Splash Sports Survivor Picks Week 2: Circa Survivor & NFL Pool Plays (Buccaneers over Browns)

Congrats if you didn't pick the Chargers in Week 1 and you're still with us. A whopping 27% of the entries in the 4for4 pool on Splash got eliminated right out of the gate. There are plenty of good options brewing this week, so let's do this.

We have the assistance of Sharpstack's EV Tool to guide us through this process, highlighting the win percentages of each NFL team and the optimal path, plus the option of a custom one if you are feeling it.

There are now 31 teams left to choose from and plenty of overreactions from just one week of play. So who should you believe in?

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Here's a look at the whole board for Week 2, and I'll get into my favorite picks and traps below.

Favorite Favorites

49ers vs Miami (-13.5)

This is as chalk as you get, but again, it's too early to get cute. The 49ers were efficient last week on both sides of the ball, and now face a Dolphins team that was held to just 13 points by the Raiders' defense in Week 1. San Francisco does have the second-highest future value on the board, and they will be a popular selection, but they are the safest pick out there this week.

Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland (-8.5)

The Browns are likely the 2026 free space for survivor pools, at least based on what they showed us last week. Woof. Baker Mayfield did not play particularly well against the Bengals, but the team as a whole managed to move the ball effectively, and we have to assume that we won't see three fumbles again, especially in a revenge-game scenario for Mayfield. Peeking at the Bucs' future schedule, this is the perfect week to use them.

Value Favorites

Eagles @ Titans (-7)

Week 1 was a mess for Tennessee, who got throttled by the Jets in all three phases of the game. The Titans came away with just 207 yards of total offense and allowed Geno Smith to have his way, connecting with eight different pass catchers. Philly does have some nice matchups later this season, which will make them less popular this week, but they are a great, safe choice projected to only be selected by 12.8% of the public.

Kansas City vs. Colts (-6.5)

The Colts offense beyond Jonathan Taylor is suspect right now with Daniel Jones and Alec Pierce returning from injuries. A prime-time game in Kansas City is not exactly a soft place to land after being destroyed by the Ravens. Kenneth Walker will likely run all over this Colts defense that allowed Derrick Henry to post 144 yards, while Zay Flowers notched 150 in the first half before leaving with a hamstring issue. The Chiefs won't be too popular, as they do have the highest future value and are projected to be selected by only 2% of the public this week.

Traps (that are favorites)

New England vs. Pittsburgh (-5.5)

Coming off a loss to Seattle on opening night, the Pats have a tough contest that could be closer than the 5.5-point spread indicates. They are without A.J. Brown, and the Steelers defense is no joke.

Chicago Bears vs. Vikings (-5.5)

It may be tempting to ride a team that just dropped 59 points in their season opener, but this is a division rivalry, and Minnesota's defense could do a good job containing this Bears offense on Sunday.