Assuming A.J. Brown is traded away, Smith enters 2026 with the clearest path to big-time WR1 usage of his career. He's spent four years as one of the best route-runners in football while sharing the target tree with Brown, and the underlying metrics have consistently told the same story: 80th-percentile PFF route grade and 82nd-percentile YPRR last season. Smith finished WR23 overall but just WR33 per game at 9.8 points per game–eight games under seven points in 17 appearances. The four-touchdown season killed what was otherwise a 1,008-yard campaign. But the data without Brown is instructive: in the four games across the last two seasons where Brown didn't play, Smith's targets jumped from 6.5 to 8.3, his receptions from 4.7 to 5.8, and his yardage from 60 to 73. His touchdowns actually decreased from 0.42 to 0.25 per game when Brown missed. If we assume a 5.8-reception, 73-yard, 0.42-touchdown pace, Smith would average 12.7 fantasy points per game–the exact number Nico Collins put up as last year's WR8. Makai Lemon arrives presumably as Brown's eventual long-term replacement, but Smith should have at least this season as the unambiguous WR1 in Philadelphia. He's going as the WR13 at Underdog, a midrange third-round price for a player who profiles as a high-floor WR2 in the worst case and a top-eight receiver if things break his way.