Best Week 2 Prophet Exchange Bets: Miami Speeds Past Baltimore

Sep 16, 2022
Best Week 2 Prophet Exchange Bets: Miami Speeds Past Baltimore

Every week we are going to look at plays that are going to benefit you if they are made on Prophet Exchange. For the uninitiated, Prophet Exchange is a peer-to-peer betting exchange that allows for betting without the vig. Any side or total bet will be +100 instead of the standard -110. You can also dictate the terms on Moneyline bets. Learn more about how to use a sports betting exchange, like Prophet Exchange, and what advantages they offer.

With all the flexibility in terms of setting your own lines and the lack of vig, there will be many weekly opportunities for value on Prophet Exchange. Let's see where the value lies in Week 2...

Week 2 Prophet Exchange Picks

Dolphins +3.5 @ Ravens

*Betting at Prophet Exchange takes the juice from -110 to +100.

Is Tua Tagovailoa elite? No, but he is better than Joe Flacco at this point and should be more equipped to take advantage of injuries to Baltimore’s secondary. Kyle Fuller tearing his ACL in Week 1 hurts the depth on the outside for the Ravens and could create an injury cluster with Brandon Stephens and Marlon Humphrey also on the injury report. Marcus Peters should be back but has not played in over a year. Enter the speed on the outside for the Dolphins and their league-high pass rate over expectation (PROE) in Week 1, perhaps giving Miami an advantage.

The hits keep coming for Baltimore on the offensive line as well with former All-Pro left tackle Ronnie Stanley still not participating in practice, and now Ja'Wuan James is out for the year after tearing his Achilles in the second quarter of the opener. In all likelihood, the Ravens will be down to a third-string left tackle against a Dolphins defense with the third-highest Week 1 pressure rate.

Personnel-wise, Miami is built better than most to handle Baltimore star tight end, Mark Andrews. Jevon Holland and Brandon Jones are talented young safeties that can make life difficult enough for Andrews that it messes with a Ravens offense that did not look overly impressive against the Jets. Miami getting more than a field goal with all the uncertainty across the ball is must play.

Seahawks @ 49ers Over 41

*Betting at Prophet Exchange takes the juice from -105 to +100.

Both teams are coming off games that went under by a wide margin but there are positives to take for both from Week 1 that play into this over. The most obvious example is the Niners played in a monsoon on brand new turf in Soldier Field against the Bears. Were there misses in the passing game by Trey Lance? Absolutely, but putting too much stock in a game where the Bears got penalized for literally trying to towel off the turn seems foolish. Concern over Elijah Mitchell being out is fair but with a deep running back room and Deebo Samuel to mix into the fray as well, the running game should be fine against a Seahawks team that allowed 5.2 yards per carry and lost safety Jamal Adams for the season.

Seattle came into Week 1 as a huge question mark with Geno Smith at quarterback and he cleared the low hurdles necessary to support an over on a low total like this. Going 23-28 with no interceptions and only taking two sacks showed that Geno Smith is much more capable at this point of this career of limiting plays that can derail a drive for an offense not projected to be very explosive. The running game averaged 4.0 yards per clip, 5.0 for Rashaad Penny, allowing an expectation that around 17 points is a reasonable floor in the first data point from the new-look Seahawks.

The matchup in the secondary should be easier for Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf this week against the Niners, with them combining for 6.4 yards per reception against Broncos. With as much as the Niners rely on yards after catch in their passing game, the footing can not be worse than it was in Chicago last weekend, and a much better showing is squarely on the table. Combining the weather conditions with constant penalties and a red-zone fumble, it looks more like an offensive bounce-back spot with value on the over in this low-total game.

For the most up-to-date picks check out my Twitter and subscribe to our Discord. This sheet from Dan Rivera tracks all my betting picks (and those from the rest of the betting staff) on the year. Just click on the tab with my name on it for the results.


This article is intended for entertainment purposes and adult users only. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem.

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