Fantasy Football QB Draft Rankings
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2 hours ago .
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| # | Player | TM | BYE | FF Pts | ADP12 | ADP10 | ↑↓ | GC | DIF | Comp | Att | PaYdsPassing | PaTD | INT | Pa1D | RuAtt | RuYdsRushing | RuTD | Ru1D | Fum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Allen
Draft Note
Working backward, Allen has finished QB2, QB1, QB2, and QB1 in the last four seasons. He’s done it with a plethora of different receivers, and he has a decent crew to throw to again this season. Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Curtis Samuel, Dalton Kincaid, and Dawson Knox are all back, and the Bills added Joshua Palmer and Elijah Moore to the mix. I’m expecting another high-end season for Allen.
| BUF | 7 | 345 | 2.11 | 3.03 | 1 | 0 | 322 | 499 | 3813 | 28.7 | 9.6 | 183.2 | 107 | 532 | 8.2 | 34.6 | 3 | |
| 2 | Lamar Jackson
Draft Note
Jackson was the overall QB1 last season after a QB3 finish in 2023. He was the QB5 on a per-game basis in an injury-shortened 2022, and was the QB8 on a per-game basis in an injury-shortened 2021. And that’s the only concern with Jackson–his tendency to get nicked up, though he has only missed one game in the last two seasons. All of the key pieces are back–Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, Mark Andrews, and Isaiah Likely–and the Ravens added DeAndre Hopkins to help move the chains. Jackson should have another elite season.
| BAL | 7 | 344 | 3.01 | 3.05 | 2 | 0 | 276 | 407 | 3609 | 27.7 | 5.9 | 169.3 | 116 | 840 | 3.7 | 54.7 | 3 | |
| 3 | Jalen Hurts
Draft Note
Hurts finished as the fantasy QB6 but missed most of Week 16 and all of Week 17. His 22.2 points per game in his 14 non-injury games would have been the fourth-highest average, just ahead of Jayden Daniels. With Saquon Barkley in tow, the Eagles were more run-oriented in 2024, and Hurts’s pass attempts dropped from 31.6 per game in 2023 to 25.5 last year. If his pass attempts remain that low, he will have a tough time challenging Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen for an overall QB1 finish, especially with Barkley keeping his rushing touchdowns in check. He’s still a rock-solid, high-end QB1 even if his ceiling isn’t as high these days.
| PHI | 9 | 336 | 4.01 | 4.07 | 4 | 1 | 305 | 456 | 3455 | 23.5 | 10.9 | 167.9 | 130 | 591 | 11.9 | 38.5 | 3 | |
| 4 | Jayden Daniels
Draft Note
My top quarterback target in last year’s fantasy drafts didn’t disappoint, finishing QB4 after being drafted in the QB10-QB12 range all summer. This year, he’ll have another weapon to throw to thanks to the Commanders’ trade for Deebo Samuel. The Commanders also drafted Jaylin Lane in the fourth round to shore up the team’s WR depth.
| WAS | 12 | 329 | 3.06 | 3.10 | 3 | -1 | 331 | 483 | 3548 | 27.2 | 9.8 | 174.8 | 126 | 806 | 4.0 | 52.5 | 3 | |
| 5 | Joe Burrow
Draft Note
Burrow was the fantasy QB3 last season after an injury-shortened QB23 finish the year before. He was the QB4 in 2022 and the QB6 in 2021, so he has a history of midrange QB1 finishes. The defense isn’t particularly good and the Bengals re-signed Tee Higgins, so Burrow has all of his weapons back. I’m expecting another strong season from Burrow and Co.
| CIN | 10 | 305 | 4.04 | 4.10 | 5 | 0 | 408 | 576 | 4174 | 32.8 | 9.6 | 208.3 | 41 | 191 | 2.0 | 12.5 | 3 | |
| 6 | Baker Mayfield
Draft Note
Mayfield rounds out the Top 6, which is not something I ever thought I’d be saying after his career began to go sideways in his fourth season. But he has finished QB5 and QB9 the last two seasons, has one of the best receiving corps–Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Emeka Egbuka, Jalen McMillan, and Cade Otton–in the league, and he can run a little bit (378 yards, 3 rushing touchdowns last season). My only concern is that he’s on his third offensive coordinator in three years, but new OC Josh Grizzard was promoted from within and was the pass game coordinator last season. Mayfield should post midrange QB1 numbers once again.
| TB | 9 | 304 | 6.11 | 8.01 | 8 | 2 | 355 | 510 | 3924 | 33.6 | 12.8 | 191.8 | 54 | 326 | 1.9 | 21.2 | 3 | |
| 7 | Patrick Mahomes
Draft Note
Over the past two seasons, Mahomes has finished QB7 (2023) and QB10 (2024) after three straight top-4 finishes in 2020-22. He seems to be settling into midrange QB1 territory, but we know he has overall QB1 upside. Rashee Rice is back, which helps, especially given the apparent decline of Mahomes’ go-to target, Travis Kelce. Xavier Worthy is a weapon, and Hollywood Brown rounds out a good starting receiving unit. Mahomes’ touchdown percentage and passing volume are both down relative to his fantasy hayday, and that’s not a recipe for an elite-level finish.
| KC | 10 | 283 | 5.10 | 6.08 | 6 | -1 | 381 | 566 | 3913 | 29.2 | 12.6 | 195.2 | 57 | 301 | 1.7 | 19.6 | 3 | |
| 8 | Bo Nix
Draft Note
Nix finished QB9 on the season, but after a rough start, he was the fantasy QB5 from Week 5 on. He has dual-threat ability and scored at least 16.1 fantasy points in 10 of his last 13 games. “Good” rookie quarterbacks tend to regress a bit in year two–fantasy points drop on average by 6.3%– but the Broncos added Evan Engram in free agency and two receiving weapons–second-round RB RJ Harvey and third-round WR Pat Bryant–in the Draft, and that could offset a sophomore regression.
| DEN | 12 | 280 | 7.04 | 8.06 | 7 | -1 | 338 | 502 | 3393 | 28.3 | 13.2 | 170.3 | 86 | 394 | 4.0 | 25.6 | 3 | |
| 9 | Kyler Murray
Draft Note
Murray finished as the QB11 last year after a seven-game, QB26 finish the year before. (He was QB10 on a per-game basis in 2023.) Last year, he played a full season after missing 18 games in his previous three seasons. He’s a good fantasy asset thanks to his quickness, speed, and ability to run the ball. He has averaged 30+ yards rushing in four straight seasons and has 16 rushing touchdowns in that span.
| ARI | 8 | 276 | 8.05 | 9.09 | 10 | 1 | 336 | 489 | 3529 | 20.1 | 10.9 | 174.9 | 72 | 531 | 4.8 | 34.5 | 3 | |
| 10 | Brock Purdy
Draft Note
Purdy was the QB12 last year but was QB9 on a per-game basis. In 2023, he was the QB6 and QB8 on a per-game basis, so he has settled into low-end QB1 status. He lost Deebo Samuel, who is a weapon, and the 49ers are expecting Jauan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall to pick up the slack. Brandon Aiyuk, Christian McCaffrey, and George Kittle return, so Purdy has plenty of weapons to throw to. The 49ers lost a lot of talent in free agency, especially on the defensive side of the ball, so they may struggle to stop anyone, and that could lead to heavy passing volume for Purdy and Co.
| SF | 14 | 269 | 8.10 | 10.04 | 11 | 1 | 298 | 440 | 4075 | 24.3 | 12.6 | 189.3 | 45 | 241 | 2.4 | 15.7 | 2 |
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