Arch Manning Tops 2026 NFL Draft Odds to Go No. 1 Overall

May 21, 2025
Arch Manning Tops 2026 NFL Draft Odds to Go No. 1 Overall

We saw the top stars in college football get their names called last month at the 2025 NFL Draft, including Travis Hunter, Cam Ward, and more. What about the 2026 NFL Draft? Who do oddsmakers see as the top pick? Let's look at the odds.

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2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Pick Odds

Arch Manning has the top odds to go number one in next year's draft as he is taking over as the starting quarterback from Quinn Ewers at Texas. Garrett Nussmeier and Drew Allar are also in consideration, according to oddsmakers. Check out the best odds to go No. 1 in 2026.

2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Pick Odds
Arch Manning +230
Garrett Nussmeier +360
Drew Allar +550
LaNorris Sellers +550
Cade Klubnik +750
Keldric Faulk +1600
T.J. Parker +2500
Sam Leavitt +3000
Kadyn Proctor +3000
Fernando Mendoza +3000
Caleb Downs +3500
Rueben Bain Jr. +3500
Miller Moss +3500
Francis Mauigoa +5000
Carson Beck +5000
John Mateer +5000
Caleb Lomu +6000
Aidan Chiles +7500
Jayden Maiava +7500
Kyron Drones +7500
Jalon Daniels +9500
Nico Iamaleava +9500
Jermaine Matthews Jr. +11000
Anthony Hill Jr. +11000
Jyaire Hill +11000
Raylen Wilson +11000
Taylen Green +11000
Malik Muhammed +11000
Kaidon Salter +11000
Conner Weigman +11000

Arch Manning Leads the Way

The pressure is on at Texas, and Arch Manning looks like he is ready for the challenge. He is stepping in as the starting quarterback after sitting behind Quinn Ewers for the last two seasons. Manning got plenty of action last year as he had 9 touchdown passes while playing in 10 games for the Longhorns, who reached the College Football Playoff for the second straight season. Texas is one of the favorites to win it all in 2025, and how Ewers plays will have a big impact on the team's success.

Scouts like what they see, and Arch Manning looks like he has the tools to become a legitimate star at the next level. He can make all the throws and is a sneaky athlete who can make plays with his feet if he has to.

Nussmeier, Drew Allar Getting Buzz

Another quarterback who is in the running for the top pick is Garrett Nussmeier. He will also be facing lofty expectations in the fall after throwing for 4,052 yards with 29 touchdowns last season. Also, LSU has failed to reach the College Football Playoff with Brian Kelly, so we can expect the pressure to be on in Baton Rouge. In 2024, Nussmeier took over as the starter for Jayden Daniels, who went on to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. LSU went 9-4 in 2024 and won the Texas Bowl 44-31 over Baylor.

Drew Allar has put up solid numbers for Penn State over the last two seasons and led the Nittany Lions to within a game of the College Football Playoff National Championship. Penn State lost to Notre Dame, but Allar is back for his senior season in hopes of bringing the Nittany Lions a national title. Allar threw 24 touchdowns last season and has over 6,300 yards passing in his career. If he continues to develop, it is easy to see his stock soaring this fall as he will be playing in the spotlight often in the Big Ten.

Recent No. 1 Overall Picks

Cam Ward was the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft as the Tennessee Titans selected him just last month to take over as the team's franchise quarterback. In 2024, we saw Caleb Williams as the top pick while Bryce Young went first in 2023. Since 2015, we have seen 15 quarterbacks taken with the first overall pick. Check out some recent number one picks in the NFL Draft.

Year Name Pos. College Team
2025 Cam Ward QB Miami (FL) Tennessee Titans
2024 Caleb Williams QB USC Chicago Bears
2023 Bryce Young QB Alabama Carolina Panthers
2022 Travon Walker DE Georgia Jacksonville Jaguars
2021 Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson Jacksonville Jaguars
2020 Joe Burrow QB LSU Cincinnati Bengals
2019 Kyler Murray QB Oklahoma Arizona Cardinals
2018 Baker Mayfield QB Oklahoma Cleveland Browns
2017 Myles Garrett DE Texas A&M Cleveland Browns
2016 Jared Goff QB California Los Angeles Rams
2015 Jameis Winston QB Florida State Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2014 Jadeveon Clowney DE South Carolina Houston Texans
2013 Eric Fisher T Central Michigan Kansas City Chiefs
2012 Andrew Luck QB Stanford Indianapolis Colts
2011 Cam Newton QB Auburn Carolina Panthers
2010 Sam Bradford QB Oklahoma St. Louis Rams
2009 Matthew Stafford QB Georgia Detroit Lions
2008 Jake Long T Michigan Miami Dolphins
2007 JaMarcus Russell QB LSU Oakland Raiders
2006 Mario Williams DE North Carolina State Houston Texans
2005 Alex Smith QB Utah San Francisco 49ers
2004 Eli Manning QB Ole Miss San Diego Chargers
2003 Carson Palmer QB USC Cincinnati Bengals
2002 David Carr QB Fresno State Houston Texans
2001 Michael Vick QB Virginia Tech Atlanta Falcons
2000 Courtney Brown DE Penn State Cleveland Browns

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