TL;DR Week 12

Nov 27, 2021
TL;DR Week 12

It's no secret we produce a ton of weekly data-driven, actionable fantasy football content designed to help you win your weekly matchup or cash your DFS lineups and bets. We also know not everybody has the time to read thousands upon thousands of words every week. With that in mind, this weekly TL;DR column is meant to highlight a few can't miss stats, facts, or analyses, broken down by category (season-long, DFS, betting), to aid in your weekly research prep.

TL;DR Season-Long Week 12

  • Brandon Aiyuk has seen 26 targets in the last four weeks and is averaging 61 yards receiving in that span. (Full Article)
  • Tennessee is 6th in aFPA to opposing RBs, but 23rd and 29th to opposing QBs and WRs, respectively. Eleven of Mac Jones’s 22 passes in Week 11 went to his wideouts for 135 of his 207 passing yards. (Full Article)
  • Zach Wilson has not shied away from throwing it deep, ranking sixth among quarterbacks in air yards per attempt. That’s why I like Corey Davis this weekend against a Houston Texans’ secondary that ranks 26th in yards allowed per pass attempt and in points allowed per play. (Full Article)
  • This past week, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Randall Cobb ran a route on 87% and 81% of dropbacks, respectively, both season-high marks. Valdes-Scantling also earned a season-high 10 targets in Week 11, tied for the second-most targets in a game in his career. However, Valdes-Scantling is more clearly the deep threat, earning over 100 air yards in half of the six games that he's played, while Cobb has yet to break 75 air yards in a game. (Full Article)

All Week 12 Season-Long Content.

TL;DR DFS Week 12

  • Cooper Kupp, whose salary has increased $3,300 since the start of the season, is a near-lock for double-digit targets in one of the highest-total games on the slate. (Full Article)
  • Isaiah Dunn had a rough go in Week 11. He got beat on a 65-yd score by Mack Hollins and ended up allowing 133 yards in coverage. He was targeted nine times and allowed 2.8 fantasy points per target. He faces off against Brandin Cooks in Week 12. (Full Article)
  • Saquon Barkley played 62% of the snaps last weekend, saw 12 touches, six receptions, and ran a route on 46% of plays. (Full Article)
  • Teams have thrown against the Jets at the ninth-highest rate in neutral game script and Tyrod Taylor provides a rushing floor, averaging 27 yards per game on the ground with three total rushing touchdowns in just four games. (Full Article)

All Week 12 DFS Content.

TL;DR Betting Week 12

  • The 49ers’ eighth-ranked rushing offense should go on a rampage against a Vikings defense ranked 27th in rushing defense DVOA and dead last in adjusted line yards. (Full Article)
  • The Bengals are 6-1 this season when Burrow throws zero or one interception and is 0-3 when he throws multiple picks. (Full Article)
  • Deebo Samuel has three games with 155+ receiving yards this year, which is well within our ceiling range. Up until Week 10, he has seen 8+ targets in every game. John Paulsen has the 49ers receiver projected for the fourth-most receiving yards on Sunday, but he has the ninth-best odds of any player to hit the top receiver of the week on DraftKings. (Full Article)
  • Despite having all-world rusher Dalvin Cook, the Vikings are just 29th in rushing DVOA and success rate on the season. On the other hand, they're second in passing DVOA, including the fifth-highest rate of explosive pass plays on the season, spearheaded by second-year legend, Justin Jefferson. (Full Article)

All Week 12 Betting Content.

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