• DeVante Parker

  • WR
  • , Miami Dolphins
  • 27
  • 209 lbs
  • 6' 3"
PtsRecYdsRecTDRecRuYds
17412029720
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Parker was a rare fifth-season breakout in 2019, catching 72-of-128 targets (56.3% catch rate, not great) for 1,202 yards and nine scores. In the final eight games, he had a 23.2% target share from Ryan Fitzpatrick, and accounted for 34.3% of Fitzpatrick’s passing yardage in that span. However, those metrics were 20.6% and 21.5%, respectively, from Week 1 to Week 8, when Preston Williams (21.1% target share, 26.9% yards share) was active. Parker’s play down the stretch probably puts him in the driver’s seat for a higher target share even though Williams is back, but the second-year Williams could very well put a dent in Parker’s usage. Since Parker isn’t particularly efficient, any drop in potential target share is worrisome. I’m not on board with his fifth/sixth-round ADP.

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Scouting report

by Jordan Heck

MIA WR DeVante Parker - 2020 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Many considered DeVante Parker a bust heading into 2019, but he proved himself to be a late bloomer with a career season. Parker finished 72-1202-9 (all career highs) as he dominated in Miami. Parker saw 128 targets last season, 13th-highest in the league. He especially shined later on in the year, averaging 104.7 yards in his last seven games.

Fantasy Downside
It’s rare to see someone break out so late in their career, so we’re a little skeptical that Parker can replicate what he did in 2019. For starters, his biggest games came following Preston Williams’ injury. Parker with Williams in the lineup went 28-400-4 in the first eight games, and without Williams went 44-802-5 in the final eight games. Parker also had a very low catch percentage of 56.3, which ranked 170th among all players with at least 20 receptions.

2020 Bottom Line
Parker had only finished above 700 yards once in his four seasons before his 2019 breakout. And with Williams returning the lineup, it’s hard to see him fully replicate what he did a year ago. There’s also a question of a new quarterback, adding some additional risk factor when thinking about Parker. There’s more reason to like Parker heading into 2020 than there was in 2019, but now his hype has driven up his ADP to a point where he may not be worth it. Parker should be viewed as a lower-end WR2 this season.

2020 Strength of Schedule - MIA

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
1
@NE
2
BUF
11
@JAX
17
SEA
9
@SF
13
@DEN
4
LAC
8
LAR
19
@ARI
28
NYJ
BYE28
@NYJ
25
CIN
5
KC
1
NE
27
@LV
2
@BUF

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats

WeekOppRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCSTDPPRSnaps%
1BAL3750725.0000000.007.510.538/5076.0%
2NE00070.0000000.000.00.057/6291.9%
3@DAL3560618.6700000.005.68.669/7295.8%
4LAC4701417.5000000.0013.017.043/5282.7%
5BYE--------------
6WAS328149.3300000.008.811.867/7688.2%
7@BUF55511011.0000000.0011.516.562/7384.9%
8@PIT659089.8300000.005.911.947/6078.3%
9NYJ4571614.2500000.0011.715.757/6982.6%
10@IND56901013.8000000.006.911.963/6695.5%
11BUF713501019.2900000.0013.520.562/6989.9%
12@CLE69101115.1700000.009.115.163/63100.0%
13PHI715921022.7100000.0027.934.959/7281.9%
14@NYJ2280214.0000000.002.84.818/7225.0%
15@NYG4722718.0000000.0019.223.267/7194.4%
16CIN511111522.2000000.0017.122.175/9083.3%
17@NE813701117.1200000.0013.721.767/6898.5%
Per game4.5075.130.568.0016.6900000.0010.8915.3957.13/67.8184.31%
Totals721202912816.6900000.00174.2246.2914/108584.31%
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