2026 Fantasy Football Projections - Superflex - QB

In 2024, Jackson was historically dominant—the overall QB1 at 25.5 points per game with 13 of 16 games over 20 points and zero games below 10. Then 2025 happened. Jackson missed five games, finished QB20 overall, and cratered in the second half of the season, averaging just 12.0 points per game after the midway point compared to 23.8 before it. The rushing, typically his fantasy floor, fell to 26.9 yards per game with just two rushing touchdowns—a fraction of his usual production. His efficiency slipped to the 60th percentile in EPA per dropback, still respectable but a far cry from the MVP-caliber play of the prior season. The offseason brings change. Isaiah Likely is gone, and while Mark Andrews is back, the Ravens are banking on rookie tight ends Ja'Kobi Lane and Elijah Sarratt to fill the void alongside him. New offensive coordinator Declan Doyle takes over play-calling duties. Zay Flowers remains a legitimate number-one receiver, but the overall supporting cast feels thinner than it was a year ago and he has missed 18% of his games in the last five seasons. Jackson is going as the QB2 with an overall ADP in the middle of the fifth round. The talent is undeniable—when healthy, Jackson has as high a ceiling as anyone in fantasy. But the second-half collapse, the reduced rushing, and a transitional roster make QB2 a price that carries more risk than it has in years.

Daniels was electric as a rookie in 2024, finishing as the overall QB4 at 22.0 points per game with 10 of 16 games over 20 points. Then injuries derailed his sophomore season. He appeared in just seven games in 2025, finishing QB33 overall, but the per-game production when fully healthy was still impressive—he averaged 19.6 points in his four full games and posted 17.7 and 15.2 in two additional contests where he played only 69 and 88 percent of the snaps, respectively. The efficiency metrics in his limited action (47th percentile EPA, 24th percentile CPOE on just 186 attempts) are hard to read much into given the small sample and the fact that he was clearly battling through injuries. The rushing was still there: Daniels averaged 45.4 rushing yards in the five games where he played at least 87% of the snaps. The supporting cast has turned over. Terry McLaurin remains the alpha, and the Commanders possibly upgraded at tight end by bringing in Chigoziem Okonkwo to replace Zach Ertz. They lost Deebo Samuel but drafted Antonio Williams and added Rachaad White and Jerome Ford to reshape the backfield. It's a transitional roster, but Daniels' rushing ability gives him a floor that's almost impossible to replicate at the position. He's going as the QB4, and that's a price built entirely on the 2024 version of Daniels. If he's healthy, the rushing alone makes him a weekly QB1.

When Burrow is on the field, he's one of the best fantasy quarterbacks in football. He finished QB3 in 2024 at 22.5 points per game—his second top-four finish in three seasons—and was dominant down the stretch, averaging 26.4 points per game in the second half. His 2025 was derailed by injury yet again: he played just seven games, though his accuracy upon return was outstanding—91st percentile in CPOE and 73rd percentile in EPA per dropback. In the five games after coming back from his midseason absence (Weeks 13–17), he averaged 19.5 points per game, suggesting the arm talent was still very much intact. The problem is that the arm talent has never been the question. Burrow has missed 16 games over the last three seasons, and that kind of volatility is difficult to build a roster around, especially at a QB3 ADP. The rushing offers almost nothing—5.1 yards per game last season, 11.8 in 2024, 8.8 in 2023—so he's mostly pass-dependent, which makes him more vulnerable to bad game scripts and low-volume weeks than the dual-threat quarterbacks going around him. On the other hand, Ja'Marr Chase is the best receiver in fantasy football, Tee Higgins gives him an elite second option, and the Bengals' defense has a way of keeping Burrow in high-volume passing situations. At QB3, the ceiling is there—he's finished top four twice in four full seasons—but you're paying a premium that doesn't account for the very real chance he misses a month.

Herbert has settled into low-end QB1 territory, finishing QB13 and QB9 the last two seasons. His passing efficiency was middling last year—53rd percentile in EPA per dropback, 60th percentile in CPOE—but the big story was his legs. Herbert rushed for a career-high 498 yards (31.1 per game) and two touchdowns, and wants to keep running. That's meaningful for his fantasy outlook because the rushing floor is what separates the elite fantasy quarterbacks from the pack. The Chargers have a solid receiving corps with Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, and second-year players Tre Harris and Oronde Gadsden, and they added Brenan Thompson in this year's draft and David Njoku late in free agency. Mike McDaniel will be calling the plays, and has said that he would like Herbert to get the ball out more quickly and not have so much on his shoulders. Reading between the lines, this sounds like less running to me, but Herbert will still need to scramble and will pick his spots to use his legs. Where I think McDaniel can really help is Herbert’s efficiency. Herbert averaged 7.3 yards per attempt last season and has a career 7.2 YPA. McDaniel took over the Dolphins’ offense in 2022 and took Tua Tagovailoa from a career-to-date 6.6 YPA to 8.9 YPA in his first season. I’m not expecting that sort of leap for Herbert, but he could be a lot more productive as a passer under McDaniel, and that could offset a loss of rushing production.

Prescott had a strong bounce-back season in 2025, finishing QB5 at 19.6 points per game after an injury-shortened QB31 the year before. His efficiency was excellent—89th percentile in EPA per dropback and 76th percentile in CPOE—and he was remarkably steady, averaging 19.2 points per game in the first half and 20.0 in the second. Nine of 16 games went over 20 points, and he only dipped below 10 twice. CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens give him two legitimate weapons on the outside, Jake Ferguson is a reliable tight end, and Brian Schottenheimer runs a pass-heavy offense that keeps Prescott in high-volume situations all season. The only structural concern is the lack of rushing—11.1 yards per start and two touchdowns last year—which makes him entirely dependent on passing volume and touchdown rate, both of which can fluctuate. He's going as a midrange QB1 for a player who finished QB5 last year and QB4 in 2023. The Cowboys are going to throw the football, and when they do, he's likely to be efficient.