Fantasy Football WR SFB Draft Rankings
# | Player | TM | BYE | FF Pts | ADP12 | ADP10 | ↑↓ | GC | DIF | Rec | RecYdsReceiving | RecTD | Rec1D | RuAtt | RuYdsRushing | RuTD | Ru1D | Fum |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CeeDee Lamb
Draft Note
CeeDee Lamb finished as the fantasy WR1 last year though he was second (to Tyreek Hill) in per-game scoring. He was the WR6 with the eighth-highest per-game average in 2022. Lamb is entering his age-25 season and should have another huge year as his environment (role, quarterback, play-caller) are all unchanged. The only concern is his contract situation but the Cowboys should be able to sort that out by training camp.
| DAL | 7 | 403 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1 | 0 | 119 | 1563 | 10.9 | 76.4 | 14 | 115 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 1 | |
2 | Tyreek Hill
Draft Note
Last season, Tyreek Hill finished as the fantasy WR2, though he had the highest per-game average (19.9 fantasy points per game) at his position. He was the fantasy WR2 in 2022 as well, and had the third-highest per-game average. He’s entering his age-30 season, which is his ninth-season in the league. According to Ryan Heath’s excellent Age Curves study, receivers see a slight decline in production in their ninth season before a much bigger drop in their 10th year. I’m not worried about Hill’s age at all, other than the tendency for older players to come down with nagging injuries more frequently than their younger counterparts. He’s a rock-sold WR1.
| MIA | 6 | 380 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 2 | 0 | 111 | 1603 | 11.5 | 75.2 | 3 | 11 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | |
3 | Amon-Ra St. Brown
Draft Note
Amon-Ra St. Brown finished as the fantasy WR3 with the fourth-highest per-game average at his position. He was the fantasy WR8 the year before with the 10th-highest per-game production. As he enters his fourth season his stock is as high as ever. His environment (i.e. quarterback, role, play-caller) are all unchanged, so I’m expecting another monster year from the “Sun God.”
| DET | 5 | 339 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 4 | 1 | 107 | 1384 | 9.4 | 67.9 | 4 | 23 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1 | |
4 | Justin Jefferson
Draft Note
Justin Jefferson missed several games with a bad hamstring injury, so he finished as the WR38, but had the fifth-best per-game average. When his injury game (71% snaps) and his first game back (18% snaps) are removed, he averaged 20.0 fantasy points in eight full games, and the last four of those games–7-84, 6-141-1, 5-59, and 12-192-1–were without Kirk Cousins. That’s important since Cousins is now in Atlanta and Jefferson will be catching passes from Sam Darnold and/or J.J. McCarthy. The vast majority of those Week 15 to Week 18 targets were from the capable Nick Mullens (9.1 yards per attempt, 5.2% touchdown rate), so it makes sense that Jefferson’s numbers didn’t dip much when Cousins was out of the picture. He averaged 8.3-136-0.75 on 11.8 targets per game in four games with Cousins and 7.5-119-0.50 on 11.0 targets in four games without Cousins. Either way, he was posting overall WR1-WR3 type numbers with or without Cousins. Jefferson was the overall WR1 in 2022, so there’s upside with him if he’s going off the board WR3 or WR4. The issue is that unlike the other receivers going in the top six, he’s undergoing a quarterback change. The Vikings do have two decent options in Darnold and McCarthy, so if one isn’t getting it done, the other might. There’s a bit of risk here, but Jefferson should have a high-end WR1 season regardless of Cousins’ departure.
| MIN | 6 | 305 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 5 | 1 | 95 | 1410 | 6.0 | 65.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | |
5 | A.J. Brown
Draft Note
A.J. Brown finished the 2023 season as the fantasy WR5 with the eighth-highest per-game average. He was the WR4 the year before and had the seventh-highest per-game average, so he has a recent history of midrange to high-end WR1 production. His environment is largely unchanged, though the Eagles hired Kellen Moore to run the offense. Moore’s offenses have finished in the top half of the league in passing yardage in each of his five seasons as offensive coordinator. Brown should once again post solid WR1 numbers.
| PHI | 5 | 291 | 1.09 | 1.09 | 6 | 1 | 91 | 1294 | 6.8 | 60.9 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | |
6 | Ja'Marr Chase
Draft Note
Ja’Marr Chase missed several games in 2022, but finished with the fifth-highest per-game average. Last season, he was the fantasy WR10 and had the 11th-highest per-game average. Joe Burrow missed seven games, and Chase averaged 15.4 fantasy points with Burrow versus just 9.8 fantasy points without him. Over the last three seasons, Chase has averaged 16.1 fantasy points with Burrow at quarterback, which is great, but it’s not top-three WR great. His WR3 ADP is a little aggressive given his history as a producer, though there are worse ideas than betting on a 24-year-old receiver with 3,700+ yards and 29 touchdowns in three seasons.
| CIN | 12 | 289 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 3 | -3 | 91 | 1201 | 7.7 | 58.6 | 2 | 8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 | |
7 | Garrett Wilson
Draft Note
After Aaron Rodgers tore his Achilles on his first pass attempt of the season, it was clear that Garrett Wilson would be in for a tough season. He finished as the fantasy WR30 after a WR22 finish as a rookie in 2022. Since 2010, among receivers in their first two seasons, Wilson ranked seventh in receptions and 14th in receiving yards. In his last two seasons in Green Bay, Rodgers’ receivers averaged 1.41 (half-PPR) fantasy points per target, which is 45% higher than the 0.97 fantasy points per target offered by the Jets’ quarterbacks last season. Simply applying 1.41 fantasy points per target to Wilson’s 168 targets last season would yield roughly 237 fantasy points, or about what A.J. Brown scored as last year’s fantasy WR5. Matt Harmon’s charting of WIlson’s second season at Reception Perception supports the prospect of a breakout third year. Harmon called Wilson “the CeeDee Lamb of last summer” and says the “hype is real.” I don’t think Wilson’s WR8 ADP is much of a reach at all.
| NYJ | 12 | 274 | 1.11 | 2.01 | 7 | 0 | 89 | 1156 | 6.8 | 56.6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | |
8 | Marvin Harrison Jr.
