Squirrel’s Nuts & Bolts Ravens - Dolphins TNF Showdown Strategy (Week 9 NFL DFS)

Oct 30, 2025

Tommy Gilligan-Imagn Images

Week 9 of the NFL season kicks off with an AFC showdown as the Ravens visit the Dolphins in Miami. Both teams enter with similar records (Baltimore 2-5, Miami 2-6) and sit in third place within their respective divisions, but that symmetry masks very different expectations for the rest of the season. The Ravens get Lamar Jackson back after a three-game absence, and they remain the betting favorite (-130) to win their division despite the losing record. Miami, on the other hand, is a massive long shot at +40000 to win the AFC East, even after defeating Atlanta last week. That contrast is reflected in the line for this matchup, with Baltimore entering as a 7.5-point road favorite in a game carrying a 51.5-point total.

Baltimore’s offense will once again run through Lamar Jackson; the team’s backups managed just 43 points over the past three games. Touchdowns in the passing attack have been evenly distributed, with eight different players catching at least one touchdown, but no player with more than two. The receiving yards have been concentrated, however, with Zay Flowers putting up 486 yards in seven games, more than twice the next-highest total on the Ravens (Mark Andrews, 208). The Ravens complement Jackson and the passing game with star RB Derrick Henry, but without receiving work, he remains a classic boom-or-bust option.

Miami’s offense has been a disappointment this season, putting up the fifth-fewest yards per game in the NFL and losing star WR Tyreek Hill in Week 4. QB Tua Tagovailoa put up four touchdown passes in the team’s Week 8 win over Atlanta, but had one touchdown pass and six interceptions in the two games prior. RB De'Von Achane dominates the offense with 539 rushing yards, a team-high 37 receptions, and seven total touchdowns. The rest of the passing game centers on WR Jaylen Waddle, who has 35 receptions for 504 receiving yards on the year.

This matchup features two teams coming off victories but with drastically different outlooks for the second half of the season. Let’s break down this AFC showdown, highlight the key plays, and uncover the strategies that could help you climb the leaderboards.