pass-happy offense. Think of someone like Ja'Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson. These players have the potential for massive first-down production but also carry a higher risk of inconsistency.

Ultimately, the best choice comes down to personal preference and draft board dynamics. Analyze ADP trends (if available) to see how these players are valued and draft the player who best fits your overall strategy. Remember, the key is maximizing first-down production, so be flexible and don't be afraid to break the mold if the opportunity arises.