Draft Note
With Marquise Brown and Rondale Moore gone, the Cardinals have the fifth-most vacated targets (217) and Harrison will soak up most of them. He's landing in a fantastic situation from an opportunity and quarterback standpoint and will immediately be in the fantasy WR2 mix with upside from there. Matt Harmon compared Harrison’s profile to Ja’Marr Chase coming out of college and added that Harrison “easily was one of the best prospects” he has charted for Reception Perception.
| ARI | 11 | 272 | 2.03 | 2.05 | 9 | 1 | 88 | 1150 | 6.8 | 56.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | |
9 | Davante Adams
Draft Note
Davante Adams finished the 2023 season as the fantasy WR13 but saw the second-most targets, so he wasn’t all that efficient thanks to suspect quarterback play. Enter Gardner Minshew–maybe?–who hopes to start for the Raiders after 13 starts for the Colts last season. Minshew provided 1.17 (half-PPR) fantasy points per target to his receivers last year while Raiders quarterbacks combined to offer 1.18 fantasy points per target, so it’s not a sure thing that Minshew is much of an upgrade for Adams and Co. Adams averaged 6.4 catches for 68 yards and 0.50 touchdowns (on 11.0 targets) in 10 games with Aidan O’Connell at quarterback. Those are high-end WR2-type numbers.
| NYJ | 12 | 265 | 2.08 | 2.10 | 11 | 2 | 89 | 1106 | 6.2 | 55.4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | |
10 | Chris Olave
Draft Note
In his second season, Chris Olave finished as the fantasy WR21, though he would have finished a few spots higher had he not missed a game. He was the WR25 as a rookie. His targets increased from 7.6 in 2022 to 9.0 per game last season. Matt Harmon of Reception Perception: “Playing in what quietly may have been the worst conceptual offense in the NFL with a limited quarterback, Olave showed off many traits you want to see from a player who can jump into the superstar tier of receivers.” The good news is that the Saints have a new offensive coordinator, Klint Kubiak, who ran a Vikings offense in 2021 that generated the 11th-most passing yards and the ninth-most passing touchdowns. For the last eight games of the 2022 season, Kubiak also took over play-calling for the Broncos, and the team generated the 21st-most passing yards and the 14th-most touchdowns after finishing 15th and 31st, respectively, prior to Kubiak taking over play-calling duties. So there is optimism that Olave will be playing in a significantly better offense and that should help his bottom line.
| NO | 12 | 264 | 2.10 | 3.02 | 12 | 2 | 89 | 1161 | 5.1 | 56.8 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
Who has the best SFB14 rankings?
4for4 has proven highly consistent in both their rankings, which is paramount for success in fantasy football. John Paulsen, 4for4’s Director of Forecasting was named the Most Accurate Fantasy Football Expert by FantasyPros in both 2010 and 2014 and was the runner-up in 2011 and 2019. In 2012, 2015, 2017, and 2020 he finished among the top four rankers.
The forecasting process at 4for4 places emphasis on teams’ offensive tendencies, strength of schedule, and athlete talent via predictive modeling. This allows the SFB14 rankings to effectively deliver fantasy football results that are measurable, objective, and consistently replicated, and 4for4’s historical success in accuracy confirms that they’re good at what they do.
What is the best draft position in SFB14 drafts?
There is an argument for all three parts of the draft in SFB14 as the top few picks are guaranteed an elite QB in this superflex format. In the middle of the draft you are in a good spot to not miss out on any crazy runs, and if you select at the end of the draft order, drafters can take advantage of the third-round reversal and get three picks within the first 25 players.
What is the best draft strategy in SFB14 drafts?
With the scoring as crazy as it is, there is no best strategy for SFB14. In a tournament of this size, being different helps so try to think outside of the box when drafting.
What is SFB14 ADP?
ADP, or Average Draft Position,indicates the average spot where players are being selected in drafts. Tracking SFB14 ADP helps you anticipate when players will be available and strategize your picks effectively, maximizing value.
Who has the most accurate SFB14 rankings?
Look no further than 4for4's proven track record of fantasy football accuracy. FantasyPros recognized 4for4’s Director of Forecasting, John Paulsen, as the Most Accurate Fantasy Football Expert in both 2010 and 2014, with runner-up finishes in 2011 and 2019. In 2012, 2015, 2017, and 2020 he also finished inside the top four.
4for4's forecasting uses a data-driven model that considers offensive schemes, upcoming matchups, and player talent. This translates to rankings you can trust, built on measurable data and objective analysis. Their historical success speaks for itself - 4for4 is the resource you need to dominate SFB14.
What is the best first-round pick in SFB14 Drafts?
There is no right answer here, as it depends on your specific strategy going into the SFB14 draft. It is a Superflex format with an emphasis on the rushing quarterback, so if you would like to have an elite quarterback, then select Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, or Lamar Jackson. Only one RB needs to start in 2024, so grabbing a top rusher like Christian McCaffrey or Breece Hall could be the way to get out to a solid start. The scoring is also TE premium, so taking Travis Kelce or Sam LaPorta may also serve you well.
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